Bringing VY Canis Majoris Down to Size: An Improved Determination of Its Effective Tempeature

The star VY CMa is a late-type M supergiant with many peculiarities, mostly related to the intense circumstellar environment due to the star's high mass-loss rate. Claims have been made that would suggest this star is considerably more luminous (L = 5 x 10^5 Lo) and larger (R=2800 Ro) than other Galactic red supergiants (RSGs). Indeed, such a location in the H-R diagram would be well in the "Hayashi forbidden zone" where stars cannot be in hydrostatic equilibrium. These extraordinary properties, however, rest upon an assumed effective temperature of 2800-3000 K, far cooler than recent work have shown RSGs to be. To obtain a better estimate, we fit newly obtained spectrophotometry in the optical and NIR with the same MARCS models used for our recent determination of the physical properties of other RSGs; we also use $V-K$ and $V-J$ from the literature to derive an effective temperatures. We find that the star likely has a temperature of 3650 K, a luminosity L = 6 x 10^4 Lo, and a radius of 600Ro. These values are consistent with VY CMa being an ordinary evolved 15 Mo RSG, and agree well with the Geneva evolutionary tracks. We find that the circumstellar dust region has a temperature of 760 K, and an effective radius of approximately 130 AU, if spherical geometry is assumed for the latter. What causes this star to have such a high mass-loss, and large variations in brightness (but with little change in color), remains a mystery at present, although we speculate that perhaps this star (and NML Cyg) are simply normal RSGs caught during an unusually unstable time.Comment: Accepted by the Astrophysical Journa

Small Cues Change Savings Choices

In randomized field experiments, we embedded one- to two-sentence anchoring, goal-setting, or savings threshold cues in emails to employees about their 401(k) savings plan. We find that anchors increase or decrease 401(k) contribution rates by up to 1.9% of income. A high savings goal example raises contribution rates by up to 2.2% of income. Highlighting a higher savings threshold in the match incentive structure raises contributions by up to 1.5% of income relative to highlighting the lower threshold. Highlighting the maximum possible contribution rate raises contribution rates by up to 2.9% of income among low savers.

How Neighborhood Disadvantage Reduces Birth Weight

In this analysis we connect structural neighborhood conditions to birth outcomes through their intermediate effects on mothers’ perceptions of neighborhood danger and their tendency to abuse substances during pregnancy. We hypothesize that neighborhood poverty and racial/ethnic concentration combine to produce environments that mothers perceive as unsafe, thereby increasing the likelihood of negative coping behaviors (substance abuse). We expect these behaviors, in turn, to produce lower birth weights. Using data from the Fragile Families and Child Wellbeing Study, a survey of a cohort of children born between 1998 and 2000 and their mothers in large cities in the United States, we find little evidence to suggest that neighborhood circumstances have strong, direct effects on birth weight. Living in a neighborhood with more foreigners had a positive effect on birth weight. To the extent that neighborhood conditions influence birth weight, the effect mainly occurs through an association with perceived neighborhood danger and subsequent negative coping behaviors. Poverty and racial/ethnic concentration increase a mother’s sense that her neighborhood is unsafe. The perception of an unsafe neighborhood, in turn, associates with a greater likelihood of smoking cigarettes and using illegal drugs, and these behaviors have strong and significant effects in reducing birth weight. However, demographic characteristics, rather than perceived danger or substance abuse, mediate the influence of neighborhood characteristics on birth weight