A predictive score to identify hospitalized patients' risk of discharge to a post-acute care facility

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Early identification of patients who need post-acute care (PAC) may improve discharge planning. The purposes of the study were to develop and validate a score predicting discharge to a post-acute care (PAC) facility and to determine its best assessment time.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>We conducted a prospective study including 349 (derivation cohort) and 161 (validation cohort) consecutive patients in a general internal medicine service of a teaching hospital. We developed logistic regression models predicting discharge to a PAC facility, based on patient variables measured on admission (day 1) and on day 3. The value of each model was assessed by its area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). A simple numerical score was derived from the best model, and was validated in a separate cohort.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>Prediction of discharge to a PAC facility was as accurate on day 1 (AUC: 0.81) as on day 3 (AUC: 0.82). The day-3 model was more parsimonious, with 5 variables: patient's partner inability to provide home help (4 pts); inability to self-manage drug regimen (4 pts); number of active medical problems on admission (1 pt per problem); dependency in bathing (4 pts) and in transfers from bed to chair (4 pts) on day 3. A score ≥ 8 points predicted discharge to a PAC facility with a sensitivity of 87% and a specificity of 63%, and was significantly associated with inappropriate hospital days due to discharge delays. Internal and external validations confirmed these results.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>A simple score computed on the 3rd hospital day predicted discharge to a PAC facility with good accuracy. A score > 8 points should prompt early discharge planning.</p

Fatores de atraso na alta hospitalar em hospitais de ensino

OBJETIVO Analisar os motivos de atraso na alta hospitalar de pacientes internados em enfermarias de clínica médica. MÉTODOS Foram analisados 395 prontuários de pacientes consecutivos das enfermarias de clínica médica de dois hospitais públicos de ensino: Hospital das Clínicas da Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais e Hospital Odilon Behrens. Foi utilizado o Appropriateness Evaluation Protocol para definir o momento a partir do qual as anotações do prontuário permitiam concluir que a permanência no hospital não mais era adequada. O intervalo entre esse momento e a data da alta hospitalar efetivada definiu o total de dias de atraso na alta hospitalar. Foi utilizado, sistematicamente, instrumento para categorizar os motivos de atraso da alta hospitalar, tendo sido realizada análise de frequências. RESULTADOS O atraso na alta hospitalar ocorreu em 60,0% das 207 internações do Hospital das Clínicas e em 58,0% das 188 internações do Hospital Odilon Behrens. O atraso por paciente foi em média de 4,5 dias no primeiro e 4,1 dias no segundo, o que corresponde à taxa de ocupação de 23,0% e 28,0% em cada hospital, respectivamente. Os principais motivos de atraso nos dois hospitais foram, respectivamente: espera para realização de exames complementares (30,6% e 34,7%) ou para liberação dos laudos dos exames (22,4% e 11,9%) e os relacionados à responsabilidade médica (36,2% e 26,1%), compreendendo a demora na discussão do caso clínico e na tomada de decisão clínica e dificuldades nas interconsultas, respectivamente (20,4% e 9,1%). CONCLUSÕES Foi constatado percentual elevado de atraso na alta hospitalar nos dois hospitais. O atraso foi devido principalmente a fatores relacionados a processos, que podem ser melhorados por intervenções da equipe assistencial e dos gestores. O impacto na média de permanência hospitalar e na taxa de ocupação foi expressivo e preocupante, num cenário de relativa escassez de leitos e longas esperas por internação

Mechanical response of the tympanal membranes of the tree cricket Oecanthus henryi

Crickets have two tympanal membranes on the tibiae of each foreleg. Among several Weld cricket species of the genus Gryllus (Gryllinae), the posterior tympanal membrane (PTM) is signiWcantly larger than the anterior membrane (ATM). Laser Doppler vibrometric measurements have shown that the smaller ATM does not respond as much as the PTM to sound. Hence the PTM has been suggested to be the principal tympanal acoustic input to the auditory organ. In tree crickets (Oecanthinae), the ATM is slightly larger than the PTM. Both membranes are structurally complex, presenting a series of transverse folds on their surface, which are more pronounced on the ATM than on the PTM. The mechanical response of both membranes to acoustic stimulation was investigated using microscanning laser Doppler vibrometry. Only a small portion of the membrane surface deXects in response to sound. Both membranes exhibit similar frequency responses, and move out of phase with each other, producing compressions and rarefactions of the tracheal volume backing the tympanum. Therefore, unlike Weld crickets, tree crickets may have four instead of two functional tympanal membranes. This is interesting in the context of the outstanding question of the role of spiracular inputs in the auditory system of tree crickets

Characteristics associated with inappropriate hospital use in elderly patients admitted to a general internal medicine service

Our objective was to identify patient characteristics associated with inappropriate hospital days in a cohort of elderly medical inpatients. This prospective cohort study included a total of 196 patients aged 75 years and older, who were consecutively admitted over eight months to the internal medicine service of a regional, non-academic public hospital located in a rural area of Western Switzerland. Patients with severe cognitive impairment, terminal disease, or previously living in a nursing home were excluded. Data on demographics, medical, physical, social and mental status were collected at admission. A blinded hospitalization review was performed concurrently using a modified version of the Appropriateness Evaluation Protocol (AEP). Subjects' mean age was 82.4 years; 63.3% were women. Median length of stay was 8 days. Overall, 68 patients (34.7%) had at least one inappropriate day during their stay, including 18 patients (9.2%) whose hospital admission and entire stay were considered inappropriate. Most inappropriate days were due to discharge delays (87.10%), primarily to nursing homes (59.30%). Univariate analysis showed that subjects with inappropriate days were more likely to be living alone (69.1 vs 48.4%, p=0.006), and receiving formal in-home help (48.5 vs 32.8%, p=0.031). In addition, they were more impaired in basic and instrumental activities of daily living (BADLs, and IADLs, p&lt;0.001 and p=0.015, respectively), and more frequently had a depressed mood [29.4 vs 10.9%, p=0.001 with a score &gt; 6 at the Geriatric Depression Scale (GDS), short form]. Using multivariate analysis, independent associations remained for patients living alone (OR 2.6, 95%CI 1.2-5.8, p=0.016), those with a depressed mood (OR 2.8, 95%CI 1.1-7.3, p=0.032), with BADL dependencies (OR 1.5, 95%CI 1.2-1.8, p=0.001), and IADL dependencies (OR 1.3, 95%CI 1.0-1.6, p=0.032). Cardiovascular (OR 0.2, 95%CI 0.1-0.7, p=0.008) and pulmonary admission diagnoses (OR 0.1, 95%CI 0.0-0.7, p=0.022) were inversely associated with inappropriate hospital days. In conclusion, patients living alone, functionally impaired and showing depressive symptoms were at increased risk for inappropriate hospital days. These characteristics might permit better targeting for early discharge planning in these at-risk subjects, and contribute to avoiding premature discharge of other vulnerable elderly patients. Whether these interventions for at-risk patients will also result in prevention of hospitalization hazards, such as deconditioning and related functional decline, will require further study