Clusters or networks of economies? A macroeconomy study through GDP fluctuation correlations

We follow up on the study of correlations between GDP's of rich countries. We analyze web-downloaded data on GDP that we use as individual wealth signatures of the country economical state. We calculate the yearly fluctuations of the GDP. We look for forward and backward correlations between such fluctuations. The system is represented by an evolving network, nodes being the GDP fluctuations (or countries) at different times. In order to extract structures from the network, we focus on filtering the time delayed correlations by removing the least correlated links. This percolation idea-based method reveals the emergence of connections, that are visualized by a branching representation. Note that the network is made of weighted and directed links when taking into account a delay time. Such a measure of collective habits does not fit the usual expectations defined by politicians or economists.Comment: 9 pages, 3 figure

Introducing the q-Theil index

Starting from the idea of Tsallis on non-extensive statistical mechanics and the {\it q-entropy} notion, we recall the Theil index $Th$ and transform it into the $Th_q$ index. Both indices can be used to map onto themselves any time series in a non linear way. We develop an application of the $Th_q$ to the GDP evolution of 20 rich countries in the time interval [1950 - 2003] and search for a proof of globalization of their economies. First we calculate the distances between the "new" time series and to their mean, from which such data simple networks are constructed. We emphasize that it is useful to, and we do, take into account different time "parameters": (i) the moving average time window for the raw time series to calculate the $Th_q$ index; (ii) the moving average time window for calculating the time series distances; (iii) a correlation time lag. This allows us to deduce optimal conditions to measure the features of the network, i.e. the appearance in 1970 of a globalization process in the economy of such countries and the present beginning of deviations. The $q$ value hereby used is that which measures the overall data distribution and is equal to 1.8125.Comment: 8 pages 21 figures, presented on Next08 conferenc

Civil and Criminal Enforcement of the Clean Air Act After the 1990 Amendments

The Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 formed one of the most sweeping revisions of any federal environmental statute in recent history. A wide array of technical improvements to existing provisions were joined with entirely new substantive programs aimed at controlling such diverse concerns as the development of new fuels, reduction of acid rain, ozone depletion, and even global warming. Aside from its ambitious substantive programs, however, the 1990 Amendments were driven by a recognition that the existing Clean Air Act had become largely unenforceable. Thus, the Amendments greatly expand the government\u27s enforcement authority, and provide a host of new enforcement options. In this article, the authors discuss these changes to the civil and criminal enforcement provisions of the Act, and examine how these revisions seem to contain a mixture of strengths and weaknesses that raise as many concerns as they do hopes that the new Act will better achieve the goal of protecting and enhancing the quality of the Nation\u27s air

The Vector-APP: a Broadband Apodizing Phase Plate that yields Complementary PSFs

The apodizing phase plate (APP) is a solid-state pupil optic that clears out a D-shaped area next to the core of the ensuing PSF. To make the APP more efficient for high-contrast imaging, its bandwidth should be as large as possible, and the location of the D-shaped area should be easily swapped to the other side of the PSF. We present the design of a broadband APP that yields two PSFs that have the opposite sides cleared out. Both properties are enabled by a half-wave liquid crystal layer, for which the local fast axis orientation over the pupil is forced to follow the required phase structure. For each of the two circular polarization states, the required phase apodization is thus obtained, and, moreover, the PSFs after a quarter-wave plate and a polarizing beam-splitter are complementary due to the antisymmetric nature of the phase apodization. The device can be achromatized in the same way as half-wave plates of the Pancharatnam type or by layering self-aligning twisted liquid crystals to form a monolithic film called a multi-twist retarder. As the VAPP introduces a known phase diversity between the two PSFs, they may be used directly for wavefront sensing. By applying an additional quarter-wave plate in front, the device also acts as a regular polarizing beam-splitter, which therefore furnishes high-contrast polarimetric imaging. If the PSF core is not saturated, the polarimetric dual-beam correction can also be applied to polarized circumstellar structure. The prototype results show the viability of the vector-APP concept.Comment: Proc. SPIE 8450-2

Cluster structure of EU-15 countries derived from the correlation matrix analysis of macroeconomic index fluctuations

The statistical distances between countries, calculated for various moving average time windows, are mapped into the ultrametric subdominant space as in classical Minimal Spanning Tree methods. The Moving Average Minimal Length Path (MAMLP) algorithm allows a decoupling of fluctuations with respect to the mass center of the system from the movement of the mass center itself. A Hamiltonian representation given by a factor graph is used and plays the role of cost function. The present analysis pertains to 11 macroeconomic (ME) indicators, namely the GDP (x1), Final Consumption Expenditure (x2), Gross Capital Formation (x3), Net Exports (x4), Consumer Price Index (y1), Rates of Interest of the Central Banks (y2), Labour Force (z1), Unemployment (z2), GDP/hour worked (z3), GDP/capita (w1) and Gini coefficient (w2). The target group of countries is composed of 15 EU countries, data taken between 1995 and 2004. By two different methods (the Bipartite Factor Graph Analysis and the Correlation Matrix Eigensystem Analysis) it is found that the strongly correlated countries with respect to the macroeconomic indicators fluctuations can be partitioned into stable clusters

A model of ideological struggle

A general model for opinion formation and competition, like in ideological struggles is formulated. The underlying set is a closed one, like a country but in which the population size is variable in time. Several ideologies compete to increase their number of adepts. Such followers can be either converted from one ideology to another or become followers of an ideology though being previously ideologically-free. A reverse process is also allowed. We consider two kinds of conversion: unitary conversion, e.g. by means of mass communication tools, or binary conversion, e.g. by means of interactions between people. It is found that the steady state,when it exists, depends on the number of ideologies. Moreover when the number of ideologies increases some tension arises between them. This tension can change in the course of time. We propose to measure the ideology tensions through an appropriately defined scale index.Comment: 10 pages, 3 figures, 46 references, working pape