4 research outputs found

    Estimates of Health Impacts and Radiative Forcing in Winter Haze in Eastern China through Constraints of Surface PM<sub>2.5</sub> Predictions

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    The Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) Three-Dimensional Variational (3DVAR) data assimilation system is extended to treat the MOSAIC aerosol model in WRF-Chem, and to be capable of assimilating surface PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations. The coupled GSI-WRF-Chem system is applied to reproduce aerosol levels over China during an extremely polluted winter month, January 2013. After assimilating surface PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations, the correlation coefficients between observations and model results averaged over the assimilated sites are improved from 0.67 to 0.94. At nonassimilated sites, improvements (higher correlation coefficients and lower mean bias errors (MBE) and root-mean-square errors (RMSE)) are also found in PM<sub>2.5</sub>, PM<sub>10</sub>, and AOD predictions. Using the constrained aerosol fields, we estimate that the PM<sub>2.5</sub> concentrations in January 2013 might have caused 7550 premature deaths in Jing-Jin-Ji areas, which are 2% higher than the estimates using unconstrained aerosol fields. We also estimate that the daytime monthly mean anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing (ARF) to be −29.9W/m<sup>2</sup> at the surface, 27.0W/m<sup>2</sup> inside the atmosphere, and −2.9W/m<sup>2</sup> at the top of the atmosphere. Our estimates update the previously reported overestimations along Yangtze River region and underestimations in North China. This GSI-WRF-Chem system would also be potentially useful for air quality forecasting in China

    The Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport-Las Vegas Ozone Study (FAST-LVOS)

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    Abstract. The Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport-Las Vegas Ozone Study (FAST-LVOS) was conducted in May and June of 2017 to study the transport of ozone (O3) to Clark County, Nevada, a marginal non-attainment area in the Southwestern U.S. (SWUS). This 6-week (20 May–30 June 2017) field campaign used lidar, ozonesonde, aircraft, and in-situ measurements in conjunction with a variety of models to characterize the distribution of O3 and related species above southern Nevada and neighbouring California, and to probe the influence of stratospheric intrusions, wildfires, and local, regional, and Asian pollution on surface O3 concentrations in Las Vegas and the surrounding area. In this paper, we describe the FAST-LVOS campaign and present case studies illustrating the influence of different transport processes on background O3 and air quality attainment in the SWUS. The measurements found elevated O3 layers above Las Vegas on more than 75 % (35 of 45) of the sample days, and show that entrainment of these layers contributed to mean 8-h average background O3 concentrations of 50–55 parts-per-billion by volume (ppbv) across southern Nevada. These background concentrations constitute 70–80 % of the current U.S. National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) of 70 ppbv, and illustrate some of the challenges facing air quality managers tasked with O3 attainment in the SWUS during late spring and early summer. The companion paper by Zhang et al. (2020) describes the use of the AM4 and GEOS-Chem global models to estimate the impacts of transported O3 on surface air quality in the Southwestern U.S. and Intermountain West during the FAST-LVOS campaign

    The &lt;i&gt;Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport&lt;/i&gt;–Las Vegas Ozone Study (&lt;i&gt;FAST&lt;/i&gt;-LVOS)

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    International audienceAbstract. The Fires, Asian, and Stratospheric Transport–Las Vegas Ozone Study (FAST-LVOS) was conducted in May and June of 2017 to study the transport of ozone (O3) to Clark County, Nevada, a marginal non-attainment area in the southwestern United States (SWUS). This 6-week (20 May–30 June 2017) field campaign used lidar, ozonesonde, aircraft, and in situ measurements in conjunction with a variety of models to characterize the distribution of O3 and related species above southern Nevada and neighboring California and to probe the influence of stratospheric intrusions and wildfires as well as local, regional, and Asian pollution on surface O3 concentrations in the Las Vegas Valley (≈ 900 m above sea level, a.s.l.). In this paper, we describe the FAST-LVOS campaign and present case studies illustrating the influence of different transport processes on background O3 in Clark County and southern Nevada. The companion paper by Zhang et al. (2020) describes the use of the AM4 and GEOS-Chem global models to simulate the measurements and estimate the impacts of transported O3 on surface air quality across the greater southwestern US and Intermountain West. The FAST-LVOS measurements found elevated O3 layers above Las Vegas on more than 75 % (35 of 45) of the sample days and show that entrainment of these layers contributed to mean 8 h average regional background O3 concentrations of 50–55 parts per billion by volume (ppbv), or about 85–95 µg m−3. These high background concentrations constitute 70 %–80 % of the current US National Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS) of 70 ppbv (≈ 120 µg m−3 at 900 m a.s.l.) for the daily maximum 8 h average (MDA8) and will make attainment of the more stringent standards of 60 or 65 ppbv currently being considered extremely difficult in the interior SWUS
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