Study protocol of a phase 2, dual-centre, randomised, controlled trial evaluating the effectiveness of probiotic and egg oral immunotherapy at inducing desensitisation or sustained unresponsiveness (remission) in participants with egg allergy compared with placebo (probiotic egg allergen oral immunotherapy for treatment of egg allergy: PEAT study)

Introduction Egg allergy is the most common food allergy in children but recent studies have shown persistence or delayed resolution into adolescence. As there is currently no effective long-term treatment, definitive treatments that improve quality of life and prevent fatalities for food allergies are required. We have previously shown that a novel treatment comprising a combination of the probiotic Lactobacillus rhamnosus CGMCC 1.3724 with peanut oral immunotherapy (OIT) is highly effective at inducing sustained unresponsiveness, with benefit persisting to 4 years after treatment cessation in the majority of initial treatment responders. In this study, we plan to extend the probiotic food OIT platform to another allergen, namely egg. We describe the protocol for a phase 2, dual-centre, randomised, controlled trial evaluating the effectiveness of probiotic and egg OIT at inducing desensitisation or sustained unresponsiveness (remission) in participants with egg allergy compared with placebo. Methods and analysis 80 participants aged 5-30 years of age with current egg allergy confirmed by double-blind placebo-controlled food challenge at study screening will be recruited from Australia and Singapore. There are two intervention arms - probiotic and egg OIT (active) or placebo. Interventions are administered once daily for 18 months. The primary outcome is the proportion of participants who attain 8-week sustained unresponsiveness in the active group versus placebo group. Ethics and dissemination This study has been approved by the Human Research Ethics Committees at the Royal Children's Hospital (HREC 2019.082) and the National Healthcare Group Domain Specific Review Board (2019/00029). Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals and disseminated via presentations at international conferences. Trial registration number ACTRN12619000480189

Prognosis of breast cancer : a survival analysis of 1184 patients with 4-10 years follow-up, illustrating the relative importance of estrogen receptors, axillary nodes, clinical stage and tumor necrosis

Prognostic indicators, measured at diagnosis, are important in breast cancer. They help clinicians select optimal treatment, provide rational bases for stratification of treatment trials and assist analysis of response to treatment. Univariate statistical survival curves have identified many such indicators. However, they do not explain why some patients, classified as favoured by one or other factor(s), experience early treatment failure, nor why a substantial number with unfavourable signs remain recurrence-free many years later. This study was undertaken to identify independent prognostic factors with the use of multivariate regression. A Cox proportional hazards model of disease-specific survival was based on 1184 primary breast cancer patients referred to the Cancer Control Agency of B.C. between 1975 and 1981 (median follow-up 60 months). Significant univariate associations with overall survival were found for estrogen receptor concentration ([ER]), axillary nodal status (NO, Nl-3, N4+), clinical stage (TNM I, II, III, IV), histologic differentiation and confluent tumor necrosis (minimal, marked). These factors were assessed at primary diagnosis. A subset of 859 patients with complete data on these variables and also histologic type, menopausal status, age, tumor size and treatment was used to fit the multivariate model. Nodal status was the most important independent factor but three others, TNM stage, [ER] and tumor necrosis, were needed to make adequate predictions. A derived Hazard Index defined risk groups with 8-fold variation in survival. Five-year predicted survival ranged from 36% (N4+, loge[ER]=0, marked necrosis) to 96% (NO, loge[ER]=6, no necrosis) with TNM I and 0% to 70% for the same categories in TNM IV. This wide variation occurred across all stages. Study of post-recurrence survival (369 patients) yielded a model with only three independent predictors: [ER], nodal status and tumor necrosis. Survival - overall, recurrence-free and post-recurrent - is predictable by modelling a few factors measureable at diagnosis. Use of ER concentration, rather than the more common ER status (+ or -), greatly strengthens the model. Presence of ER was also shown to be increasingly important as 'protective', attenuating the effect of other factors, as risk of mortality increases.Medicine, Faculty ofPathology and Laboratory Medicine, Department ofGraduat

Association of BMI, lipid-lowering medication, and age with prevalence of type 2 diabetes in adults with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia: a worldwide cross-sectional study

Background: Statins are the cornerstone treatment for patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia but research suggests it could increase the risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population. A low prevalence of type 2 diabetes was reported in some familial hypercholesterolaemia cohorts, raising the question of whether these patients are protected against type 2 diabetes. Obesity is a well known risk factor for the development of type 2 diabetes. We aimed to investigate the associations of known key determinants of type 2 diabetes with its prevalence in people with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia. Methods: This worldwide cross-sectional study used individual-level data from the EAS FHSC registry and included adults older than 18 years with a clinical or genetic diagnosis of heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia who had data available on age, BMI, and diabetes status. Those with known or suspected homozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia and type 1 diabetes were excluded. The main outcome was prevalence of type 2 diabetes overall and by WHO region, and in relation to obesity (BMI ≥30·0 kg/m2) and lipid-lowering medication as predictors. The study population was divided into 12 risk categories based on age (tertiles), obesity, and receiving statins, and the risk of type 2 diabetes was investigated using logistic regression. Findings: Among 46 683 adults with individual-level data in the FHSC registry, 24 784 with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia were included in the analysis from 44 countries. 19 818 (80%) had a genetically confirmed diagnosis of heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia. Type 2 diabetes prevalence in the total population was 5·7% (1415 of 24 784), with 4·1% (817 of 19 818) in the genetically diagnosed cohort. Higher prevalence of type 2 diabetes was observed in the Eastern Mediterranean (58 [29·9%] of 194), South-East Asia and Western Pacific (214 [12·0%] of 1785), and the Americas (166 [8·5%] of 1955) than in Europe (excluding the Netherlands; 527 [8·0%] of 6579). Advancing age, a higher BMI category (obesity and overweight), and use of lipid-lowering medication were associated with a higher risk of type 2 diabetes, independent of sex and LDL cholesterol. Among the 12 risk categories, the probability of developing type 2 diabetes was higher in people in the highest risk category (aged 55-98 years, with obesity, and receiving statins; OR 74·42 [95% CI 47·04-117·73]) than in those in the lowest risk category (aged 18-38 years, without obesity, and not receiving statins). Those who did not have obesity, even if they were in the upper age tertile and receiving statins, had lower risk of type 2 diabetes (OR 24·42 [15·57-38·31]). The corresponding results in the genetically diagnosed cohort were OR 65·04 (40·67-104·02) for those with obesity in the highest risk category and OR 20·07 (12·73-31·65) for those without obesity. Interpretation: Adults with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia in most WHO regions have a higher type 2 diabetes prevalence than in Europe. Obesity markedly increases the risk of diabetes associated with age and use of statins in these patients. Our results suggest that heterozygous familial hypercholesterolaemia does not protect against type 2 diabetes, hence managing obesity is essential to reduce type 2 diabetes in this patient population. Funding: Pfizer, Amgen, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Daiichi-Sankyo, and Regeneron