Evaluation of the 2015 ATA Guidelines in Patients with Distant Metastatic Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

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Clinical and Histopathological Risk Factors for Radioactive Iodine Refractory Follicular and Oncocytic Thyroid Carcinoma

CONTEXTS:Risk factors for radioactive iodine (RAI)-refractory disease in follicular (FTC) and oncocytic thyroid carcinoma (OTC) are unknown. Therefore, the aim of this study is to identify clinical and histopathological risk factors for RAI-refractory disease in FTC and OTC patients, facilitated by an extensive histopathological revision.METHODS: All adult FTC and OTC patients treated at Erasmus MC (the Netherlands) between 2000 and 2016 were retrospectively included. 2015 ATA Guidelines were used to define RAI-refractory disease. An extensive histopathological revision was performed applying the 2022 WHO Classification using Palga: Dutch Pathology Databank. Logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for RAI-refractory disease, stratified for histological subtype.RESULTS: Ninety FTC and 52 OTC patients were included, of which 14 FTC (15.6%) and 22 OTC (42.3%) developed RAI-refractory disease over a follow-up time of 8.5 years. RAI-refractory disease occurred in OTC after fewer cycles than in FTC (2.0 [IQR: 1.0-2.0] vs 2.5 [IQR: 2.0-3.75]), and it substantially decreased the 10-year disease specific survival, especially in OTC (46.4%; FTC 85.7%). In FTC, risk factors were higher age at diagnosis, pT3/pT4-stage, N1-stage, widely invasive tumors and extra-thyroidal extension. N1-stage and M1-stage were the strongest risk factors in OTC, rather than histopathological characteristics of the primary tumor.CONCLUSION: To our knowledge, this is the first study that correlates clinical and histopathological risk factors with RAI-refractory disease in FTC and OTC, facilitated by a histopathological revision. In FTC, risk factors for RAI-refractory disease were foremost histopathological characteristics of the primary tumor, whereas in OTC presentation with lymph node and distant metastasis was associated with RAI-refractory disease. Our data can help clinical decision making, particularly in patients at risk for RAI-refractory disease.</p

The influence of age on disease outcome in 2015 ATA high-risk differentiated thyroid cancer patients

Objective: Recent research suggests that the addition of age improves the 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) Risk Stratification System for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). The aim of our study was to investigate the influence of age on disease outcome in ATA-high risk patients with a focus on differences between patients with papillary (PTC) and follicular thyroid cancer (FTC). Methods: We retrospectively studied adult patients with high-risk DTC from a Dutch University hospital. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the effects of age (at diagnosis) and several age cutoffs (per 5 years increment between 20 and 80 years) on (i) response to therapy, (ii) developing no evidence of disease (NED), (iii) recurrence, and (iv) disease-specific mortality (DSM). Results: We included 236 ATA high-risk patients (32% FTC) with a median follow-up of 6 years. Age, either continuously or dichotomously, had a significant influence on having an excellent response after initial therapy, developing NED, recurrence, and DSM for PTC and FTC. For FTC, an age cutoff of 65 or 70 years showed the best statistical model performance, while this was 50 or 60 years for PTC. Conclusions: In a population of patients with high-risk DTC, older age has a significant negative influence on disease outcomes. Slightly different optimal age cutoffs were identified for the different outcomes, and these cutoffs differed between PTC and FTC. Therefore, the ATA Risk Stratification System may further improve should age be incorporated as an additional risk factor

Finding the Optimal Age Cutoff for the UICC/AJCC TNM Staging System in Patients with Papillary or Follicular Thyroid Cancer

Background: Differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is the only cancer entity for which the UICC/AJCC (Union for International Cancer Control and American Joint Committee on Cancer) TNM (tumor-node-metastasis) staging system involves an age cutoff as a prognostic criterion. However, the optimal age cutoff has not yet been determined in detail. The aim of our study was therefore to investigate the optimal age cutoff for the TNM staging system to predict disease-specific survival (DSS) with a focus on differences between patients with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) and follicular thyroid cancer (FTC). Methods: We retrospectively studied two large well-described cohorts of adult DTC patients from a Dutch and a German university hospital. DSS was analyzed for DTC overall, and for PTC and FTC separately, using several age cutoffs (per 5-year increment between 20 and 85 years and subsequently 1-year increments between 35 and 55 years), employing the histopathological criteria from the TNM staging system, eighth edition. Results: We included 3074 DTC patients (77% PTC and 23% FTC; mean age at diagnosis was 49 years). Median follow-up was seven years. For DTC and for PTC and FTC separately, the majority of the age cutoffs had a better statistical model performance than a model with no age cutoff. For DTC overall and for PTC, an age cutoff of 50 years had the best statistical model performance, while it was 40 years for FTC. Conclusions: In this large European population of DTC patients, when employing the histopathological criteria of the TNM system (eighth edition), the optimal age cutoff to predict DSS is 50 years rather than the 55 years currently in use. With the optimal age cutoff being 50 years for PTC and 40 years for FTC, there was a substantial difference in age cutoff for the respective histological entities. Therefore, implementation of different age cutoffs for PTC and FTC could improve the predictive value of the TNM staging system

Evaluating the use of a two-step age-based cutoff for the UICC/AJCC TNM staging system in patients with papillary or follicular thyroid cancer

Background: The joint Union International Contre le Cancer and American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC/AJCC) Tumor, Node, Metastasis (TNM) staging system for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) involves a single age cutoff as a prognostic criterion. Because a single cutoff is a dichotomization of what might be a sliding scale, using multiple age cutoffs might result into a better stage definition. The aim of our study was to investigate if using a two-step age-based cutoff would improve the TNM staging system regarding disease-specific survival (DSS). Methods: We retrospectively studied two cohorts of adult DTC patients from The Netherlands and Germany. DSS was analyzed for papillary (PTC) and follicular thyroid cancer (FTC) separately, investigating several two-step age-based cutoffs for those with distant metastases; below lower threshold classified as stage I, between lower and upper threshold as stage II, and above upper threshold as stage IV. Results: We included 3074 DTC patients (77% PTC). For PTC, an age cutoff of 45 with 50 years had the best statistical model performance, while this was 25 with 40 years for FTC. However, differences with the optimal single age cutoffs of 50 years for PTC and 40 years for FTC were small. Conclusions: The optimal two-step age-based cutoff to predict DSS is 45 with 50 years for PTC and 25 with 40 years for FTC, rather than 55 years currently used for DTC. Although these two-step age-based cutoffs were marginally better from a statistical point of view, from a clinical point of view, the recently defined optimal single age cutoffs of 50 years for PTC and 40 years for FTC might be preferable

Evaluating Disease Specific Survival Prediction of Risk Stratification and TNM Systems in Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Background Many countries have national guidelines for the management of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC), including a risk stratification system to predict recurrence of disease. Studies whether these guidelines could also have relevance, beyond their original design, in predicting survival are lacking. Additionally, no studies evaluated these international guidelines in the same population, nor compared them with the TNM system. Therefore, we investigated the prognostic value of 6 stratification systems used by 10 international guidelines, and the TNM system with respect to predicting disease-specific survival (DSS). Methods We retrospectively studied adult patients with DTC from a Dutch university hospital. Patients were classified using the risk classification described in the British, Dutch, French, Italian, Polish, Spanish, European Society of Medical Oncology, European Thyroid Association, the 2009 and 2015 American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines, and the latest TNM system. DSS was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the statistical model performance using the C-index, Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and proportion of variance explained. Results We included 857 patients with DTC (79% papillary thyroid cancer, 21% follicular thyroid cancer). Median follow-up was 9 years, and 67 (7.8%) died because of DTC. The Dutch guideline had the worst statistical model performance, whereas the 2009 ATA/2014 British guideline had the best. However, the (adapted) TNM system outperformed all stratification systems. Conclusions In a European population of patients with DTC, of 10 international guidelines using 6 risk of recurrence stratification systems and 1 mortality-based stratification system, our optimized age-adjusted TNM system (8th edition) outperformed all other systems