Sequential Design for Ranking Response Surfaces

We propose and analyze sequential design methods for the problem of ranking several response surfaces. Namely, given $L \ge 2$ response surfaces over a continuous input space $\cal X$, the aim is to efficiently find the index of the minimal response across the entire $\cal X$. The response surfaces are not known and have to be noisily sampled one-at-a-time. This setting is motivated by stochastic control applications and requires joint experimental design both in space and response-index dimensions. To generate sequential design heuristics we investigate stepwise uncertainty reduction approaches, as well as sampling based on posterior classification complexity. We also make connections between our continuous-input formulation and the discrete framework of pure regret in multi-armed bandits. To model the response surfaces we utilize kriging surrogates. Several numerical examples using both synthetic data and an epidemics control problem are provided to illustrate our approach and the efficacy of respective adaptive designs.Comment: 26 pages, 7 figures (updated several sections and figures

Shuttle Abort Flight Management (SAFM) - Application Overview

One of the most demanding tasks that must be performed by the Space Shuttle flight crew is the process of determining whether, when and where to abort the vehicle should engine or system failures occur during ascent or entry. Current Shuttle abort procedures involve paging through complicated paper checklists to decide on the type of abort and where to abort. Additional checklists then lead the crew through a series of actions to execute the desired abort. This process is even more difficult and time consuming in the absence of ground communications since the ground flight controllers have the analysis tools and information that is currently not available in the Shuttle cockpit. Crew workload specifically abort procedures will be greatly simplified with the implementation of the Space Shuttle Cockpit Avionics Upgrade (CAU) project. The intent of CAU is to maximize crew situational awareness and reduce flight workload thru enhanced controls and displays, and onboard abort assessment and determination capability. SAFM was developed to help satisfy the CAU objectives by providing the crew with dynamic information about the capability of the vehicle to perform a variety of abort options during ascent and entry. This paper- presents an overview of the SAFM application. As shown in Figure 1, SAFM processes the vehicle navigation state and other guidance information to provide the CAU displays with evaluations of abort options, as well as landing site recommendations. This is accomplished by three main SAFM components: the Sequencer Executive, the Powered Flight Function, and the Glided Flight Function, The Sequencer Executive dispatches the Powered and Glided Flight Functions to evaluate the vehicle's capability to execute the current mission (or current abort), as well as more than IS hypothetical abort options or scenarios. Scenarios are sequenced and evaluated throughout powered and glided flight. Abort scenarios evaluated include Abort to Orbit (ATO), Transatlantic Abort Landing (TAL), East Coast Abort Landing (ECAL) and Return to Launch Site (RTLS). Sequential and simultaneous engine failures are assessed and landing footprint information is provided during actual entry scenarios as well as hypothetical "loss of thrust now" scenarios during ascent

A Collapsing Method for Efficient Recovery of Optimal Edges

In this thesis we present a novel algorithm, HyperCleaning*, for effectively inferring phylogenetic trees. The method is based on the quartet method paradigm and is guaranteed to recover the best supported edges of the underlying phylogeny based on the witness quartet set. This is performed efficiently using a collapsing mechanism that employs memory/time tradeoff to ensure no loss of information. This enables HyperCleaning* to solve the relaxed version of the Maximum-Quartet-Consistency problem feasibly, thus providing a valuable tool for inferring phylogenies using quartet based analysis

The Connectedness with Nature of Chinese Adolescent Tourists: A Q Method Approach

A systematic understanding of Chinese adolescent tourists’ connectedness with nature is helpful to illustrate the coming cultural turn in self-nature relationship. However, the existing research is almost based on the Western cultural context and follow the Western approach. Employing the Q method, this study aims to investigate the diverse patterns of CWN from the perspective of 36 adolescent tourists in Xi’an and Shenzhen, China. Our initial findings show four distinct patterns are relevant in the participants’ CWN, including individuals’ ecological self, subjective feelings about nature, positive experiences with nature, and cognitive beliefs about nature. In addition, a theoretical framework of four underlying continuums is developed to clarify how a complex process of co-construction reveals patterns of CWN. This study offers suggestions for destination management and environmental education

Half integer quantum Hall effect in high mobility single layer epitaxial graphene

The quantum Hall effect, with a Berry's phase of $\pi$ is demonstrated here on a single graphene layer grown on the C-face of 4H silicon carbide. The mobility is $\sim$ 20,000 cm$^2$/V$\cdot$s at 4 K and ~15,000 cm$^2$/V$\cdot$s at 300 K despite contamination and substrate steps. This is comparable to the best exfoliated graphene flakes on SiO$_2$ and an order of magnitude larger than Si-face epitaxial graphene monolayers. These and other properties indicate that C-face epitaxial graphene is a viable platform for graphene-based electronics.Comment: Some modifications in the text and figures, 7 pages, 2 figure

Field Assisted Material Engineering (FAME)

In order to further improve the energy saving of Spark Plasma Sintering we have developed a very rapid sintering technique called Flash SPS (FSPS) with heating rates in the order of 104-105 ˚C/minute[1]. Unlike the Flash Sintering based on high voltage (≈100V), FSPS is based on low voltage (≈10V) and it can be up-scaled to samples volumes of several tens of cubic centimetres. Flash SPS allows densification of metallic conductors like ZrB2 and HfB2, under a discharge time as short as 20-30 seconds. FSPS of semiconductors like silicon carbide and boron carbide was also demonstrated. Highly customized and versatile equipment with ultrafast responsive controls and programmable bipolar power supplies (up to 20 kHz, 1 MA, 500V) has been built. The developed methodology has been applied to produce FSPSed samples even larger than 6 cm in diameter of ultra refractory materials. Understanding the intrinsic electrical field role in the triangle properties-microstructure-processing remains one our primary scientific goal and the main open question. We tried to give some answers by approaching the problem at different length scales (see figure 1) by developing dedicated equipment/controls, simulations (FEM and ab-initio), thermo-kinetic analysis, in situ observations and accurate temperature measurements/calibrations. Please click Additional Files below to see the full abstract

Avian primordial germ cells are bipotent for male or female gametogenesis

In birds, males are the homogametic sex (ZZ) and females are the heterogametic sex (ZW). Here, we investigate the role of chromosomal sex and germ cell competition on avian germ cell differentiation. We recently developed genetically sterile layer cockerels and hens for use as surrogate hosts for primordial germ cell (PGC) transplantation. Using in vitro propagated and cryopreserved PGCs from a pedigree Silkie broiler breed, we now demonstrate that sterile surrogate layer hosts injected with same sex PGCs have normal fertility and produced pure breed Silkie broiler offspring when directly mated to each other in Sire Dam Surrogate mating. We found that female sterile hosts carrying chromosomally male (ZZ) PGCs formed functional oocytes and eggs, which gave rise to 100% male offspring after fertilization. Unexpectedly, we also observed that chromosomally female (ZW) PGCs carried by male sterile hosts formed functional spermatozoa and produced viable offspring. These findings demonstrate that avian PGCs are not sexually restricted for functional gamete formation and provide new insights for the cryopreservation of poultry and other bird species using diploid stage germ cells

Labeling-Free Comparison Testing of Deep Learning Models

Various deep neural networks (DNNs) are developed and reported for their tremendous success in multiple domains. Given a specific task, developers can collect massive DNNs from public sources for efficient reusing and avoid redundant work from scratch. However, testing the performance (e.g., accuracy and robustness) of multiple DNNs and giving a reasonable recommendation that which model should be used is challenging regarding the scarcity of labeled data and demand of domain expertise. Existing testing approaches are mainly selection-based where after sampling, a few of the test data are labeled to discriminate DNNs. Therefore, due to the randomness of sampling, the performance ranking is not deterministic. In this paper, we propose a labeling-free comparison testing approach to overcome the limitations of labeling effort and sampling randomness. The main idea is to learn a Bayesian model to infer the models' specialty only based on predicted labels. To evaluate the effectiveness of our approach, we undertook exhaustive experiments on 9 benchmark datasets spanning in the domains of image, text, and source code, and 165 DNNs. In addition to accuracy, we consider the robustness against synthetic and natural distribution shifts. The experimental results demonstrate that the performance of existing approaches degrades under distribution shifts. Our approach outperforms the baseline methods by up to 0.74 and 0.53 on Spearman's correlation and Kendall's $\tau$, respectively, regardless of the dataset and distribution shift. Additionally, we investigated the impact of model quality (accuracy and robustness) and diversity (standard deviation of the quality) on the testing effectiveness and observe that there is a higher chance of a good result when the quality is over 50\% and the diversity is larger than 18\%.Comment: 12 page