113 research outputs found
Taylor dispersion with absorbing boundaries: A Stochastic Approach
We describe how to solve the problem of Taylor dispersion in the presence of
absorbing boundaries using an exact stochastic formulation. In addition to
providing a clear stochastic picture of Taylor dispersion, our method leads to
closed-form expressions for all the moments of the convective displacement of
the dispersing particles in terms of the transverse diffusion eigenmodes. We
also find that the cumulants grow asymptotically linearly with time, ensuring a
Gaussian distribution in the long-time limit. As a demonstration of the
technique, the first two longitudinal cumulants (yielding respectively the
effective velocity and the Taylor diffusion constant) as well as the skewness
(a measure of the deviation from normality) are calculated for fluid flow in
the parallel plate geometry. We find that the effective velocity and the
skewness (which is negative in this case) are enhanced while Taylor dispersion
is suppressed due to absorption at the boundary.Comment: 4 pages, 1 figur
Imaging heterogeneities with electrical impedance tomography: laboratory results
Electrical impedance tomography (EIT) is commonly used on site as a characterisation and monitoring tool. In the present work this technique has been applied at laboratory scale in order to investigate its capabilities in controlled conditions, with particular reference to the detection of anomalies in sandy samples. Various configurations have been studied, investigating heterogeneities due to variation of porosity, grain size distribution and clay content. The results show the great potential of EIT as an imaging tool in laboratory equipment to check sample homogeneity and to monitor processes during tests
Young children's explorations of average through informal inferential reasoning
This study situates children's early notions of average within an inquiry classroom to investigate the rich inferential reasoning that young children drew on to make sense of the questions: Is there a typical height for a student in year 3? If so, what is it? Based on their deliberations over several lessons, students' ideas about average and typicality evolved as meaning reasonable, contrary to atypical, most common (value or interval), middle, normative, and representative of the population. The case study reported here documents a new direction for the development of children's conceptions of average in a classroom designed to elicit their informal inferential reasoning about data
El Pensamiento Probabilístico de los Profesores de Biología en Formación
Los futuros profesores de secundaria requieren de una formación acorde a las demandas de la sociedad del siglo XXI. Ello impone el desarrollo de un pensamiento que le permita interpretar y abordar los fenómenos de naturaleza aleatoria. El objetivo de este trabajo es determinar las tendencias de pensamiento probabilístico de los estudiantes de los profesorados de Biología de la provincia de Mendoza, Argentina. Para ello se aplicó un cuestionario a los 325 estudiantes que cursan esta carrera. El mismo consta de tres partes; la primera trata sobre las variables demográficas de los estudiantes, la segunda corresponde al reconocimiento de la aleatoriedad; y la tercera a la estimación de la probabilidad de diferentes sucesos. Las respuestas se analizaron a partir de la aplicación de diferentes técnicas estadísticas; el test de independencia, el análisis de la varianza, el test de Tukey, análisis de clusters y análisis discriminante. En primer lugar, se encontraron diferencias significativas entre el reconocimiento de la aleatoriedad y el contexto del suceso, siendo mayor en el contexto de juego que en el físico natural. Mientras que, en el contexto físico natural se afirma la aleatoriedad desde la causalidad, en el de juego se afirma desde la incertidumbre. En segundo lugar, no se encontró relación de dependencia entre el reconocimiento de la aleatoriedad y la edad de los estudiantes, como así tampoco con el nivel académico de los mismos. Respecto a la estimación de la probabilidad, los estudiantes argumentan fundamentalmente desde la equiprobabilidad y desde la contingencia. El análisis de clusters y análisis discriminante permitieron encontrar cuatro tendencias de pensamiento: incertidumbre, determinista, contingente y personalista
Clinical and virological characteristics of hospitalised COVID-19 patients in a German tertiary care centre during the first wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic: a prospective observational study
Purpose: Adequate patient allocation is pivotal for optimal resource management in strained healthcare systems, and requires detailed knowledge of clinical and virological disease trajectories. The purpose of this work was to identify risk factors associated with need for invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV), to analyse viral kinetics in patients with and without IMV and to provide a comprehensive description of clinical course.
Methods: A cohort of 168 hospitalised adult COVID-19 patients enrolled in a prospective observational study at a large European tertiary care centre was analysed.
Results: Forty-four per cent (71/161) of patients required invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Shorter duration of symptoms before admission (aOR 1.22 per day less, 95% CI 1.10-1.37, p < 0.01) and history of hypertension (aOR 5.55, 95% CI 2.00-16.82, p < 0.01) were associated with need for IMV. Patients on IMV had higher maximal concentrations, slower decline rates, and longer shedding of SARS-CoV-2 than non-IMV patients (33 days, IQR 26-46.75, vs 18 days, IQR 16-46.75, respectively, p < 0.01). Median duration of hospitalisation was 9 days (IQR 6-15.5) for non-IMV and 49.5 days (IQR 36.8-82.5) for IMV patients.
Conclusions: Our results indicate a short duration of symptoms before admission as a risk factor for severe disease that merits further investigation and different viral load kinetics in severely affected patients. Median duration of hospitalisation of IMV patients was longer than described for acute respiratory distress syndrome unrelated to COVID-19
Reasoning About Distribution: A complex process
We are very pleased to introduce this special issue of the Statistics Education Research Journal (SERJ) on Reasoning about Distribution, which presents research at the forefront of building conceptual foundations for statistics education. According to Moore (1990, p. 136) statistical thinking is an "independent and fundamental intellectual method that deserves attention in the school curriculum." Equally he could have stated that statistical thinking deserves attention by research. He also hoped that "in the future pupils will bring away from their schooling a structure of thought that whispers, 'Variation matters ... Why not draw a graph?'" (Moore, 1991, p. 426). With considerable foresight Moore not only encapsulated the building blocks for statistical thinking but also two deep research questions with which statistics education researchers are currently grappling: How do students actually reason about variability and distribution? How do these two types of reasoning develop
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