18,008 research outputs found

    Global and local economic impacts of climate change in Syria and options for adaptation:

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    There is broad consensus among scientists that climate change is altering weather patterns around the world. However, economists are only beginning to develop tools that allow for the quantification of such weather changes on countries' economies and people. This paper presents a modeling suite that links the downscaling of global climate models, crop modeling, global economic modeling, and subnational-level computable equilibrium modeling. Important to note is that this approach allows for decomposing the potential global and local economic effects on countries, including various economic sectors and different household groups. We apply this modeling suite to Syria, a relevant case study given the country's location in a region that is consistently projected to be among those hit hardest by climate change. Despite a certain degree of endogenous adaptation, local impacts of climate change (through declining yields) are likely to affect Syria beyond the agricultural sector and farmers and also reduce economy-wide growth and incomes of urban households in the long term. The overall effects of global climate change (through higher food prices) are also negative, but some farmers can reap the benefit of higher prices. Combining local and global climate change scenarios shows welfare losses across all rural and urban household groups of between 1.6 – 2.8 percent annually, whereas the poorest household groups are the hardest hit. Finally, while there is some evidence that droughts may become more frequent in the future, it is clear that even without an increase in frequency, drought impacts will continue to put a significant burden on Syria's economy and people. Action to mitigate the negative effects of climate change and variability should to be taken on the global and local level. A global action plan for improving food security and better integration of climate change in national development strategies, agricultural and rural policies, and disaster risk management and social protection policies will be keys for improving the resilience of countries and people to climate change.Climate change, Development, drought, Growth, Poverty,

    A disciplinary commons for database teaching

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    This paper discusses the experience of taking part in a disciplinary commons devoted to the teaching of database systems. It will discuss the structure of a disciplinary commons and our experience of the database version

    Long term durability properties of concrete modified with metakaolin and polymer admixture

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    Previous studies show that both metakaolin (MK) and polymer can respectively improve certain mechanical and durability properties of concrete. Also, recent studies show that a combination of MK and polymer further enhances the mechanical properties by complement of each other. However, the knowledge of the effect on durability, a critical governing factor of concrete for the applications in extreme environments such as sewage, off-shore and bridge structures, has not been well established yet. This paper reports on a comprehensive study of the effect of metakaolin as a supplementary cementitious material together with polymer as admixture on the durability of concrete at relatively old ages. The results confirm that replacing Portland cement with 15% metakaolin and an additional 5% polymer (by weight) provide the optimum improvement for Portland cement concrete on both mechanical properties and durability

    Early maturation processes in coal. Part 1: Pyrolysis mass balances and structural evolution of coalified wood from the Morwell Brown Coal seam

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    In this work, we develop a theoretical approach to evaluate maturation process of kerogen-like material, involving molecular dynamic reactive modeling with a reactive force field to simulate the thermal stress. The Morwell coal has been selected to study the thermal evolution of terrestrial organic matter. To achieve this, a structural model is first constructed based on models from the literature and analytical characterization of our samples by modern 1-and 2-D NMR, FTIR, and elemental analysis. Then, artificial maturation of the Morwell coal is performed at low conversions in order to obtain, quantitative and qualitative, detailed evidences of structural evolution of the kerogen upon maturation. The observed chemical changes are a defunctionalization of the carboxyl, carbonyl and methoxy functional groups coupling with an increase of cross linking in the residual mature kerogen. Gaseous and liquids hydrocarbons, essentially CH4, C4H8 and C14+ liquid hydrocarbons, are generated in low amount, merely by cleavage of the lignin side chain

    Shear behaviour of lightweight concrete beams strengthened with CFRP composite

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    This paper presents the experimental results obtained from lightweight and normal concrete beams with closed and U-shaped configurations of epoxy bonded Carbon FRP (CFRP) reinforcement in order to compare the shear resisting mechanisms between lightweight and normal concrete beams. The experimental results show that the CFRP can successfully be applied in the strengthening of lightweight concrete beams and the shear strength gained due to CFRP reinforcement for lightweight samples is less than the normal weight concrete samples while the mode of failures are the same. In contrast, diagonal shear cracks propagate through the lightweight aggregate compared to cracks around normal aggregate in the concrete matrix. Furthermore, the numerical study shows that the design guidelines to estimate the CFRP contribution, which do not differentiate the concrete types, overestimate the U-shaped CFRP contribution on lightweight concrete beams where the effective bond length of CFRP could not be achieved due to lower tensile strength of lightweight concrete

    Experimental Modeling of Flavonoid-Biomembrane Interactions

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    Nonspecific interactions of flavonoids with lipids can alter the membrane's features (e.g., thickness and fluctuations) as well as influence their therapeutic potentials. However, relatively little is known about the details of how flavonoids interact with lipid components. Structure-dependent interactions of a variety of flavonoids with phospholipid monolayers on a mercury (Hg) film electrode were established by rapid cyclic voltammetry (RCV). The data revealed that flavonoids adopting a planar configuration altered the membrane properties more significantly than nonplanar flavonoids. Quercetin, rutin, and tiliroside were selected for follow-up experiments with Langmuir monolayers, Brewster angle microscopy (BAM), and small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS). Relaxation phenomena in DOPC monolayers and visualization of the surface with BAM revealed a pronounced monolayer stabilization effect with both quercetin and tiliroside, whereas rutin disrupted the monolayer structure rendering the surface entirely smooth. SAXS showed a monotonous membrane thinning for all compounds studied associated with an increase in the mean fluctuations of the membrane. Rutin, quercetin, and tiliroside decreased the bilayer thickness of DOPC by ∼0.45, 0.8, and 1.1 Å at 6 mol %, respectively. In addition to the novelty of using lipid monolayers to systematically characterize the structure-activity relationship (SAR) of a variety of flavonoids, this is the first report investigating the effect of tiliroside with biomimetic membrane models. All the flavonoids studied are believed to be localized in the lipid/water interface region. Both this localization and the membrane perturbations have implications for their therapeutic activity
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