2,761 research outputs found
Social distancing strategies against disease spreading
The recurrent infectious diseases and their increasing impact on the society
has promoted the study of strategies to slow down the epidemic spreading. In
this review we outline the applications of percolation theory to describe
strategies against epidemic spreading on complex networks. We give a general
outlook of the relation between link percolation and the
susceptible-infected-recovered model, and introduce the node void percolation
process to describe the dilution of the network composed by healthy individual,
, the network that sustain the functionality of a society. Then, we survey
two strategies: the quenched disorder strategy where an heterogeneous
distribution of contact intensities is induced in society, and the intermittent
social distancing strategy where health individuals are persuaded to avoid
contact with their neighbors for intermittent periods of time. Using
percolation tools, we show that both strategies may halt the epidemic
spreading. Finally, we discuss the role of the transmissibility, , the
effective probability to transmit a disease, on the performance of the
strategies to slow down the epidemic spreading.Comment: to be published in "Perspectives and Challenges in Statistical
Physics and Complex Systems for the Next Decade", Word Scientific Pres
Monitoring luminous yellow massive stars in M33: new yellow hypergiant candidates
The evolution of massive stars surviving the red supergiant (RSG) stage
remains unexplored due to the rarity of such objects. The yellow hypergiants
(YHGs) appear to be the warm counterparts of post-RSG classes located near the
Humphreys-Davidson upper luminosity limit, which are characterized by
atmospheric instability and high mass-loss rates. We aim to increase the number
of YHGs in M33 and thus to contribute to a better understanding of the
pre-supernova evolution of massive stars. Optical spectroscopy of five
dust-enshrouded YSGs selected from mid-IR criteria was obtained with the goal
of detecting evidence of extensive atmospheres. We also analyzed BVI photometry
for 21 of the most luminous YSGs in M33 to identify changes in the spectral
type. To explore the properties of circumstellar dust, we performed SED-fitting
of multi-band photometry of the 21 YSGs. We find three luminous YSGs in our
sample to be YHG candidates, as they are surrounded by hot dust and are
enshrouded within extended, cold dusty envelopes. Our spectroscopy of star 2
shows emission of more than one H component, as well as emission of
CaII, implying an extended atmospheric structure. In addition, the long-term
monitoring of the star reveals a dimming in the visual light curve of amplitude
larger than 0.5 mag that caused an apparent drop in the temperature that
exceeded 500 K. We suggest the observed variability to be analogous to that of
the Galactic YHG Cas. Five less luminous YSGs are suggested as post-RSG
candidates showing evidence of hot or/and cool dust emission. We demonstrate
that mid-IR photometry, combined with optical spectroscopy and time-series
photometry, provide a robust method for identifying candidate YHGs. Future
discovery of YHGs in Local Group galaxies is critical for the study of the late
evolution of intermediate-mass massive stars.Comment: 24 pages, 12 figures, 7 Tables. A&A in pres
Erratum: "Groups of Galaxies in the Two Micron All Sky Redshift Survey" (ApJ, 655, 790 [2007])
The 2MASS Tully-Fisher Survey : Mapping the Mass in the Universe
The 2MASS Tully-Fisher Survey (2MTF) aims to measure Tully-Fisher (TF)
distances for all bright inclined spirals in the 2MASS Redshift Survey (2MRS)
using high quality HI widths and 2MASS photometry. Compared with previous
peculiar velocity surveys, the 2MTF survey provides more accurate width
measurements and more uniform sky coverage, combining observations with the
Green Bank, Arecibo and Parkes telescopes. With this new redshift-independent
distance database, we will significantly improve our understanding of the mass
distribution in the local universe.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figures, IAU Symposium 289 proceedin
Evolution equation for a model of surface relaxation in complex networks
In this paper we derive analytically the evolution equation of the interface
for a model of surface growth with relaxation to the minimum (SRM) in complex
networks. We were inspired by the disagreement between the scaling results of
the steady state of the fluctuations between the discrete SRM model and the
Edward-Wilkinson process found in scale-free networks with degree distribution
for [Pastore y Piontti {\it et al.},
Phys. Rev. E {\bf 76}, 046117 (2007)]. Even though for Euclidean lattices the
evolution equation is linear, we find that in complex heterogeneous networks
non-linear terms appear due to the heterogeneity and the lack of symmetry of
the network; they produce a logarithmic divergency of the saturation roughness
with the system size as found by Pastore y Piontti {\it et al.} for .Comment: 9 pages, 2 figure
The Cepheid distance to the maser-host galaxy NGC 4258: Studying systematics with the Large Binocular Telescope
We identify and phase a sample of 81 Cepheids in the maser-host galaxy NGC
4258 using the Large Binocular Telescope (LBT), and obtain calibrated mean
magnitudes in up to 4 filters for a subset of 43 Cepheids using archival HST
data. We employ 3 models to study the systematic effects of extinction, the
assumed extinction law, and metallicity on the Cepheid distance to NGC 4258. We
find a correction to the Cepheid colors consistent with a grayer extinction law
in NGC 4258 compared to the Milky Way (), although we believe this is
indicative of other systematic effects. If we combine our Cepheid sample with
previously known Cepheids, we find a significant metallicity adjustment to the
distance modulus of mag/dex, for the Zaritsky et
al. (1994) metallicity scale, as well as a weak trend of Cepheid colors with
metallicity. Conclusions about the absolute effect of metallicity on Cepheid
mean magnitudes appear to be limited by the available data on the metallicity
gradient in NGC 4258, but our Cepheid data require at least some metallicity
adjustment to make the Cepheid distance consistent with independent distances
to the LMC and NGC 4258. From our ensemble of models and the geometric maser
distance of NGC 4258 ( mag), we estimate
mag ( kpc).Comment: Accepted for publication in MNRAS. 28 pages, 13 figures, 11 tables. A
brief video summarizing the key results of this paper can be found at
http://youtu.be/ICTTNyxZ89
A prototype for SONTRAC, a scintillating plastic fiber tracking detector for neutron imaging and spectroscopy
We report on tests of a prototype detector system designed to perform imaging and spectroscopy on 20 to 250 MeV neutrons. Although developed for the study of high-energy solar flare processes, the detection techniques employed for SONTRAC, the SOlar Neutron TRACking experiment, can be applied to measurements in a variety of disciplines including atmospheric physics, radiation therapy and nuclear materials monitoring. The SONTRAC instrument measures the energy and direction ofneutrons by detecting double neutron-proton scatters and recording images of the ionization tracks of the recoil protons in a densely packed bundle of scintillating plastic fibers stacked in orthogonal layers. By tracking the recoil protons from individual neutrons, the kinematics of the scatter are determined. This directional information results in a high signal to noise measurement. SONTRAC is also capable of detecting and measuring high-energy gamma rays \u3e20 MeV as a “solid-state spark chamber”. The self-triggering and track imaging features of a prototype for tracking in two dimensions are demonstrated in calibrations with cosmic-ray muons, 14 to ~65 MeV neutrons and ~20 MeV protons
Slow epidemic extinction in populations with heterogeneous infection rates
We explore how heterogeneity in the intensity of interactions between people
affects epidemic spreading. For that, we study the
susceptible-infected-susceptible model on a complex network, where a link
connecting individuals and is endowed with an infection rate
proportional to the intensity of their contact
, with a distribution taken from face-to-face experiments
analyzed in Cattuto (PLoS ONE 5, e11596, 2010). We find an extremely
slow decay of the fraction of infected individuals, for a wide range of the
control parameter . Using a distribution of width we identify two
large regions in the space with anomalous behaviors, which are
reminiscent of rare region effects (Griffiths phases) found in models with
quenched disorder. We show that the slow approach to extinction is caused by
isolated small groups of highly interacting individuals, which keep epidemic
alive for very long times. A mean-field approximation and a percolation
approach capture with very good accuracy the absorbing-active transition line
for weak (small ) and strong (large ) disorder, respectively
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