Water level fluctuations and the ecosystem functioning of lakes

Hydrological regimes are key drivers of productivity and structure in freshwater ecosystems but are increasingly impacted by human activity. Using 17 published food web models of 13 African lakes as a case study, we explored relationships between seasonal and interannual water level fluctuations and 15 attributes related to ecosystem function. We interpreted our results in the context of Odum's ecosystem maturity hypothesis, as systems with higher magnitude fluctuations may be kept at an earlier maturity stage than those that are relatively stable. The data we compiled indicate that long-term changes in the hydrological regimes of African lakes have already taken place. We used Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression to examine relationships between ecosystem attributes and seven physical characteristics. Of these characteristics, interannual water level fluctuation magnitude was the most frequently retained predictor in the regression models. Our results indicate that interannual water level fluctuations are positively correlated with primary and overall production, but negatively correlated with fish diversity, transfer efficiency, and food chain length. These trends are opposite those expected with increasing ecosystem maturity. Interestingly, we found seasonal water level fluctuations to be positively correlated with biomass. An increase in standing biomass is generally associated with more mature ecosystems. However, we found that less production and biomass occurred at high trophic levels in highly fluctuating compared to relatively stable systems. This synthesis provides evidence that water level fluctuations are a key process influencing ecosystem structure and function in lakes.publishedVersio

Scientific understanding of East African climate change from the HyCRISTAL project

Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL) is a Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) project funded to deliver new understanding of East African climate change and its impacts, and to demonstrate use of climate change information in long-term decision-making in the region. Here, we briefly summarise key findings from HyCRISTAL so far on climate change, as well as key findings from the pan-African FCFA project “IMPALA” relevant to East Africa, both in the context of previous literature on the topic

Scientific understanding of East African climate change from the HyCRISTAL project

Integrating Hydro-Climate Science into Policy Decisions for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure and Livelihoods in East Africa (HyCRISTAL) is a Future Climate for Africa (FCFA) project funded to deliver new understanding of East African climate change and its impacts, and to demonstrate use of climate change information in long-term decision-making in the region. Here, we briefly summarise key findings from HyCRISTAL so far on climate change, as well as key findings from the pan-African FCFA project “IMPALA” relevant to East Africa, both in the context of previous literature on the topic

The temperature minimum at tidal fronts

This paper presents a mechanism to explain the observed formation of a surface temperature minimum at tidal fronts in shelf seas. Tidal fronts mark the boundary between water which is kept vertically mixed by fast tidal currents and water which stratifies in summer. The fronts are associated with strong horizontal surface gradients of several water properties, including temperature. In the early studies of tidal fronts, a minimum in surface temperature was occasionally observed between the cool surface waters on the mixed side of the front and the warm surface waters on the stratified side. It was suggested that this was caused by upwelling of deep water at the front. In this paper we describe an alternative and simpler explanation based on the local balance of heating and stirring. The net heat flux into the sea in spring and early summer is greater on the mixed side of the front than on the stratified side. This happens because the heat loss mechanism is dependent on sea surface temperature and stratified waters, having a higher surface temperature, lose more heat. The stratified water near the front therefore has lower heat content (and lower depth-mean temperature) than the mixed water. If some of the stratified water becomes mixed, for example with increased tidal stirring at spring tides, a zone of minimum surface temperature will be formed at the front. A numerical model for the study of this mechanism shows that the temperature minimum at tidal fronts can be explained by the process described above. The minimum appears most clearly at spring tides, but can still be present in a weaker form at neap tides. A further prediction of the model is an increase of the horizontal temperature gradient at spring tides, which is in agreement with observations. An unexpected outcome of the modelling is the prediction of the formation of a marked sea surface temperature minimum, not yet observed, occurring in the autumn and located at the summer position of the tidal front

Connectivity of marine populations : Open or closed?

Most marine populations are thought to be well connected via long-distance dispersal of larval stages. Eulerian and Lagrangian flow models, coupled with linear mortality estimates, were used to examine this assumption. The findings show that when simple advection models are used, larval exchange rates may be overestimated; such simplistic models fail to account for a decrease of up to nine orders of magnitude in larval concentrations resulting from diffusion and mortality. The alternative process of larval retention near local populations is shown to exist and may be of great importance in the maintenance of marine population structure and management of coastal marine resources.</jats:p

The observation of the surface roughness characteristics of the Rhine plume frontal boundaries by simultaneous airborne thematic mapper and multifrequency helicopter-borne radar scatterometer

In this paper, we describe how high spatial resolution (10 m) multisensor remote sensing techniques can be used to study the surface roughness characteristics of large scale frontal boundaries (in this case associated with the Rhine Plume). The instrumentation employed in the research consisted of a Daedalus AADS 1268 Airborne Thematic Mapper (ATM) operated by the UK National Environment Council, the HELISCAT helicopter-borne multifrequency microwave scatterometer of the University of Hamburg, and research vessels (R.V.s) from the University of Wales and the Dutch Rijkswaterstaat. The data we present were gathered on 24 April 1991 when calm wind conditions developed within the test area. A sequence of thermal infrared images gathered by the ATM provides a record of the motion of a frontal boundary through this experimental region which is then used to identify the frontal signature in the HELISCAT data. ATM sunglint images show that the front is characterized by a zone of reduced surface roughness, some 75m in width, which is detected on the 'upstream' side of the front (as defined relative to the tidal flow direction), where surface current convergence can be expected. Radar backscatter levels at X and C bands are reduced by 10 dB in this region but with increase in radar wavelength, the signature weakens and is rarely detected at L band. On crossing the front in the downstream direction, radar backscatter levels are rapidly restored. The available evidence indicates that the reduced backscatter signature is caused by a surface slick which is formed at the frontal interface rather than by short gravity wave damping from shear in local surface currents

Multivariate objective analysis of the coastal circulation of Barbados, West Indies: implication for larval transport

A multivariate spatial objective analysis (MVOA) assimilating high spatio-temporal resolution of hydrographic (CTD) and acoustic (ADCP) observations near Barbados provided a comprehensive view of the local surface circulation (0–100 m) during early spring of two consecutive years (1996 and 1997). Significant submesoscale fluctuations of the velocity and salinity fields exhibit a very dynamic environment. In the middle of each cruise, low-salinity water originating from the Amazon and entrained by a North Brazil Current Ring (NBCR) intruded from offshore and persisted on the west coast of Barbados throughout the rest of the survey. Principal component analysis (PCA) of velocity relative to the vertical structure and temporal factors in the study area demonstrated that the local circulation was mostly baroclinic and was dominated by a strong salinity front impinging on the island and large amplitude current reversals with a periodicity of ca. 20 d. During transition times, indicated by a change of the sign of the amplitude of the empirical orthogonal function (EOF), the flow became barotropic. This situation produced strong southward currents followed by the onset of vertical velocity shear. Most of the flow variability occurred in the upper 40 m of the water column, which was also found to be the depth of penetration of the low-salinity lenses. These results indicate that the NBCR structure was retained during both intrusions. Lagrangian trajectories using the MVOA currents were found to be consistent with in situ drifter trajectories, suggesting that the analyzed flow field is representative of the near-shore circulation. Tracking of particles released in the surface layer (0–20 m) from the reef shows a maximum residence time of 18 d indicating the possibility of larval retention within the island-scale flow field. Finally, our results suggest that MVOA, within its limitations, is a powerful tool that can be applied elsewhere to infer circulation and larval transport, even in situations when forcing is unknown

Water level fluctuations and the ecosystem functioning of lakes

Hydrological regimes are key drivers of productivity and structure in freshwater ecosystems but are increasingly impacted by human activity. Using 17 published food web models of 13 African lakes as a case study, we explored relationships between seasonal and interannual water level fluctuations and 15 attributes related to ecosystem function. We interpreted our results in the context of Odum's ecosystem maturity hypothesis, as systems with higher magnitude fluctuations may be kept at an earlier maturity stage than those that are relatively stable. The data we compiled indicate that long-term changes in the hydrological regimes of African lakes have already taken place. We used Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression to examine relationships between ecosystem attributes and seven physical characteristics. Of these characteristics, interannual water level fluctuation magnitude was the most frequently retained predictor in the regression models. Our results indicate that interannual water level fluctuations are positively correlated with primary and overall production, but negatively correlated with fish diversity, transfer efficiency, and food chain length. These trends are opposite those expected with increasing ecosystem maturity. Interestingly, we found seasonal water level fluctuations to be positively correlated with biomass. An increase in standing biomass is generally associated with more mature ecosystems. However, we found that less production and biomass occurred at high trophic levels in highly fluctuating compared to relatively stable systems. This synthesis provides evidence that water level fluctuations are a key process influencing ecosystem structure and function in lakes