Effect of Including Cancer Mortality on the Cost-Effectiveness of Aspirin for Primary Prevention in Men

BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that aspirin may be effective for reducing cancer mortality. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether including a cancer mortality-reducing effect influences which men would benefit from aspirin for primary prevention. DESIGN: We modified our existing Markov model that examines the effects of aspirin among middle-aged men with no previous history of cardiovascular disease or diabetes. For our base case scenario of 45-year-old men, we examined costs and life-years for men taking aspirin for 10 years compared with men who were not taking aspirin over those 10 years; after 10 years, we equalized treatment and followed the cohort until death. We compared our results depending on whether or not we included a 22 % relative reduction in cancer mortality, based on a recent meta-analysis. We discounted costs and benefits at 3 % and employed a third party payer perspective. MAIN MEASURE: Cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. KEY RESULTS: When no effect on cancer mortality was included, aspirin had a cost per QALY gained of $22,492 at 5$43,342). Results were somewhat sensitive to utility of taking aspirin daily; risk of death after myocardial infarction; and effects of aspirin on stroke, myocardial infarction, and sudden death. However, aspirin remained cost-saving or cost-effective (< $50,000 per QALY) in probabilistic analyses (59 % with no cancer effect included; 96 % with cancer effect) for men at 5 % risk. CONCLUSIONS: Including an effect of aspirin on cancer mortality influences the threshold for prescribing aspirin for primary prevention in men. If such an effect is real, many middle-aged men at low cardiovascular risk would become candidates for regular aspirin use

Cost-Utility of Aspirin and Proton Pump Inhibitors for Primary Prevention

Aspirin reduces myocardial infarction but increases gastrointestinal bleeding. Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) may reduce upper gastrointestinal bleed. We estimate the cost-utility of aspirin treatment with or without PPI for coronary heart disease (CHD) prevention among men at different risks for CHD and gastrointestinal bleed

Real-world financial and clinical impact of diagnostic-driven and empirical-treatment strategies in high-risk immunocompromised patients with suspected Aspergillus infection in the United Kingdom

A diagnostic-driven (DD) treatment strategy has proven successful for treating invasive fungal infections (IFIs) caused by Aspergillus. However, uptake of this treatment strategy is not fully embraced. This study compares the economic and clinical impact of DD and empirical-treatment (ET) strategies used within hospitals. Methods: a decision-analytic model was developed to compare costs and clinical outcomes associated with ET or a DD strategy of identifying infections caused by Aspergillus via galactomannan-antigen testing or Aspergillus polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in neutropenic patients with unexplained fever. Patients were treated prophylactically with antifungal treatments as seen in United Kingdom (UK) hospitals. The IFI incidence, response, mortality, resource use, and adverse events were obtained from meta-analyses and other clinical studies. Analyses were performed from the U.K. hospital perspective, and costs were obtained from standard costing sources. Although diagnostic-testing costs increased, total cost and length of stay were reduced by £1,121 and 1.54 days when treating via a DD strategy. Intensive care and general ward days accounted for . 40% of total costs and . 58% of the cost reduction came from reduced antifungal costs. Treating with a DD strategy reduced the number of patients being treated with antifungal agents while survival was increased. Thus, a DD strategy was cost savings (-£136,787 cost per death avoided) compared with an ET strategy. Conclusion: this study suggests that incorporating a DD strategy as the preferred treatment protocol may be a cost-saving and clinically improved treatment strategy for managing neutropenic patients with unexplained fever. IMPORTANCE Patients at risk of invasive fungal infections (IFIs), such as Aspergillus spp., tend to be immunocompromised and usually take several medications which may generate many side effects. Prescribing is further complicated by comorbidities, drug interactions and challenges accessing diagnostics. Therefore, adding another agent may be neither straightforward nor the best option for these types of patients. A diagnostic-driven (DD) treatment strategy has proven successful for treating IFIs. However, uptake of this treatment strategy is not fully embraced in clinical practice perhaps because this strategy is thought to be more costly and/or to result in higher mortality relative to treating empirically. We developed a decision-analytic model to examine the impact of these 2 strategies on costs and health outcomes. This study indicates that incorporating a DD strategy as the preferred treatment protocol may be a cost-saving and clinically improved treatment strategy for managing neutropenic patients with unexplained fever

Re-Analysis of Modeling a Switch from a 13-Valent to 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Canada:Leveraging Real-World Experience from Belgium

<p>Full copyright for enhanced digital features is owned by the authors.</p><p> </p><p><strong>Article full text</strong></p><p> </p><p><br> The full text of this article can be found <a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40121-018-0222-1"><b>here</b>.</a> <br> <br> <strong>Provide enhanced digital features for this article</strong><br> If you are an author of this publication and would like to provide additional enhanced digital features for your article then please contact <u>[email protected]</u>.<br> <br> The journal offers a range of additional features designed to increase visibility and readership. All features will be thoroughly peer reviewed to ensure the content is of the highest scientific standard and all features are marked as ‘peer reviewed’ to ensure readers are aware that the content has been reviewed to the same level as the articles they are being presented alongside. Moreover, all sponsorship and disclosure information is included to provide complete transparency and adherence to good publication practices. This ensures that however the content is reached the reader has a full understanding of its origin. No fees are charged for hosting additional open access content.<br> <br> Other enhanced features include, but are not limited to:<br> • Slide decks<br> • Videos and animations<br> • Audio abstracts<br> • Audio slides</p> <p> </p

Response to McGirr et al.'s Comment on "Clinical and Economic Impact of a Potential Switch from 13-Valent to 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Infant Vaccination in Canada"

Full copyright for enhanced digital features is owned by Pfizer inc. Article full text The full text of this article can be found here. Provide enhanced digital features for this article If you are an author of this publication and would like to provide additional enhanced digital features for your article then please contact [email protected]. The journal offers a range of additional features designed to increase visibility and readership. All features will be thoroughly peer reviewed to ensure the content is of the highest scientific standard and all features are marked as ‘peer reviewed’ to ensure readers are aware that the content has been reviewed to the same level as the articles they are being presented alongside. Moreover, all sponsorship and disclosure information is included to provide complete transparency and adherence to good publication practices. This ensures that however the content is reached the reader has a full understanding of its origin. No fees are charged for hosting additional open access content. Other enhanced features include, but are not limited to: • Slide decks • Videos and animations • Audio abstracts • Audio slides </p

Cost-effectiveness of 2 + 1 dosing of 13-valent and 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in Canada

Abstract Background Thirteen-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) and 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) are two recently approved vaccines for the active immunization against Streptococcus pneumoniae causing invasive pneumococcal disease in infants and children. PCV13 offers broader protection against Streptococcus pneumoniae; however, PCV10 offers potential protection against non-typeable Haemophilus influenza (NTHi). We examined public health and economic impacts of a PCV10 and PCV13 pediatric national immunization programs (NIPs) in Canada. Methods A decision-analytic model was developed to examine the costs and outcomes associated with PCV10 and PCV13 pediatric NIPs. The model followed individuals over the remainder of their lifetime. Recent disease incidence, serotype coverage, population data, percent vaccinated, costs, and utilities were obtained from the published literature. Direct and indirect effects were derived from 7-valent pneumococcal vaccine. Additional direct effect of 4% was attributed to PCV10 for moderate to severe acute otitis media to account for potential NTHi benefit. Annual number of disease cases and costs (2010 Canadian dollars) were presented. Results In Canada, PCV13 was estimated to prevent more cases of disease (49,340 when considering both direct and indirect effects and 7,466 when considering direct effects only) than PCV10. This translated to population gains of 258 to 13,828 more quality-adjusted life-years when vaccinating with PCV13 versus PCV10. Annual direct medical costs (including the cost of vaccination) were estimated to be reduced by $5.7 million to$132.8 million when vaccinating with PCV13. Thus, PCV13 dominated PCV10, and sensitivity analyses showed PCV13 to always be dominant or cost-effective versus PCV10. Conclusions Considering the epidemiology of pneumococcal disease in Canada, PCV13 is shown to be a cost-saving immunization program because it provides substantial public health and economic benefits relative to PCV10.</p

Comment on Gomez et. al. “Response to article by Wasserman et. al. (2018) ‘Modelling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico’”

In a recent Letter, Gomez et. al. provided a critique of our original analysis estimating the clinical and economic impact of switching from the 13-valent (PCV13) to the 10-valent (PCV10) pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Mexico. This comment addresses Gomez et. al.’s comments with additional information and clarifies potential misinterpretations

Historical Population-Level Impact of Infant 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) National Immunization Programs on Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Australia, Canada, England and Wales, Israel, and the United States

Abstract Introduction This study estimates the annual population-level impact of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) infant national immunization programs (NIPs) on vaccine-type and non-vaccine type invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) incidence across all ages using national surveillance data. Methods We identified countries (Australia, Canada, England and Wales, Israel, and the US) with national IPD active surveillance data that introduced the seven-valent PCV (PCV7) followed by PCV13, which also reported annual serotype- and age group-specific incidence. We extracted IPD incidence by serotype groupings [PCV13 minus PCV7 (PCV13-7) serotypes; PCV13-7 serotypes excluding serotype 3; non-PCV13 serotypes; and the 20-valent (PCV20) minus PCV13 (PCV20-13) serotypes] and by age groups (< 2 years, 2–4 years, 5–17 years, 18–34 years, 35–49 years, 50–64 years, and ≥ 65 years). For each country, we calculated the annual relative change in IPD incidence (percent change), and the corresponding incidence rate ratio (IRR), for 7 years post introduction compared to the year prior to PCV13 program initiation. Results PCV13-7 vaccine-type IPD incidence consistently decreased over time following introduction of PCV13 across countries, reaching an approximate steady state after 3–4 years in ages < 5 years, with roughly 60–90% decrease (IRRs = 0.1–0.4) and after 4–5 years in ages ≥ 65 years with approximately 60–80% decrease (IRRs = 0.2–0.4). Incidence declines were more substantial for the PCV13-7 grouping when excluding serotype 3. Non-PCV13 serotype incidence was variable by country and age group, ranging from virtually no serotype replacement compared to the PCV7 period across ages in the US to increases for other countries ranging from 10 to 204% (IRRs = 1.10–3.04) in children < 5 years and 41% to 123% (IRRs = 1.41–2.23) in ages ≥ 65 years. Conclusions Countries with longstanding PCV13 infant NIPs have observed substantial direct and indirect benefits, which are demonstrated in this study by the reduction in PCV13-7 IPD incidence compared to PCV7 period in all age groups. Over time, non-PCV13 serotypes have emerged in response to the reduction of incidence of PCV13-unique serotypes. Higher-valent PCVs are needed to address this emerging pneumococcal disease burden as well as the direct vaccination of both pediatric and adult populations against the most prevalent circulating serotypes

Cost Effectiveness of 5-Alpha Reductase Inhibitors for the Prevention of Prostate Cancer in Multiple Patient Populations

Background: Although 5-alpha reductase inhibitors (5ARIs) have demonstrated that they reduce the risk of prostate cancer (PCa), they have not demonstrated cost effectiveness in the patient populations in which they have been examined. Objective: A decision-analytic model was created to explore economic benefits from a third-party payer perspective of the use of 5ARIs in preventing PCa in men with different risk factors for developing the disease. Methods: A Markov model was developed to simulate a cohort of men annually through health states (e.g. healthy male, benign prostatic hyperplasia &lsqb;BPH&rsqb;, PCa, PCa recurrence) over a man's lifetime. Men with risk factors were treated with a 5ARI and compared with patients given no chemoprevention. Men from the general population were examined along with higher-risk men who had been referred to a PCa centre. Baseline risk was estimated via published risk data, risk factor analyses and risk equations. Clinical efficacy, morality, costs and utilities were obtained from published literature. Outcomes of the model included number of prostate cancers, incremental costs, incremental QALYs, incremental cost per QALY and number needed to treat. Along with sensitivity and scenario analyses, a validation of outcomes was performed. All costs were valued in &dollar;US, year 2009 values. Costs were discounted at 3% per annum. Results: Men receiving 5ARIs benefited through a reduction in the number of PCas. Assuming a cost-effectiveness threshold of &dollar;US50 000 per QALY, chemoprevention with 5ARIs was cost effective (&dollar;US37 900 per QALY) in men from the general population who were aged 50 years with elevated prostate-specific antigen (PSA), and who were aged 50 years with PCa family history and elevated PSA (&dollar;US31 065 per QALY). Chemoprevention with 5ARIs was not cost effective in men aged 50 years with no additional risk factors, men aged 50 years with abnormal digital rectal examinations (DREs), and men aged 50 years with a family history (&dollar;US86 511, &dollar;US85 577 and &dollar;US84 950 per QALY, respectively). In higher-risk men, chemoprevention could be expected to be cost effective (&dollar;US18 490 to &dollar;US11 816 per QALY, depending on risk scenario). Results were sensitive to changes in utilities, assumed PCa risk reduction with 5ARIs, and patient age. Conclusion: When considering common risk factors associated with PCa, prevention with 5ARIs is expected to be cost effective in 50-year-old men with elevated PSA. As a man's risk increases, the cost effectiveness of 5ARI chemoprevention improves.5-alpha-reductase-inhibitors, therapeutic use, Cost-utility, Prostate-cancer, prevention

Modeling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico

Introduction: Pneumococcal diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae represent a significant health and economic burden. Mexico has benefited from the inclusion of the 7-valent (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13) since their inclusion in the National Immunization Program (NIP) in 2006 and 2010, respectively. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of the existing program and predict future implications of a change in the current program. Methods: A previously published model was updated to estimate the historic impact of the PCV programs relative to pre-PCV implementation. Future disease trends were forecasted based on historical serotype behaviors for each PCV13 serotype and non-vaccine serotypes across different age groups. Costs and outcomes were estimated over a 10-year period based on continued use of PCV13 compared to a switch to PCV10. Results: The PCV7 and subsequent PCV13 NIP were estimated to prevent over 1.5 million cases of pneumococcal disease and 1,854 deaths, corresponding to a net savings of $34.50 Billion MXN. Continued use of PCV13 was estimated to save over 300 thousand cases of pneumococcal disease and 373 deaths compared to switching to PCV10 over a 10-year period. Despite a higher vaccine cost, maintaining PCV13 was cost-saving compared to PCV10, saving$6.71 billion MXN over 10 years. Conclusion: The PCV program in Mexico has provided a significant return on investment. Sustained PCV13 use was estimated to provide the greatest healthcare and economic impact in Mexico. Changes to the pneumococcal vaccination program could result in serotype replacement and reduction in herd effects