New Records of the Eastern Red Bat, Lasiurus borealis, from Cypress Hills Provincial Park, Saskatchewan: A Response to Climate Change?

During the summer of 2001 we captured two Eastern Red Bats (Lasiurus borealis) in Cypress Hills Provincial Park, Saskatchewan. A possible explanation for this range extension is a warming trend since 1965 documented for the area

Comparison Of Scattered Energy Using Point Scatterers Versus Full 3D Finite Difference Modeling

We present results of 3D numerical modeling using a series of simple point scatterers to create synthetic seismic shot records collected over regular, discrete, vertical fracture systems. The background medium is taken to be constant velocity. The model contains a series of point scatterers delineating the top tip and bottom tip of each vertical fracture. We use these results to gain an understanding of some of the features seen in full 3D elastic modeling of vertical fractures. We compare our results to those of Willis et al (2003) and Willis et al (2004) for their 5 layer model with 50m spacing between discrete, vertical fractures. Our modeling shows that a series of back scattered events with both positive and negative moveouts are observed when the shot record is oriented normal to the direction of fracturing. When the shot record is both located in the middle of the fractured zone and is oriented normal to the direction of fracturing, a complicated series of beating is observed in the back scattered energy. When the shot record is oriented parallel to the fracturing, ringing wavetrains are observed which moveouts similar to reflections from many horizontal layers. The point scattering models are, in general, very consistent with the full 3D elastic modeling results.Eni S.p.A. (Firm)United States. Dept. of Energy (Grant number DE-FC26-02NT15346)Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources Laborator

Fractured Reservoir Characterization using Azimuthal AVO

Ordinary least squares is used to investigate the ability to detect changes in physical properties using Amplitude Versus Offset (AVO) information collected from seismic data. In order to characterize vertically aligned fractures within a reservoir, this method is extended to Azimuthal AVO (AVOA) analysis. Azimuthal AVO has the potential not only to detect fractured zones, but to spatially describe the fracture strike orientation and changes in fracture or fluid properties. Depending on the data acquisition geometry, signal-to-noise ratio, and extent of fracturing, AVOA analysis can be marginally successful. A study of the robustness and limitations of AVOA analysis is therefore first classified with synthetic data. These methods are then applied to seismic data collected during an Ocean Bottom Cable (OBC) survey over a known fractured reservoir.Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources LaboratoryUnited States. Dept. of Energy (Grant DE-FC26-02NT15346)Eni S.p.A. (Firm

Global inequities and political borders challenge nature conservation under climate change

Underlying sociopolitical factors have emerged as important determinants of wildlife population trends and the effectiveness of conservation action. Despite mounting research into the impacts of climate change on nature, there has been little consideration of the human context in which these impacts occur, particularly at the global scale. We investigate this in two ways. First, by modeling the climatic niches of terrestrial mammals and birds globally, we show that projected species loss under climate change is greatest in countries with weaker governance and lower Gross Domestic Product, with loss of mammal species projected to be greater in countries with lower CO2 emissions. Therefore, climate change impacts on species may be disproportionately significant in countries with lower capacity for effective conservation and lower greenhouse gas emissions, raising important questions of international justice. Second, we consider the redistribution of species in the context of political boundaries since the global importance of transboundary conservation under climate change is poorly understood. Under a high-emissions scenario, we find that 35% of mammals and 29% of birds are projected to have over half of their 2070 climatic niche in countries in which they are not currently found. We map these transboundary range shifts globally, identifying borders across which international coordination might most benefit conservation and where physical border barriers, such as walls and fences, may be an overlooked obstacle to climate adaptation. Our work highlights the importance of sociopolitical context and the utility of a supranational perspective for 21st century nature conservation

Analysis of Scattered Signal to Estimate Reservoir Fracture Parameters

We detect fracture corridors and determine their orientation and average spacing based on an analysis of seismic coda in the frequency-wave number (f-k ) domain. Fracture corridors have dimensions similar to seismic wavelengths which causes scattering. The distribution of energy in shot records in the f-k domain depends upon the orientation of the records relative to the fracture strike. In the direction normal to fractures, scattered waves propagate with slower apparent velocities than waves propagating along the fracture channels. The associated f-k spectral differences allow the identification of the preferred fracture orientation and spacing. We apply our technique to a fractured reservoir in the Lynx field, in the Canadian foothills. The estimated preferential fracture orientation is about N40 E, which agrees with regional stress measurements. The average fracture spacing is 75 m on the West side of the survey, while fractures are more sparse on the East side. We also apply the Scattering Index methodology (Willis et al., 2006) to the same data, post-stack and pre-stack. This technique has higher resolution to map fracture distribution, intensity and orientation, and therefore complements the spectral method in providing an integrated description of reservoir fractures.United States. Dept. of Energy (award number DE-FC26-06NT42956)Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources Laborator

Priority Effects Among Young-of-the-Year Fish: Reduced Growth of Bluegill Sunfish (Lepomis macrochirus) Caused by Yellow Perch (Perca flavescens)?

1. When available, Daphnia spp. are often preferred by age-0 yellow perch and bluegill sunfish because of energetic profitability. We hypothesised that predation by age-0 yellow perch could lead to a midsummer decline (MSD) of Daphnia spp. and that priority effects may favour yellow perch because they hatch before bluegill, allowing them to capitalise on Daphnia spp. prior to bluegill emergence. 2. Data were collected from 2004 to 2010 in Pelican Lake, Nebraska, U.S.A. The lake experienced a prolonged MSD in all but 1 year (2005), generally occurring within the first 2 weeks of June except in 2008 and 2010 when it occurred at the end of June. MSD timing is not solely related to seasonal patterns of age-0 yellow perch consumption. Nevertheless, when Daphnia spp. biomass was low during 2004 and 2006–2010 (\u3c4 mg wet weight L)1 ), predation by age-0 yellow perch seems to have suppressed Daphnia spp. biomass (i.e. \u3c1.0 mg wet weight L)1 ). The exception was 2005 when age-0 yellow perch were absent. 3. Growth of age-0 bluegill was significantly faster in 2005, when Daphnia spp. were available in greater densities (\u3e4 mg wet weight L)1 ) compared with the other years (\u3c0.2 mg wet weight L)1 ). 4. We conclude that age-0 yellow perch are capable of reducing Daphnia biomass prior to the arrival of age-0 bluegill, ultimately slowing bluegill growth. Thus, priority effects favour age-0 yellow perch when competing with age-0 bluegill for Daphnia. However, these effects may be minimised if there is a shorter time between hatching of the two species, higher Daphnia spp. densities or lower age-0 yellow perch densities

Priority Effects Among Young-of-the-year Fish: Reduced Growth of Bluegill Sunfish (Lepomis macrochirus) Caused by Yellow Perch (Perca flavescens)?

1. When available, Daphnia spp. are often preferred by age-0 yellow perch and bluegill sunfish because of energetic profitability. We hypothesised that predation by age-0 yellow perch could lead to a midsummer decline (MSD) of Daphnia spp. and that priority effects may favour yellow perch because they hatch before bluegill, allowing them to capitalise on Daphnia spp. prior to bluegill emergence. 2. Data were collected from 2004 to 2010 in Pelican Lake, Nebraska, U.S.A. The lake experienced a prolonged MSD in all but 1 year (2005), generally occurring within the first 2 weeks of June except in 2008 and 2010 when it occurred at the end of June. MSD timing is not solely related to seasonal patterns of age-0 yellow perch consumption. Nevertheless, when Daphnia spp. biomass was low during 2004 and 2006–2010 (\u3c4 mg wet weight L)1), predation by age-0 yellow perch seems to have suppressed Daphnia spp. biomass (i.e. \u3c1.0 mg wet weight L)1). The exception was 2005 when age-0 yellow perch were absent. 3. Growth of age-0 bluegill was significantly faster in 2005, when Daphnia spp. were available in greater densities (\u3e4 mg wet weight L)1) compared with the other years (\u3c0.2 mg wet weight L)1). 4. We conclude that age-0 yellow perch are capable of reducing Daphnia biomass prior to the arrival of age-0 bluegill, ultimately slowing bluegill growth. Thus, priority effects favour age-0 yellow perch when competing with age-0 bluegill for Daphnia. However, these effects may be minimised if there is a shorter time between hatching of the two species, higher Daphnia spp. densities or lower age-0 yellow perch densities

Nonlinear Soil Response in the Near-Field of a Vibrator Truck: Application to Land Seismic Surveys

The nonlinear behavior of soils can significantly modify the wavelet radiated from vibrator trucks. In this paper, we describe a field experiment designed to measure the nonlinear response of a natural soil formation in the near-field of a vibrator truck. A 267-kN (30-ton) vibrator truck performed a step-sweep through a set of 201 discrete frequencies from 50-Hz to 10-Hz, which was repeated at 11 increasing source amplitudes. Steady-state amplitude spectra for the source output measured on the vibrator truck are significantly different than amplitude spectra for receivers located immediately adjacent to the vibrator truck. Spectral ratios between the source and adjacent receivers show a systematic decrease in peak frequency as the source amplitude is increased. Near-field measurements from vibrator trucks provide a more accurate measurement of the source wavelet that includes soil nonlinearity, and may ultimately lead to a method for optimizing the transmission of energy through an arbitrary soil formation.University of California, Los Angeles. Institute of Geophysics and Planetary PhysicsMassachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources Laborator

Orientation Estimation for Multiple Large Fractures by Scattering Energy

We have done the numerical modeling of seismic response to multiple sets of vertical large fractures by using finite-difference method (FD), which can easily handle media with monoclinic anisotropy. We consider three types of fracture distributions: a set of parallel fractures, two sets of orthogonal fractures and two sets of non-orthogonal fractures intersecting at 45 degrees. We address the seismic scattering response to large fractures by using a 3-layer model and a 5-layer model, where a fractured reservoir is in the middle layer of these two models. Seismic scattered energy is analyzed by the Scattering Index (SI) method to estimate the orientation of these multiple fractures. In both models, SI indicates the correct orientation of the two orthogonal fracture sets but is ambiguous for non-orthogonal fracture sets. Information about the fracture spacing and compliance can also be extracted from the azimuthal SI in some situations. More compliant fracture sets result in higher SI values while the relationship between fracture spacing and SI depends on the source wavelength. Variations in the SI energy can be caused by fracture spacing and compliance variations, and these relationships need further investigation.United States. Dept. of Energy (Award No. DE-FC26-02NT15346)Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources Laborator

Characterization of Scattered Waves from Fractures by Estimating the Transfer Function Between Reflected Events Above and Below Each Interval

It is important to be able to detect and characterize naturally occurring fractures in reservoirs using surface seismic reflection data. 3D finite difference elastic modeling is used to create simulated surface seismic data over a three layer model and a five layer model. The elastic properties in the reservoir layer of each model are varied to simulate different amounts of vertical parallel fracturing. The presence of the fractures induces ringing wave trains primarily at times later than the bottom reservoir reflection. These ringy or scattered wave trains appear coherent on the seismograms recorded parallel to the fracture direction. While there are many scattered events on the seismograms recorded perpendicular to the direction of the fractures, these events appear to generally stack out during conventional processing. A method of characterizing and detecting scattering in intervals is developed by deconvolution to give an interval transfer function. The method is simple for the case of two isolated reflections, one from the top of the reservoir and the other from the bottom of the reservoir. The transfer function is computed using the top reflection as the input and the bottom reflection as the output. The transfer function then characterizes the effect of the scattering layer. A simple pulse shape indicates no scattering. A long ringy transfer function captures the scattering within the reservoir interval. When analyzing field data, it is rarely possible to isolate reflections. Therefore, an adaptation of the method is developed using autocorrelations of the wave trains above (as input) and below (as output) the interval of interest for the deconvolution process. The presence of fractures should be detectable from observed ringy transfer functions computed for each time interval. The fracture direction should be identifiable from azimuthal variations – there should be more ringiness in the direction parallel to fracturing. The method applied to ocean bottom cable field data at 4 locations show strong temporal and azimuthal variations of the transfer function which may be correlated to the known geology.Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Earth Resources LaboratoryUnited States. Dept. of Energy (Grant DE-FC26-02NT15346)Eni S.p.A. (Firm