‘Major trauma’: now two separate diseases?

Across the developed world, demographic change is having a profound impact on emergency care, with recognition that older people have different needs, and may need different services. The article by Hawley et al in this edition, and the recent publication of a report on major trauma in older people from the Trauma Audit and Research Network (TARN), suggest that we may also need to think differently about our major trauma systems. In England and Wales, recent improvements in data collection from trauma units (hospitals that are not major trauma centres) means that in 2016 the ‘typical’ case of major trauma is no longer a young male admitted after a road traffic accident, but is an older male admitted after a fall of less than 2 metres

A review of injury epidemiology in the UK and Europe: some methodological considerations in constructing rates

<p>Abstract</p> <p>Background</p> <p>Serious injuries have been stated as a public health priority in the UK. However, there appears to be a lack of information on population-based rates of serious injury (as defined by a recognised taxonomy of injury severity) at national level from either official statistics or research papers. We aim to address this through a search and review of literature primarily focused within the UK and Europe.</p> <p>Methods</p> <p>The review summarizes research papers on the subject of population based injury epidemiology published from 1970 to 2008. We examined critically methodological approaches in measuring injury incident rates including data sources, description of the injury pyramid, matching numerator and denominator populations as well as the relationship between injury and socioeconomic status.</p> <p>Results</p> <p>National representative rates come from research papers using official statistics sources, often focusing on mortality data alone. Few studies present data from the perspective of an injury pyramid or using a standardized measure of injury severity, i.e. Injury Severity Score (ISS). The population movement that may result in a possible numerator – denominator mismatch has been acknowledged in five research studies and in official statistics. The epidemiological profile shows over the past decades in UK and Europe a decrease in injury death rates. No major trauma population based rates are available within well defined populations across UK over recent time periods. Both fatal and non-fatal injury rates occurred more frequently in males than females with higher rates in males up to 65 years, then in females over 65 years. Road traffic crashes and falls are predominant injury mechanisms. Whereas a straightforward inverse association between injury death rates and socio-economic status has been observed, the evidence of socioeconomic inequalities in non-fatal injuries rates has not been wholly consistent.</p> <p>Conclusion</p> <p>New methodological approaches should be developed to deal with the study design inconsistencies and the knowledge gaps identified across this review. Trauma registries contain injury data from hospitals within larger regions and code injury by Abbreviated Injury Scale enabling information on severity; these may be reliable data sources to improve understanding of injury epidemiology.</p

Cost-effectiveness analysis of tranexamic acid for the treatment of traumatic brain injury, based on the results of the CRASH-3 randomised trial: a decision modelling approach

Introduction An estimated 69 million traumatic brain injuries (TBI) occur each year worldwide, with most in low-income and middle-income countries. The CRASH-3 randomised trial found that intravenous administration of tranexamic acid within 3 hours of injury reduces head injury deaths in patients sustaining a mild or moderate TBI. We examined the cost-effectiveness of tranexamic acid treatment for TBI. Methods A Markov decision model was developed to assess the cost-effectiveness of treatment with and without tranexamic acid, in addition to current practice. We modelled the decision in the UK and Pakistan from a health service perspective, over a lifetime time horizon. We used data from the CRASH-3 trial for the risk of death during the trial period (28 days) and patient quality of life, and data from the literature to estimate costs and long-term outcomes post-TBI. We present outcomes as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and 2018 costs in pounds for the UK, and US dollars for Pakistan. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER) per QALY gained were estimated, and compared with country specific cost-effective thresholds. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were also performed. Results Tranexamic acid was highly cost-effective for patients with mild TBI and intracranial bleeding or patients with moderate TBI, at £4288 per QALY in the UK, and US$24 per QALY in Pakistan. Tranexamic acid was 99% and 98% cost-effective at the cost-effectiveness thresholds for the UK and Pakistan, respectively, and remained cost-effective across all deterministic sensitivity analyses. Tranexamic acid was even more cost-effective with earlier treatment administration. The cost-effectiveness for those with severe TBI was uncertain. Conclusion Early administration of tranexamic acid is highly cost-effective for patients with mild or moderate TBI in the UK and Pakistan, relative to the cost-effectiveness thresholds used. The estimated ICERs suggest treatment is likely to be cost-effective across all income settings globally

What are the functional consequences after TBI? The SHEFBIT cohort experience

Objectives To investigate functional outcome after TBI and identify variables that predict outcome in a multiordinal regression model. Background The results of global outcome studies after Traumatic Brain Injury(TBI) differ widely due to differences in outcome measure, attrition to follow-up and selection bias. Outcome information would inform patients/families, guide service development and target high-risk individuals Subjects/Setting prospective cohort of 1322 admissions with TBI, assessed by face to face interviews at 1 yr. Measures Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOSE) by structured questionnaire. Results At 1 year, outcome was determined in 1207(91.3%). Mean age was 46.9(SD17.3); Almost half(49.2%) had mild injury. At one year, 42.9% achieved Good Recovery but GOSE declined in 11.4% of the cohort compared to 10 weeks including 60(4.9%) deaths. In an ordinal logistic regression, increasing TBI severity, etiology (assault), more prominent CT abnormality, past psychiatric history and alcohol intoxication were independent predictors of worse GOSE. A pseudo-R2 of 0.38 suggested that many unmeasured factors also contribute to TBI outcome. Future work needs to identify other variables that may influence outcome. Conclusions In a large TBI cohort, there is still considerable functional disability at 1 year. It may be possible to target high-risk groups for rehabilitatio

A consensus building exercise to determine research priorities for silver trauma

Background Emergency care research into ‘Silver Trauma’, which is simply defined as major trauma consequent upon relatively minor injury mechanisms, is facing many challenges including that at present, there is no clear prioritisation of the issues. This study aimed to determine the top research priorities to guide future research. Methods This consensus-based prioritization exercise used a three-stage modified Delphi technique. The study consisted of an idea generating (divergent) first round, a ranking evaluation in the second round, and a (convergent) consensus meeting in the third round. Results A total of 20 research questions advanced to the final round of this study. After discussing the importance and clinical significance of each research question, five research questions were prioritised by the experts; the top three research priorities were: (1). What are older people’s preferred goals of trauma care? (2). Beyond the Emergency Department (ED), what is the appropriate combined geriatric and trauma care? (3). Do older adults benefit from access to trauma centres? If so, do older trauma patients have equitable access to trauma centre compared to younger adults? Conclusion The results of this study will assist clinicians, researchers, and organisations that are interested in silver trauma in guiding their future efforts and funding toward addressing the identified research priorities

The changing face of major trauma in the UK

Aim Major trauma (MT) has traditionally been viewed as a disease of young men caused by high-energy transfer mechanisms of injury, which has been reflected in the configuration of MT services. With ageing populations in Western societies, it is anticipated that the elderly will comprise an increasing proportion of the MT workload. The aim of this study was to describe changes in the demographics of MT in a developed Western health system over the last 20 years. Methods The Trauma Audit Research Network (TARN) database was interrogated to identify all cases of MT (injury severity score >15) between 1990 and the end of 2013. Age at presentation, gender, mechanism of injury and use of CT were recorded. For convenience, cases were categorised by age groups of 25 years and by common mechanisms of injury. Longitudinal changes each year were recorded. Results Profound changes in the demographics of recorded MT were observed. In 1990, the mean age of MT patients within the TARN database was 36.1, the largest age group suffering MT was 0–24 years (39.3%), the most common causative mechanism was road traffic collision (59.1%), 72.7% were male and 33.6% underwent CT. By 2013, mean age had increased to 53.8 years, the single largest age group was 25–50 years (27.1%), closely followed by those >75 years (26.9%), the most common mechanism was low falls (39.1%), 68.3% were male and 86.8% underwent CT. Conclusions This study suggests that the MT population identified in the UK is becoming more elderly, and the predominant mechanism that precipitates MT is a fall from <2 m. Significant improvements in outcomes from MT may be expected if services targeting the specific needs of the elderly are developed within MT centres

The effect of socioeconomic deprivation on 12 month Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) outcome

Objectives: To assess the impact of social deprivation on Traumatic Brain Injury (TBI) global outcome. Design: The study was a prospective observational study conducted using consecutive admissions with TBI. Subjects: 1322 consecutive adult patients with TBI were recruited into the study between 2010 and 2015. Methods: All patients were assessed by the TBI rehabilitation team at both six weeks and 12 months following TBI. Details of the injury and demographic data was collated at six weeks. This included age, gender and ZIP Code. Social deprivation was measured by the Indices of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) Score. The outcome measure used was the Extended Glasgow Outcome Score (GOSE) at 12 months. Univariate analysis was followed by a Multi-Ordinal Regression to evaluate predictor variables. Results: With regard to the representation of IMD deciles, the study population approximated to the general Sheffield population (p = .139). Within the univariate analysis, statistically significant relationships were noted between IMD and GOSE (p = <.001). The Ordinal Regression revealed a significant relationship between worse GOSE and IMD (p = .002), age (p = .001), GCS (p < .001), alcohol intoxication (p < .001) and Medical Comorbidity (p = .041). Conclusion: Increasing social deprivation is associated with poorer global TBI outcomes at 12 months

Global outcome after traumatic brain injury in a prospective cohort

Objectives Traumatic Brain Injury(TBI) is one of the most common neurosurgical emergencies but the long-term outcome remains unclear. This study investigated the global outcome and return to work after TBI and tried to identify any relationships that exist with injury and demographic features. Patients & methods 1322 consecutive TBI admissions over 4 years, assessed at a specialist neurorehabilitation clinic at 10weeks and 1 yr. The outcomes were Extended Glasgow Outcome Scale(GOSE), return to work, Rivermead Head Injury Follow-up Questionnaire, Rivermead Post-Concussion Symptoms and the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Score. Results 1 year follow-up was achieved in 1207(91.3%). Mean age was 46.9(SD17.3) and 49.2% had mild TBI. The proportion attaining Good Recovery increased from 25.1% to 42.9% by 1 year. However 11.4% deteriorated in GOSE. Only 28.1% of individuals returned to the same pre-morbid level of work by 10 weeks, improving to 45.9% at 1 year. Over a quarter (25.6%) at 1 year were unable to make any return to work or study. Several demographic and injury variables were associated with these outcomes including TBI severity, social class, past psychiatric history and alcohol intoxication. These may allow targeting of vulnerable individuals. Conclusions In a largely representative TBI population including predominantly mild injury, there is still considerable functional disability at 1 year and many individuals are unable to make any return to pre-morbid vocation