ANALYSIS OF METEOROLOGICAL AND AGRICULTURAL DROUGHTS IN SERBIA

Abstract: Drought represents a combined heat-precipitation extreme and has become an increasingly frequent phenomenon in recent years. In order to access the entire analysis of drought, it is necessary to include the analysis of several types of drought. In this paper, impacts of meteorological and agricultural drought were analyzed across the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Agricultural Rainfall Index (ARI) on the territory of Serbia for the period from 1980 to 2010. For both types of drought, year 2000 is notable as the year when most of the observed stations had the highest drought intensity. It was found that meteorological drought for year 2000 has a higher intensity in the central and southeastern parts of the country, as well as in the north. Of all the stations, the highest intensity of meteorological drought was observed at Loznica station in 1989. Agricultural drought in 2000 had the lowest intensity in western Serbia.   Key words: drought, meteorological drought, agricultural drought, Standardized Precipitation Index, Agricultural Rainfall Index, Serbia.

Metastability, negative specific heat and weak mixing in classical long-range many-rotator system

We perform a molecular dynamical study of the isolated $d=1$ classical Hamiltonian ${\cal H} = {1/2} \sum_{i=1}^N L_i^2 + \sum_{i \ne j} \frac{1-cos(\theta_i-\theta_j)}{r_{ij}^\alpha} ;(\alpha \ge 0)$, known to exhibit a second order phase transition, being disordered for $u \equiv U/N{\tilde N} \ge u_c(\alpha,d)$ and ordered otherwise ($U\equiv$ total energy and ${\tilde N} \equiv \frac{N^{1-\alpha/d}-\alpha/d}{1-\alpha/d}$). We focus on the nonextensive case $\alpha/d \le 1$ and observe that, for $u<u_c$, a basin of attraction exists for the initial conditions for which the system quickly relaxes onto a longstanding metastable state (whose duration presumably diverges with $N$ like ${\tilde N}$) which eventually crosses over to the microcanonical Boltzmann-Gibbs stable state. The temperature associated with the (scaled) average kinetic energy per particle is lower in the metastable state than in the stable one. It is exhibited for the first time that the appropriately scaled maximal Lyapunov exponent $\lambda_{u<u_c}^{max}(metastable) \propto N^{-\kappa_{metastable}} ;(N \to \infty)$, where, for all values of $\alpha/d$, $\kappa_{metastable}$ numerically coincides with {\it one third} of its value for $u>u_c$, hence decreases from 1/9 to zero when $\alpha/d$ increases from zero to unity, remaining zero thereafter. This new and simple {\it connection between anomalies above and below the critical point} reinforces the nonextensive universality scenario.Comment: 9 pages and 4 PS figure

Research into the Health Benefits of Sprint Interval Training Should Focus on Protocols with Fewer and Shorter Sprints

Over the past decade, it has been convincingly shown that regularly performing repeated brief supramaximal cycle sprints (sprint interval training [SIT]) is associated with aerobic adaptations and health benefits similar to or greater than with moderate-intensity continuous training (MICT). SIT is often promoted as a time-efficient exercise strategy, but the most commonly studied SIT protocol (4–6 repeated 30-s Wingate sprints with 4 min recovery, here referred to as ‘classic’ SIT) takes up to approximately 30 min per session. Combined with high associated perceived exertion, this makes classic SIT unsuitable as an alternative/adjunct to current exercise recommendations involving MICT. However, there are no indications that the design of the classic SIT protocol has been based on considerations regarding the lowest number or shortest duration of sprints to optimise time efficiency while retaining the associated health benefits. In recent years, studies have shown that novel SIT protocols with both fewer and shorter sprints are efficacious at improving important risk factors of noncommunicable diseases in sedentary individuals, and provide health benefits that are no worse than those associated with classic SIT. These shorter/easier protocols have the potential to remove many of the common barriers to exercise in the general population. Thus, based on the evidence summarised in this current opinion paper, we propose that there is a need for a fundamental change in focus in SIT research in order to move away from further characterising the classic SIT protocol and towards establishing acceptable and effective protocols that involve minimal sprint durations and repetitions

Bioaccumulation and Toxicity of Organic Chemicals in Terrestrial Invertebrates

Terrestrial invertebrates are key components in ecosystems, with crucial roles in soil structure, functioning, and ecosystem services. The present chapter covers how terrestrial invertebrates are impacted by organic chemicals, focusing on up-to-date information regarding bioavailability, exposure routes and general concepts on bioaccumulation, toxicity, and existing models. Terrestrial invertebrates are exposed to organic chemicals through different routes, which are dependent on both the organismal traits and nature of exposure, including chemical properties and media characteristics. Bioaccumulation and toxicity data for several groups of organic chemicals are presented and discussed, attempting to cover plant protection products (herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and molluscicides), veterinary and human pharmaceuticals, polycyclic aromatic compounds, polychlorinated biphenyls, flame retardants, and personal care products. Chemical mixtures are also discussed bearing in mind that chemicals appear simultaneously in the environment. The biomagnification of organic chemicals is considered in light of the consumption of terrestrial invertebrates as novel feed and food sources. This chapter highlights how science has contributed with data from the last 5 years, providing evidence on bioavailability, bioaccumulation, and toxicity derived from exposure to organic chemicals, including insights into the main challenges and shortcomings to extrapolate results to real exposure scenarios

Application of ranking method in evaluation of engineering investment projects

The hypothesis of this investigation is that in the estimate of several mutually exclusive engineering investment projects and decision-making on the best varieties, the complex ranking method has an advantage over classic method evaluation. Many of ”classical” methods do not give the desired results due to discontinuous character of variables. Our idea is to overcome this problem successfully combining appropriate methods and criteria. In this sense, ranking method allows projects to make the choice of the project on the grounds of more influential elements at the same time. Using this method we mutually compare among themselves according to upfront influential elements different projects. Therefore the methodology of determining the method of ranking projects starts from the determination of influential elements, after that each of these elements receive certain number of scores, and define the character of each of them

Trade openness and vulnerability in Central and Eastern Europe

Trade liberalization is the emerging issue of development studies. It is not only the key component of the current wave of globalization1 but also the most direct means by which globalization influences poverty dynamics in the developing countries. The debate on the trade liberalization and poverty nexus is very lively (Cline, 2004): on the one hand, common wisdom suggests that openness to trade and factor flows offer remarkable opportunities for the economic and political progress of countries (hence, the main international organizations advocate structural reforms centred on trade openness for the developing countries). On the other hand, empirical studies on the impact of trade liberalization on poverty do not reach a common stand on the issue (Hertel and Winters, 2005; IPALMO, 2005) and trade openness for the most part in developing countries translates into a growing feeling of insecurity and uncertainty towards future poverty dynamics. This fosters intense political debate on the options and strategies available to help developing countries capture fully the benefits of trade integration, and to reduce the likely negative effects.2 This debate is currently taking place within the WTO, in the throes of carrying out the Doha Development Agenda, and within the EU under the framework of the new Cotonou Agreement, which established a set of Regional Economic Partnership Agreements with developing countries in Africa, the Caribbean and the Pacific — and of the enlargement towards CEECs (Central and Eastern European Countries)