The Impact of Alternative Livestock Market Choice, Constraints and Opportunities: A Case of Smallholder Farmers in the Southern Communal Area of Namibia

This paper used Regression Adjustment (RA), Inverse-Probability Weighted (IPW) and the Inverse-Probability Weighted (IPW) Regression Adjustment (IPWRA) estimators to estimate the treatment effects of marketing livestock at the informal market relative to other alternative market choices on the farmers’ gross margin. Estimation is based on survey data obtained by interviewing livestock farmers in the Southern Communal Area of Namibia. Four treatment levels representing market channels are the informal market, the permit sale, auction market, and abattoir. The estimated Average Treatment Effects (ATE) of patronizing permit instead of the informal market is N$142,701.8. Moving from the informal market to the auction, the estimated ATE is N$224,547; also for a movement from the Informal market to the abattoir ATE is N$605,810.8. Results show that among the farmers who marketed at the alternative markets, there is an increase in their gross margin sales from the average of N$142,012.1 to N$145,343.4 for permit sales, N$236,677.8 for auction sales and N$578,671.3 for the abattoir sales. Quantile estimates of the potential outcome distribution were also calculated to determine whether the treatment affects those farmers at the lower end of the distribution differently from those at the middle or upper end. The result of the quantile estimate was found to be consistent with that of the conditional mean. Overall, the study found that upstream markets are more gross profit enhancing than the downstream markets ceteris paribus. Keywords: treatment effects, average treatment effects, potential outcome framework, potential outcome mean, upstream market, quantile effects

Effect of vitamin-enriched bread on the vitamin status of an isolated rural community - a controlled clinical trial

No Abstract

Viewership footprint for a low-resource, student-centred collaborative video platform to teach orthopaedics in southern Africa

Background. Institutions are increasingly using technology to augment the class learning experience of medical students. Especially in Africa, local content is key to allow insights and knowledge to emerge and build transformative capacity for students and patients. There is currently no peer-reviewed video content produced by students with the aim of providing education on orthopaedic topics for medical students and patients in this region.Objectives. To evaluate the demographic and geographical viewership as well as video-specific statistics of orthopaedic teaching videos for medical students on a YouTube channel, with the expressed aim of informing future content production.Methods. Videos were produced by South African (SA) medical students as a problem-based collaborative project. Student-owned smartphones and various types of free video editing software were used to produce these videos, which were then assessed by a group of orthopaedic specialists and uploaded onto a YouTube channel (UCTeach). The analytical reports of this channel generated by Google and YouTube were analysed regarding watch time per day (minutes), average view duration (minutes), most watched videos, top geographies, age and gender.Results. A total of 83 videos were uploaded to the UCTeach Ortho channel during a 2-year period, with a total watch time of 857 062 minutes and 337 983 views. The majority of viewers were between the ages of 18 and 34 years (85%). India had the most views (n=69 089), followed by the USA (n=66 257) and SA (n=21 882). Most of the videos were watched on mobile phones (n=183 299) and computers (n=128 228). The most watched video, produced in April 2016, was on physiological and pathological gait, with 51 314 views.Conclusions. Our study provides proof of concept for a new educational material creation and dissemination strategy. A low-cost local collaborative orthopaedic video project by medical students for medical students can lead to high view counts and watch time on YouTube. It is accessible to audiences in low-, middle- and high-income countries. The students’ educational videos also reached a global audience consistently over a 3-year period

Virosaurus A Reference to Explore and Capture Virus Genetic Diversity.

The huge genetic diversity of circulating viruses is a challenge for diagnostic assays for emerging or rare viral diseases. High-throughput technology offers a new opportunity to explore the global virome of patients without preconception about the culpable pathogens. It requires a solid reference dataset to be accurate. Virosaurus has been designed to offer a non-biased, automatized and annotated database for clinical metagenomics studies and diagnosis. Raw viral sequences have been extracted from GenBank, and cleaned up to remove potentially erroneous sequences. Complete sequences have been identified for all genera infecting vertebrates, plants and other eukaryotes (insect, fungus, etc.). To facilitate the analysis of clinically relevant viruses, we have annotated all sequences with official and common virus names, acronym, genotypes, and genomic features (linear, circular, DNA, RNA, etc.). Sequences have been clustered to remove redundancy at 90% or 98% identity. The analysis of clustering results reveals the state of the virus genetic landscape knowledge. Because herpes and poxviruses were under-represented in complete genomes considering their potential diversity in nature, we used genes instead of complete genomes for those in Virosaurus

Merging Galaxies in the SDSS EDR

We present a new catalog of merging galaxies obtained through an automated systematic search routine. The 1479 new pairs of merging galaxies were found in approximately 462 sq deg of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey Early Data Release (SDSS EDR; Stoughton et al. 2002) photometric data, and the pair catalog is complete for galaxies in the magnitude range 16.0 <= g* <= 20. The selection algorithm, implementing a variation on the original Karachentsev (1972) criteria, proved to be very efficient and fast. Merging galaxies were selected such that the inter-galaxy separations were less than the sum of the component galaxies' radii. We discuss the characteristics of the sample in terms of completeness, pair separation, and the Holmberg effect. We also present an online atlas of images for the SDSS EDR pairs obtained using the corrected frames from the SDSS EDR database. The atlas images also include the relevant data for each pair member. This catalog will be useful for conducting studies of the general characteristics of merging galaxies, their environments, and their component galaxies. The redshifts for a subset of the interacting and merging galaxies and the distribution of angular sizes for these systems indicate the SDSS provides a much deeper sample than almost any other wide-area catalog to date.Comment: 58 pages, which includes 15 figures and 6 tables. Figures 2, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13, and 14 are provided as JPEG files. For online atlas, see http://home.fnal.gov/~sallam/MergePair/ . Accepted for publication in A

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to unsafe water and lack of sanitation and hygiene in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. The incidence of diarrhoeal disease is closely linked to socioeconomic and environmental factors, household practices and access to health services. South African (SA) district health information and national survey data report wide variation in the incidence and prevalence of diarrhoeal episodes in children under 5 years of age. These differentials indicate potential for reducing the disease burden through improvements in provision of water and sanitation services and changes in hygiene behaviour. Objectives. To estimate the burden of disease attributed to unsafe water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) by province, sex and age group for SA in 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. Comparative risk assessment methodology was used to estimate the disease burden attributable to an exposure by comparing the observed risk factor distribution with a theoretical lowest possible population distribution. The study adapts the original World Health Organization scenario-based approach for estimating diarrhoeal disease burden from unsafe WASH, by assigning different standards of household water and sanitation-specific geographical classification to capture SA living conditions in rural, urban and informal settlements. Results. SA experienced an improvement in water and sanitation supply in eight of the nine provinces between 2001 and 2011, with the exception of Northern Cape Province. In 2011, 41% of South Africans lived with poor water and sanitation conditions; however, wide provincial inequalities exist. In 2012, it was estimated that 84.1% of all deaths due to diarrhoeal disease were attributable to unsafe WASH; this equates to 13 757 deaths (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 13 015 - 14 300). Of these diarrhoeal disease deaths, 48.2% occurred in children under 5 years of age, accounting for 13.9% of all deaths in this age group (95% UI 13.1 - 14.4). Between 2000 and 2012, the proportion of deaths attributable to diarrhoea reduced from 3.6% to 2.6%. Gauteng and Western Cape provinces experienced much lower WASHattributable death rates than the more rural, poorer provinces. Conclusion. Unsafe WASH remains an important risk factor for disease in SA, especially in children. High priority needs to be given to the provision of safe and sustainable sanitation and water facilities and promoting safe hygiene behaviours. The COVID-19 pandemic has reinforced the critical importance of clean water for preventing and containing disease

Emerging trends in non-communicable disease mortality in South Africa, 1997 - 2010

Objectives. National trends in age-standardised death rates (ASDRs) for non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in South Africa (SA) were identified between 1997 and 2010.Methods. As part of the second National Burden of Disease Study, vital registration data were used after validity checks, proportional redistribution of missing age, sex and population group, demographic adjustments for registration incompleteness, and identification of misclassified AIDS deaths. Garbage codes were redistributed proportionally to specified codes by age, sex and population group. ASDRs were calculated using mid-year population estimates and the World Health Organization world standard.Results. Of 594 071 deaths in 2010, 38.9% were due to NCDs (42.6% females). ASDRs were 287/100 000 for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), 114/100 000 for cancers (malignant neoplasms), 58/100 000 for chronic respiratory conditions and 52/100 000 for diabetes mellitus. An overall annual decrease of 0.4% was observed resulting from declines in stroke, ischaemic heart disease, oesophageal and lung cancer, asthma and chronic respiratory disease, while increases were observed for diabetes, renal disease, endocrine and nutritional disorders, and breast and prostate cancers. Stroke was the leading NCD cause of death, accounting for 17.5% of total NCD deaths. Compared with those for whites, NCD mortality rates for other population groups were higher at 1.3 for black Africans, 1.4 for Indians and 1.4 for coloureds, but varied by condition.Conclusions. NCDs contribute to premature mortality in SA, threatening socioeconomic development. While NCD mortality rates have decreased slightly, it is necessary to strengthen prevention and healthcare provision and monitor emerging trends in cause-specific mortality to inform these strategies if the target of 2% annual decline is to be achieved

Estimating the changing burden of disease attributable to childhood stunting, wasting and underweight in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. National estimates of childhood undernutrition display uncertainty; however, it is known that stunting is the most prevalent deficiency. Child undernutrition is manifest in poor communities but is a modifiable risk factor. The intention of the study was to quantify trends in the indicators of child undernutrition to aid policymakers. Objectives. To estimate the burden of diseases attributable to stunting, wasting and underweight and their aggregate effects in South African (SA) children under the age of 5 years during 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. The study applied comparative risk assessment methodology. Data sources for estimates of prevalence and population distribution of exposure in children under 5 years were the National Food Consumption surveys and the SA National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey conducted close to the target year of burden. Childhood undernutrition was estimated for stunting, wasting and underweight and their combined ‘aggregate effect’ using the World Health Organization (WHO) 2006 standard. Population-attributable fractions for the disease outcomes of diarrhoea, lower respiratory tract infections, measles and protein-energy malnutrition were applied to SA burden of disease estimates of deaths, years of life lost, years lived with a disability and disability-adjusted life years for 2000, 2006 and 2012. Results. Among children aged under 5 years between 1999 and 2012, the distribution of anthropometric measurements <‒2 standard deviations from the WHO median showed little change for stunting (28.4% v. 26.6%), wasting (2.6% v. 2.8%) and underweight (7.6% v. 6.1%). In the same age group in 2012, attributable deaths due to wasting and aggregated burden accounted for 21.4% and 33.2% of the total deaths, respectively. Attributable death rates due to wasting and aggregate effects decreased from ~310 per 100 000 in 2006 to 185 per 100 000 in 2012. Conclusion. The study shows that reduction of childhood undernutrition would have a substantial impact on child mortality. We need to understand why we are not penetrating the factors related to nutrition of children that will lead to reducing levels of stunting

Estimating the changing disease burden attributable to smoking in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012

Background. Ongoing quantification of the disease burden attributable to smoking is important to monitor and strengthen tobacco control policies. Objectives. To estimate the attributable burden due to smoking in South Africa for 2000, 2006 and 2012. Methods. We estimated attributable burden due to smoking for selected causes of death in South African (SA) adults aged ≥35 years for 2000, 2006 and 2012. We combined smoking prevalence results from 15 national surveys (1998 - 2017) and smoking impact ratios using national mortality rates. Relative risks between smoking and select causes of death were derived from local and international data. Results. Smoking prevalence declined from 25.0% in 1998 (40.5% in males, 10.9% in females) to 19.4% in 2012 (31.9% in males, 7.9% in females), but plateaued after 2010. In 2012 tobacco smoking caused an estimated 31 078 deaths (23 444 in males and 7 634 in females), accounting for 6.9% of total deaths of all ages (17.3% of deaths in adults aged ≥35 years), a 10.5% decline overall since 2000 (7% in males; 18% in females). Age-standardised mortality rates (and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs)) similarly declined in all population groups but remained high in the coloured population. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease accounted for most tobacco-attributed deaths (6 373), followed by lung cancer (4 923), ischaemic heart disease (4 216), tuberculosis (2 326) and lower respiratory infections (1 950). The distribution of major causes of smoking-attributable deaths shows a middle- to high-income pattern in whites and Asians, and a middle- to low-income pattern in coloureds and black Africans. The role of infectious lung disease (TB and LRIs) has been underappreciated. These diseases comprised 21.0% of deaths among black Africans compared with only 4.3% among whites. It is concerning that smoking rates have plateaued since 2010. Conclusion. The gains achieved in reducing smoking prevalence in SA have been eroded since 2010. An increase in excise taxes is the most effective measure for reducing smoking prevalence. The advent of serious respiratory pandemics such as COVID-19 has increased the urgency of considering the role that smoking cessation/abstinence can play in the prevention of, and post-hospital recovery from, any condition