Mortality from gastrointestinal congenital anomalies at 264 hospitals in 74 low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries: a multicentre, international, prospective cohort study

Summary Background Congenital anomalies are the fifth leading cause of mortality in children younger than 5 years globally. Many gastrointestinal congenital anomalies are fatal without timely access to neonatal surgical care, but few studies have been done on these conditions in low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs). We compared outcomes of the seven most common gastrointestinal congenital anomalies in low-income, middle-income, and high-income countries globally, and identified factors associated with mortality. Methods We did a multicentre, international prospective cohort study of patients younger than 16 years, presenting to hospital for the first time with oesophageal atresia, congenital diaphragmatic hernia, intestinal atresia, gastroschisis, exomphalos, anorectal malformation, and Hirschsprung’s disease. Recruitment was of consecutive patients for a minimum of 1 month between October, 2018, and April, 2019. We collected data on patient demographics, clinical status, interventions, and outcomes using the REDCap platform. Patients were followed up for 30 days after primary intervention, or 30 days after admission if they did not receive an intervention. The primary outcome was all-cause, in-hospital mortality for all conditions combined and each condition individually, stratified by country income status. We did a complete case analysis. Findings We included 3849 patients with 3975 study conditions (560 with oesophageal atresia, 448 with congenital diaphragmatic hernia, 681 with intestinal atresia, 453 with gastroschisis, 325 with exomphalos, 991 with anorectal malformation, and 517 with Hirschsprung’s disease) from 264 hospitals (89 in high-income countries, 166 in middleincome countries, and nine in low-income countries) in 74 countries. Of the 3849 patients, 2231 (58·0%) were male. Median gestational age at birth was 38 weeks (IQR 36–39) and median bodyweight at presentation was 2·8 kg (2·3–3·3). Mortality among all patients was 37 (39·8%) of 93 in low-income countries, 583 (20·4%) of 2860 in middle-income countries, and 50 (5·6%) of 896 in high-income countries (p<0·0001 between all country income groups). Gastroschisis had the greatest difference in mortality between country income strata (nine [90·0%] of ten in lowincome countries, 97 [31·9%] of 304 in middle-income countries, and two [1·4%] of 139 in high-income countries; p≤0·0001 between all country income groups). Factors significantly associated with higher mortality for all patients combined included country income status (low-income vs high-income countries, risk ratio 2·78 [95% CI 1·88–4·11], p<0·0001; middle-income vs high-income countries, 2·11 [1·59–2·79], p<0·0001), sepsis at presentation (1·20 [1·04–1·40], p=0·016), higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score at primary intervention (ASA 4–5 vs ASA 1–2, 1·82 [1·40–2·35], p<0·0001; ASA 3 vs ASA 1–2, 1·58, [1·30–1·92], p<0·0001]), surgical safety checklist not used (1·39 [1·02–1·90], p=0·035), and ventilation or parenteral nutrition unavailable when needed (ventilation 1·96, [1·41–2·71], p=0·0001; parenteral nutrition 1·35, [1·05–1·74], p=0·018). Administration of parenteral nutrition (0·61, [0·47–0·79], p=0·0002) and use of a peripherally inserted central catheter (0·65 [0·50–0·86], p=0·0024) or percutaneous central line (0·69 [0·48–1·00], p=0·049) were associated with lower mortality. Interpretation Unacceptable differences in mortality exist for gastrointestinal congenital anomalies between lowincome, middle-income, and high-income countries. Improving access to quality neonatal surgical care in LMICs will be vital to achieve Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 of ending preventable deaths in neonates and children younger than 5 years by 2030

Efficacy of ultrasonography-guided intra-articular steroid injection of the shoulder and excercising in patients with adhesive capsulitis: Glenohumeral versus subacromial approaches

Aim of the work: To evaluate the efficacy of intra-articular steroid injection of the shoulder joint with exercises in the management of patients with adhesive capsulitis and to compare glenohumeral (GH) versus subacromial subdeltoid (SASD) ultrasound-guided approaches. Patients and methods: Forty patients with adhesive capsulitis were randomly divided into 2 groups according to injection approach. Patients received ultrasound-guided intra-articular injection methylprednisolone acetate (40 mg) and 1 ml 2% lidocaine followed by exercise for 12 weeks. Visual analog scale (VAS) for pain, the shoulder pain and disability index (SPADI) and active range of motion (ROM) were assessed before and 12 weeks post-injection. Results: The mean age of the patients was 47.3 ± 8.7 years with 12 females and 8 males in each group. After injection, there was a significant improvement of pain (VAS) and SPADI in both groups (p < 0.001). Before injection, SASD bursitis was present in 18 (45%), GH joint effusion in 14 (35%), rotator cuff tendinopathy in 6 (15%), bursitis with effusion in 1 (2.5%) and with supraspinatus tendon calcification in another (2.5%). Both groups significantly equally improved regarding to ROM compared to before injection. Post-injection, the SPADI significantly improved in the SASD group compared to GH; with remarkable improvement in the joint extension, internal and external rotation (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Intrarticular steroid injection of the shoulder joint followed by exercises in patients with adhesive capsulitis decreases pain, improves function and ROM with a more favorable response by the GH approach. Ultrasound-guided injection is an accurate, easy and cost-effective approach. Keywords: Adhesive capsulitis, Glenohumeral, Subacromial subdeltoid bursa, Ultrasound-guided injectio

Accuracy of the Traditional COVID-19 Phone Triaging System and Phone Triage-Driven Deep Learning Model

Objectives: During the COVID-19 pandemic, a quick and reliable phone-triage system is critical for early care and efficient distribution of hospital resources. The study aimed to assess the accuracy of the traditional phone-triage system and phone triage-driven deep learning model in the prediction of positive COVID-19 patients. Setting: This is a retrospective study conducted at the family medicine department, Cairo University. Methods: The study included a dataset of 943 suspected COVID-19 patients from the phone triage during the first wave of the pandemic. The accuracy of the phone triaging system was assessed. PCR-dependent and phone triage-driven deep learning model for automated classifications of natural human responses was conducted. Results: Based on the RT-PCR results, we found that myalgia, fever, and contact with a case with respiratory symptoms had the highest sensitivity among the symptoms/ risk factors that were asked during the phone calls (86.3%, 77.5%, and 75.1%, respectively). While immunodeficiency, smoking, and loss of smell or taste had the highest specificity (96.9%, 83.6%, and 74.0%, respectively). The positive predictive value (PPV) of phone triage was 48.4%. The classification accuracy achieved by the deep learning model was 66%, while the PPV was 70.5%. Conclusion: Phone triage and deep learning models are feasible and convenient tools for screening COVID-19 patients. Using the deep learning models for symptoms screening will help to provide the proper medical care as early as possible for those at a higher risk of developing severe illness paving the way for a more efficient allocation of the scanty health resources

Impact of the International Nosocomial Infection Control Consortium (INICC)’s multidimensional approach on rates of ventilator-associated pneumonia in intensive care units in 22 hospitals of 14 cities of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

To analyze the impact of the International Nosocomial Infection Control Consortium (INICC) Multidimensional Approach (IMA) and use of INICC Surveillance Online System (ISOS) on ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) rates in Saudi Arabia from September 2013 to February 2017. A multicenter, prospective, before–after surveillance study on 14,961 patients in 37 intensive care units (ICUs) of 22 hospitals. During baseline, we performed outcome surveillance of VAP applying the definitions of the CDC/NHSN. During intervention, we implemented the IMA and the ISOS, which included: (1) a bundle of infection prevention practice interventions, (2) education, (3) outcome surveillance, (4) process surveillance, (5) feedback on VAP rates and consequences and (6) performance feedback of process surveillance. Bivariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed using generalized linear mixed models to estimate the effect of intervention. The baseline rate of 7.84 VAPs per 1000 mechanical-ventilator (MV)-days―with 20,927 MV-days and 164 VAPs―, was reduced to 4.74 VAPs per 1000 MV-days―with 118,929 MV-days and 771 VAPs―, accounting for a 39% rate reduction (IDR 0.61; 95% CI 0.5–0.7; P 0.001). Implementing the IMA was associated with significant reductions in VAP rates in ICUs of Saudi Arabia