The application of data mining techniques for the regionalisation of hydrological variables

International audienceFlood quantile estimation for ungauged catchment areas continues to be a routine problem faced by the practising Engineering Hydrologist, yet the hydrometric networks in many countries are reducing rather than expanding. The result is an increasing reliance on methods for regionalising hydrological variables. Among the most widely applied techniques is the Method of Residuals, an iterative method of classifying catchment areas by their geographical proximity based upon the application of Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (MLRA). Alternative classification techniques, such as cluster analysis, have also been applied but not on a routine basis. However, hydrological regionalisation can also be regarded as a problem in data mining ? a search for useful knowledge and models embedded within large data sets. In particular, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) can be applied both to classify catchments according to their geomorphological and climatic characteristics and to relate flow quantiles to those characteristics. This approach has been applied to three data sets from the south-west of England and Wales; to England, Wales and Scotland (EWS); and to the islands of Java and Sumatra in Indonesia. The results demonstrated that hydrologically plausible clusters can be obtained under contrasting conditions of climate. The four classes of catchment found in the EWS data set were found to be compatible with the three classes identified in the earlier study of a smaller data set from south-west England and Wales. Relationships for the parameters of the at-site distribution of annual floods can be developed that are superior to those based upon MLRA in terms of root mean square errors of validation data sets. Indeed, the results from Java and Sumatra demonstrate a clear advantage in reduced root mean square error of the dependent flow variable through recognising the presence of three classes of catchment. Wider evaluation of this methodology is recommended. Keywords: regionalisation, floods, catchment characteristics, data mining, artificial neural networks</p

Different Ways of Reading, or Just Making the Right Noises?

What does reading look like? Can learning to read be reduced to the acquisition of a set of isolable skills, or proficiency in reading be equated with the independence of the solitary, silent reader of prose fiction? These conceptions of reading and reading development, which figure strongly in educational policy, may appear to be simple common sense. But both ethnographic data and evidence from literary texts suggest that such paradigms offer, at most, a partial and ahistorical picture of reading. An important dimension, neglected in the dominant paradigms, is the irreducibly social quality of reading practices

“WALK30X5”:A feasibility study of a physiotherapy walking programme for people with mild to moderate musculoskeletal conditions

Objectives: To explore the feasibility of delivering and evaluating a web-based walking intervention for people with long term musculoskeletal conditions (LTMCs), to determine its acceptability and the feasibility of conducting a definitive trial.  Design: Prospective randomised feasibility study, with blind outcome assessment at baseline, 3 and 6 months. Setting: Hospital based physiotherapy service. Participants: Forty one adults referred for assessment and advice for any mild/moderate LTMCs. doing <120 minutes of moderate intensity activity per week.  Interventions: Participants randomised to: 1. Usual care: one usual physiotherapy advice and assessment session, including setting a physical activity goal and one follow up session (8 weeks). 2. “Walk30 × 5”: session one, usual care plus intervention of walking programme. Participants were shown the website and podcasts and practiced how to use them. One follow up session (8 weeks). Outcome measures: Primary: timed six minute walk test (T6MWT). Secondary: step count, self-reported pain, fatigue, mood, self-efficacy, happiness, objective blood pressure, peak expiratory flow rate, and self-report and accelerometer measured physical activity.  Results: Recruitment target achieved. No adverse events occurred. Adherence was high and the intervention acceptable. Loss to follow up n = 3 (7%) at 3 months, n = 8 (20%) at 6 months. T6MWT and step count proved suitable outcomes, unlike accelerometry. Estimated sample size for a definitive trial is 216.  Conclusions: “Walk30 × 5” is ready for evaluation in a future, appropriately powered (n = 216), phase III trial. If effective, the intervention will provide a cheap, highly accessible intervention to enable people with mild/moderate LTMCs to achieve UK physical activity guidelines.  Clinical Trial Registration Number: ISRCTN78581097

The Outcome of Neutrophil-T Cell Contact Differs Depending on Activation Status of Both Cell Types

Neutrophils and T cells exist in close proximity in lymph nodes and inflamed tissues duringhealth and disease. They are able to form stable interactions, with profound effects on thephenotype and function of the T cells. However, the outcome of these effects arefrequently contradictory; in some systems neutrophils suppress T cell proliferation, inothers they are activatory or present antigen directly. Published protocols modelling theseinteractions in vitro do not reflect the full range of interactions found in vivo; they do notexamine how activated and naïve T cells differentially respond to neutrophils, or whetherde-granulating or resting neutrophils induce different outcomes. Here, we established aculture protocol to ask these questions with human T cells and autologous neutrophils.We find that resting neutrophils suppress T cell proliferation, activation and cytokineproduction but that de-granulating neutrophils do not, and neutrophil-releasedintracellular contents enhance proliferation. Strikingly, we also demonstrate that T cellsearly in the activation process are susceptible to suppression by neutrophils, while laterstage T cells are not, and naïve T cells do not respond at all. Our protocol therefore allowsnuanced analysis of the outcome of interaction of these cells and may explain thecontradictory results observed previously

Probing the structure and dynamics of molecular clusters using rotational wavepackets

The chemical and physical properties of molecular clusters can heavily depend on their size, which makes them very attractive for the design of new materials with tailored properties. Deriving the structure and dynamics of clusters is therefore of major interest in science. Weakly bound clusters can be studied using conventional spectroscopic techniques, but the number of lines observed is often too small for a comprehensive structural analysis. Impulsive alignment generates rotational wavepackets, which provides simultaneous information on structure and dynamics, as has been demonstrated successfully for isolated molecules. Here, we apply this technique for the firsttime to clusters comprising of a molecule and a single helium atom. By forcing the population of high rotational levels in intense laser fields we demonstrate the generation of rich rotational line spectra for this system, establishing the highly delocalised structure and the coherence of rotational wavepacket propagation. Our findings enable studies of clusters of different sizes and complexity as well as incipient superfluidity effects using wavepacket methods.Comment: 5 pages, 6 figure

High purity isolation of low density neutrophils casts doubt on their exceptionality in health and disease

Low density neutrophils (LDNs) are described in a number of inflammatory conditions, cancers and infections and associated with immunopathology, and a mechanistic role in disease. The role of LDNs at homeostasis in healthy individuals has not been investigated. We have developed an isolation protocol that generates high purity LDNs from healthy donors. Healthy LDNs were identical to healthy normal density neutrophils (NDNs), aside from reduced neutrophil extracellular trap formation. CD66b, CD16, CD15, CD10, CD54, CD62L, CXCR2, CD47 and CD11b were expressed at equivalent levels in healthy LDNs and NDNs and underwent apoptosis and ROS production interchangeably. Healthy LDNs had no differential effect on CD4(+) or CD8(+) T cell proliferation or IFNγ production compared with NDNs. LDNs were generated from healthy NDNs in vitro by activation with TNF, LPS or fMLF, suggesting a mechanism of LDN generation in disease however, we show neutrophilia in people with Cystic Fibrosis (CF) was not due to increased LDNs. LDNs are present in the neutrophil pool at homeostasis and have limited functional differences to NDNs. We conclude that increased LDN numbers in disease reflect the specific pathology or inflammatory environment and that neutrophil density alone is inadequate to classify discrete functional populations of neutrophils

Effectiveness of physiotherapy exercise following hip arthroplasty for osteoarthritis: a systematic review of clinical trials

Background: Physiotherapy has long been a routine component of patient rehabilitation following hip joint replacement. The purpose of this systematic review was to evaluate the effectiveness of physiotherapy exercise after discharge from hospital on function, walking, range of motion, quality of life and muscle strength, for osteoarthritic patients following elective primary total hip arthroplasty. Methods: Design: Systematic review, using the Cochrane Collaboration Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions and the Quorom Statement. Database searches: AMED, CINAHL, EMBASE, KingsFund, MEDLINE, Cochrane library (Cochrane reviews, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, DARE), PEDro, The Department of Health National Research Register. Handsearches: Physiotherapy, Physical Therapy, Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery (Britain) Conference Proceedings. No language restrictions were applied. Selection: Trials comparing physiotherapy exercise versus usual/standard care, or comparing two types of relevant exercise physiotherapy, following discharge from hospital after elective primary total hip replacement for osteoarthritis were reviewed. Outcomes: Functional activities of daily living, walking, quality of life, muscle strength and range of hip joint motion. Trial quality was extensively evaluated. Narrative synthesis plus meta-analytic summaries were performed to summarise the data. Results: 8 trials were identified. Trial quality was mixed. Generally poor trial quality, quantity and diversity prevented explanatory meta-analyses. The results were synthesised and meta-analytic summaries were used where possible to provide a formal summary of results. Results indicate that physiotherapy exercise after discharge following total hip replacement has the potential to benefit patients. Conclusion: Insufficient evidence exists to establish the effectiveness of physiotherapy exercise following primary hip replacement for osteoarthritis. Further well designed trials are required to determine the value of post discharge exercise following this increasingly common surgical procedure