Testable and Untestable Aspects of Dark Energy

It has been suggested that dark energy will lead to a frequency cut-off in an experiment involving a Josephson junction. Here we show that were such a cut-off detected, it would have dramatic consequences including the possible demise of the string landscape.Comment: 5 page

The Protein Precursors of Peptides That Affect the Mechanics of Connective Tissue and/or Muscle in the Echinoderm Apostichopus japonicus

PMCID: PMC3432112This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited

Biology and Management of the American Shad and Status of the Fisheries, Atlantic Coast of the United States, 1960

This paper summarizes current information on the American shad, Alosa sapidissima, and describes the species and its fishery. Emphasis is placed on (1) life history of the fish, (2) condition of the fishery by State and water areas in 1960 compared to 1896 when the last comprehensive description was made, (3) factors responsible for decline in abundance, and (4) management measures. The shad fishery has changed little over the past three-quarters of a century, except in magnitude of yield. Types of shad-fishing gear have remained relatively unchanged, but many improvements have been made in fishing techniques, mostly to achieve economy. In 1896 the estimated catch was more than 50 million pounds. New Jersey ranked first in production with about 14 million pounds, and Virginia second with 11 million pounds. In 1960 the estimated catch was slightly more than 8 million pounds. Maryland ranked first in production with slightly more than 1.5 million pounds, Virginia second with slightly less than 1.4 million pounds, and North Carolina third with about 1.3 million pounds. Biological and economic factors blamed for the decline in shad abundance, such as physical changes in the environment, construction of dams, pollution, over-fishing, and natural cycles of abundance, are discussed. Also discussed are methods used for the rehabilitation and management of the fishery, such as artificial propagation, installation of fish-passage facilities at impoundments, and fishing regulations. With our present knowledge, we can manage individual shad populations; but, we probably cannot restore the shad to its former peak of abundance

Bootstrap confidence intervals for the contributions of individual variables to a Mahalanobis distance

Hotelling's T 2 and Mahalanobis distance are widely used in the statistical analysis of multivariate data. When either of these quantities is large, a natural question is: How do individual variables contribute to its size? The Garthwaite–Koch partition has been proposed as a means of assessing the contribution of each variable. This yields point estimates of each variable's contribution and here we consider bootstrap methods for forming interval estimates of these contributions. New bootstrap methods are proposed and compared with the percentile, bias-corrected percentile, non-studentized pivotal and studentized pivotal methods via a large simulation study. The new methods enable use of a broader range of pivotal quantities than with standard pivotal methods, including vector pivotal quantities. In the context considered here, this obviates the need for transformations and leads to intervals that have higher coverage, and yet are narrower, than intervals given by the standard pivotal methods. These results held both when the population distributions were multivariate normal and when they were skew with heavy tails. Both equal-tailed intervals and shortest intervals are constructed; the latter are particularly attractive when (as here) squared quantities are of interest

Entropy of Contracting Universe in Cyclic Cosmology

Following up a recent proposal \cite{BF} for a cyclic model based on phantom dark energy, we examine the content of the contracting universe (cu) and its entropy $S_{cu}$. We find that beyond dark energy the universe contains on average zero or at most a single photon which if present immediately after turnaround has infinitesimally energy which subsequently blue shifts to produce $e^+e^-$ pairs. These statements are independent of the equation of state $\omega = p/\rho$ of dark energy provided $\omega < -1$. Thus $S_{cu} = 0$ and if observations confirm $\omega < -1$ the entropy problem is solved. We discuss the absence of a theoretical lower bound on $\phi = |\omega + 1|$, then describe an anthropic fine tuning argument that renders unlikely extremely small $\phi$. The present bound $\phi \lesssim 0.1$ already implies a time until turnaround of $(t_T - t_0) \gtrsim 100$ Gy.Comment: 5 pages late

Cyclic Universe and Infinite Past

We address two questions about the past for infinitely cyclic cosmology. The first is whether it can contain an infinite length null geodesic into the past in view of the Borde-Guth-Vilenkin (BGV) "no-go" theorem, The second is whether, given that a small fraction of spawned universes fail to cycle, there is an adequate probability for a successful universe after an infinite time. We give positive answers to both questions then show that in infinite cyclicity the total number of universes has been infinite for an arbitrarily long time.Comment: 7 pages. Clarification in discussion of infinite pas

Comet thermal modeling

The past year was one of tremendous activity because of the appearance of Halley's Comet. Observations of the comet were collected from a number of sources and compared with the detailed predictions of the comet thermal modeling program. Spacecraft observations of key physical parameters for cometary nucleus were incorporated into the thermal model and new cases run. These results have led to a much better understanding of physical processes on the nucleus and have pointed the way for further improvements to the modeling program. A model for the large-scale structure of cometary nuclei was proposed in which comets were envisioned as loosely bound agglomerations of smaller icy planetesimals, essentially a rubble pile of primordial dirty snowballs. In addition, a study of the physical history of comets was begun, concentrating on processes during formation and in the Oort cloud which would alter the volatile and nonvolatile materials in cometary nuclei from their pristine state before formation