Cost–utility analysis of antibiotic treatment in patients with chronic low back pain and Modic changes: results from a randomised, placebo-controlled trial in Norway (the AIM study)

Objective To evaluate the cost–utility of 100 days of antibiotics in patients with chronic low back pain (LBP) and type I or II Modic changes included in the Antibiotic treatment In patients with chronic low back pain and Modic changes (AIM) study. Design A cost–utility analysis from a societal and healthcare perspective alongside a double-blinded, parallel group, placebo, multicentre trial. Setting Hospital outpatient clinics at six hospitals in Norway. The main results from the AIM study showed a small effect in back-related disability in favour of the antibiotics group, and slightly larger in those with type I Modic changes, but this effect was below the pre-defined threshold for clinically relevant effect. Participants 180 patients with chronic LBP, previous disc herniation and Modic changes type I (n=118) or type II (n=62) were randomised to antibiotic treatment (n=89) or placebo-control (n=91). Interventions Oral treatment with either 750 mg amoxicillin or placebo three times daily for 100 days. Main outcome measures Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) by EuroQoL-5D over 12 months and costs for healthcare and productivity loss measured in Euro (€1=NOK 10), in the intention-to-treat population. Cost–utility was expressed in incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results Mean (SD) total cost was €21 046 (20 105) in the amoxicillin group and €19 076 (19 356) in the placebo group, mean difference €1970 (95% CI; −3835 to 7774). Cost per QALY gained was €24 625. In those with type I Modic changes, the amoxicillin group had higher healthcare consumption than the placebo group, resulting in €39 425 per QALY gained. Given these ICERs and a willingness-to-pay threshold of €27 500 (NOK 275 000), the probability of amoxicillin being cost-effective was 51%. Even when the willingness-to-pay threshold increased to €55 000, the probability of amoxicillin being cost-effective was never higher than 53%. Conclusions Amoxicillin treatment showed no evidence of being cost-effective for people with chronic LBP and Modic changes during 1-year follow-up.publishedVersio

Long-Term Use of Amoxicillin Is Associated with Changes in Gene Expression and DNA Methylation in Patients with Low Back Pain and Modic Changes

Long-term antibiotics are prescribed for a variety of medical conditions, recently including low back pain with Modic changes. The molecular impact of such treatment is unknown. We conducted longitudinal transcriptome and epigenome analyses in patients (n = 100) receiving amoxicillin treatment or placebo for 100 days in the Antibiotics in Modic Changes (AIM) study. Gene expression and DNA methylation were investigated at a genome-wide level at screening, after 100 days of treatment, and at one-year follow-up. We identified intra-individual longitudinal changes in gene expression and DNA methylation in patients receiving amoxicillin, while few changes were observed in patients receiving placebo. After 100 days of amoxicillin treatment, 28 genes were significantly differentially expressed, including the downregulation of 19 immunoglobulin genes. At one-year follow-up, the expression levels were still not completely restored. The significant changes in DNA methylation (n = 4548 CpGs) were mainly increased methylation levels between 100 days and one-year follow-up. Hence, the effects on gene expression occurred predominantly during treatment, while the effects on DNA methylation occurred after treatment. In conclusion, unrecognized side effects of long-term amoxicillin treatment were revealed, as alterations were observed in both gene expression and DNA methylation that lasted long after the end of treatment.publishedVersio

Amoxicillin did not Reduce Modic Change Oedema in Patients with Chronic Low Back pain - subgroup Analyses of a Randomised Trial (the AIM study)

Study Design. Exploratory subgroup analyses of a randomised trial [Antibiotics in Modic changes (AIM) study]. Objective. The aim was to assess the effect of amoxicillin versus placebo in reducing Modic change (MC) edema in patients with chronic low back pain. Summary of Background Data. The AIM study showed a small, clinically insignificant effect of amoxicillin on pain-related disability in patients with chronic low back pain and MC type 1 (edema type) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Materials and Methods. A total of 180 patients were randomised to receive 100 days of amoxicillin or placebo. MC edema was assessed on MRI at baseline and one-year follow-up. Per-protocol analyses were conducted in subgroups with MC edema on short tau inversion recovery (STIR) or T1/T2-weighted MRI at baseline. MC edema reductions (yes/no) in STIR and T1/T2 series were analyzed separately. The effect of amoxicillin in reducing MC edema was analyzed using logistic regression adjusted for prior disk surgery. To assess the effect of amoxicillin versus placebo within the group with the most abundant MC edema on STIR at baseline (“STIR3” group), we added age, STIR3 (yes/no), and STIR3×treatment group (interaction term) as independent variables and compared the marginal means (probabilities of edema reduction). Results. Compared to placebo, amoxicillin did not reduce MC edema on STIR (volume/intensity) in the total sample with edema on STIR at baseline (odds ratio 1.0, 95% CI: 0.5, 2.0; n=141) or within the STIR3 group (probability of edema reduction 0.69, 95% CI: 0.47, 0.92 with amoxicillin and 0.61, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.80 with placebo; n=41). Compared with placebo, amoxicillin did not reduce MC edema in T1/T2 series (volume of the type 1 part of MCs) (odds ratio: 1.0, 95% CI: 0.5, 2.3, n=104). Edema declined in >50% of patients in both treatment groups. Conclusions. From baseline to one-year follow-up, amoxicillin did not reduce MC edema compared with placebo.publishedVersio

Amoxicillin did not Reduce Modic Change Oedema in Patients with Chronic Low Back pain - subgroup Analyses of a Randomised Trial (the AIM study)

Study Design. Exploratory subgroup analyses of a randomised trial (Antibiotics In Modic changes (AIM) study). Objective. To assess the effect of amoxicillin versus placebo in reducing Modic change (MC) oedema in patients with chronic low back pain (LBP). Summary of Background Data. The AIM study showed a small, clinically insignificant effect of amoxicillin on pain-related disability in patients with chronic LBP and MC type 1 (oedema type) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Methods. A total of 180 patients were randomised to receive 100 days of amoxicillin or placebo. MC oedema was assessed on MRI at baseline and one-year follow-up. Per-protocol analyses were conducted in subgroups with MC oedema on short tau inversion recovery (STIR) or T1/T2-weighted MRI at baseline. MC oedema reductions (yes/no) in STIR and T1/T2-series were analysed separately. The effect of amoxicillin in reducing MC oedema was analysed using logistic regression adjusted for prior disc surgery. To assess the effect of amoxicillin versus placebo within the group with the most abundant MC oedema on STIR at baseline (‘STIR3’ group), we added age, STIR3 (yes/no), and STIR3×treatment group (interaction term) as independent variables and compared the marginal means (probabilities of oedema reduction). Results. Compared to placebo, amoxicillin did not reduce MC oedema on STIR (volume/intensity) in the total sample with oedema on STIR at baseline (odds ratio 1.0, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) [0.5, 2.0]; n=141) or within the STIR3 group (probability of oedema reduction 0.69, 95%CI [0.47, 0.92] with amoxicillin and 0.61, 95%CI [0.43, 0.80] with placebo; n=41). Compared with placebo, amoxicillin did not reduce MC oedema in T1/T2-series (volume of the type 1 part of MCs) (odds ratio 1.0, 95%CI [0.5, 2.3], n=104). Oedema declined in >50% of patients in both treatment groups. Conclusions. From baseline to one-year follow-up, amoxicillin did not reduce MC oedema compared with placebo. Level of Evidence. Level 2

Correlation between gene expression and MRI STIR signals in patients with chronic low back pain and Modic changes indicates immune involvement

Disability and distress caused by chronic low back pain (LBP) lacking clear pathoanatomical explanations cause huge problems both for patients and society. A subgroup of patients has Modic changes (MC), identifiable by MRI as vertebral bone marrow lesions. The cause of such changes and their relationship to pain are not yet understood. We explored the pathobiology of these lesions using profiling of gene expression in blood, coupled with an edema-sensitive MRI technique known as short tau inversion recovery (STIR) imaging. STIR images and total RNA from blood were collected from 96 patients with chronic LBP and MC type I, the most inflammatory MC state. We found the expression of 37 genes significantly associated with STIR signal volume, ten genes with edema abundancy (a constructed combination of STIR signal volume, height, and intensity), and one gene with expression levels significantly associated with maximum STIR signal intensity. Gene sets related to interferon signaling, mitochondrial metabolism and defense response to virus were identified as significantly enriched among the upregulated genes in all three analyses. Our results point to inflammation and immunological defense as important players in MC biology in patients with chronic LBP.publishedVersio

Impact of educational level and employment status on short-term and long-term pain relief from supervised exercise therapy and education: an observational study of 22 588 patients with knee and hip osteoarthritis

Objectives To investigate the impact of educational level and employment status on change in pain intensity after treatment among patients with knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA).Design A prospective cohort study.Setting and participants We analysed 22 588 patients participating in the Good Life with osteoArthritis in Denmark (GLA:D). GLA:D consists of two patient education sessions and 12 supervised exercise sessions.Primary outcome Baseline educational level and employment status were used as exposures. We investigated the impact of both exposures separately on mean change in pain intensity (visual analogue scale 0–100 mm) from baseline to immediately after treatment (approximately 3 months) and at 12 months, using linear mixed models.Results On average, all patients improved in pain intensity. The average improvement in pain did not differ by educational level, except for one group. Patients with long-term education had less improvement after treatment (2.0 mm, 95% CI 0.8 to 3.1) and at 12 months (2.0 mm, 95% CI 0.6 to 3.4) compared with primary school only (reference). According to employment status, patients on sick leave had the greatest improvement in pain after treatment (−3.4, 95% CI −4.9 to −1.9) and at 12 months (−4.5, 95% CI −6.4 to −2.6) compared with retired patients (reference).Conclusions On average, all patients reported improvement in pain at short-term and long-term follow-up. Change in pain intensity did not substantially differ by educational level or employment status, as the absolute differences were small and most likely not clinically important

Oedema on STIR modified the effect of amoxicillin as treatment for chronic low back pain with Modic changes-subgroup analysis of a randomized trial

Objective To evaluate potential MRI-defined effect modifiers of amoxicillin treatment in patients with chronic low back pain and type 1 or 2 Modic changes (MCs) at the level of a previous lumbar disc herniation (index level). Methods: In a prospective trial (AIM), 180 patients (25–64 years; mean age 45; 105 women) were randomised to receive amoxicillin or placebo for 3 months. Primary outcome was the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score (0–24 scale) at 1 year. Mean RMDQ score difference between the groups at 1 year defined the treatment effect; 4 RMDQ points defined the minimal clinically important effect. Predefined baseline MRI features of MCs at the index level(s) were investigated as potential effect modifiers. The predefined primary hypothesis was a better effect of amoxicillin when short tau inversion recovery (STIR) shows more MC-related high signal. To evaluate this hypothesis, we pre-constructed a composite variable with three categories (STIR1/2/3). STIR3 implied MC-related STIR signal increases with volume ≥ 25% and height > 50% of vertebral body and maximum intensity increase ≥ 25% and presence on both sides of the disc. As pre-planned, interaction with treatment was analysed using ANCOVA in the per protocol population (n = 155). Results: The STIR3 composite group (n = 41) and STIR signal volume ≥ 25% alone (n = 45) modified the treatment effect of amoxicillin. As hypothesised, STIR3 patients reported the largest effect (− 5.1 RMDQ points; 95% CI − 8.2 to − 1.9; p for interaction = 0.008). Conclusions: Predefined subgroups with abundant MC-related index-level oedema on STIR modified the effect of amoxicillin. This finding needs replication and further support

Oedema on STIR modified the effect of amoxicillin as treatment for chronic low back pain with Modic changes—subgroup analysis of a randomized trial

Objective To evaluate potential MRI-defined effect modifiers of amoxicillin treatment in patients with chronic low back pain and type 1 or 2 Modic changes (MCs) at the level of a previous lumbar disc herniation (index level). Methods In a prospective trial (AIM), 180 patients (25–64 years; mean age 45; 105 women) were randomised to receive amoxicillin or placebo for 3 months. Primary outcome was the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score (0–24 scale) at 1 year. Mean RMDQ score difference between the groups at 1 year defined the treatment effect; 4 RMDQ points defined the minimal clinically important effect. Predefined baseline MRI features of MCs at the index level(s) were investigated as potential effect modifiers. The predefined primary hypothesis was a better effect of amoxicillin when short tau inversion recovery (STIR) shows more MC-related high signal. To evaluate this hypothesis, we pre-constructed a composite variable with three categories (STIR1/2/3). STIR3 implied MC-related STIR signal increases with volume ≥ 25% and height > 50% of vertebral body and maximum intensity increase ≥ 25% and presence on both sides of the disc. As pre-planned, interaction with treatment was analysed using ANCOVA in the per protocol population (n = 155). Results The STIR3 composite group (n = 41) and STIR signal volume ≥ 25% alone (n = 45) modified the treatment effect of amoxicillin. As hypothesised, STIR3 patients reported the largest effect (− 5.1 RMDQ points; 95% CI − 8.2 to − 1.9; p for interaction = 0.008). Conclusions Predefined subgroups with abundant MC-related index-level oedema on STIR modified the effect of amoxicillin. This finding needs replication and further support. Key Points • In the primary analysis of the AIM trial, the effect of amoxicillin in patients with chronic low back pain and type 1 or 2 MCs did not reach the predefined cut-off for clinical importance. • In the present MRI subgroup analysis of AIM, predefined subgroups with abundant MC-related oedema on STIR reported an effect of amoxicillin. • This finding requires replication and further support

Short tau inversion recovery MRI of Modic changes: a reliability study

Background: Limited reliability data exist for evaluation of spinal edema changes on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequences. Purpose: To assess the inter-observer reliability for evaluation of STIR signal increase related to Modic changes (MCs) on MRI of the lumbar spine. Material and Methods: We prospectively included 120 patients imaged to confirm their eligibility for the AIM (Antibiotics In Modic changes) trial. Three experienced radiologists independently evaluated MCs on T1-/T2-weighted fast spin-echo images and subsequently MC-related STIR signal increases. Inter-observer reliability was analyzed at four endplates (L4–S1) by calculating kappa values and means of differences with 95% limits of agreement. Results: Overall agreement (mean Fleiss’ kappa for all endplates and observers) was very good for presence of STIR signal increase (0.86), and moderate for its categorized height (0.51), anteroposterior extent (0.48), and volume (0.56). For height of region with STIR signal increase measured in % points of vertebral body height, the largest mean of differences was 6.9 and widest range for limits of agreement was 22.3 for all endplates combined. The corresponding numbers were 11.2 34.5 for anteroposterior extent of the STIR signal increase measured in % points of anteropos- terior endplate diameter and 0.9 7.6 for its maximum measured intensity on a % point scale (0% 1⁄4 normal vertebral marrow intensity, 100% 1⁄4 cerebrospinal fluid intensity). Conclusion: Inter-observer reliability was very good for the presence and intensity of MC-related STIR signal increases, and moderate for their size

Short tau inversion recovery MRI of Modic changes: a reliability study

Background Limited reliability data exist for evaluation of spinal edema changes on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) with short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequences. Purpose To assess the inter-observer reliability for evaluation of STIR signal increase related to Modic changes (MCs) on MRI of the lumbar spine. Material and Methods We prospectively included 120 patients imaged to confirm their eligibility for the AIM (Antibiotics In Modic changes) trial. Three experienced radiologists independently evaluated MCs on T1-/T2-weighted fast spin-echo images and subsequently MC-related STIR signal increases. Inter-observer reliability was analyzed at four endplates (L4–S1) by calculating kappa values and means of differences with 95% limits of agreement. Results Overall agreement (mean Fleiss’ kappa for all endplates and observers) was very good for presence of STIR signal increase (0.86), and moderate for its categorized height (0.51), anteroposterior extent (0.48), and volume (0.56). For height of region with STIR signal increase measured in % points of vertebral body height, the largest mean of differences was 6.9 and widest range for limits of agreement was ±22.3 for all endplates combined. The corresponding numbers were 11.2 ± 34.5 for anteroposterior extent of the STIR signal increase measured in % points of anteroposterior endplate diameter and 0.9 ± 7.6 for its maximum measured intensity on a % point scale (0% = normal vertebral marrow intensity, 100% = cerebrospinal fluid intensity). Conclusion Inter-observer reliability was very good for the presence and intensity of MC-related STIR signal increases, and moderate for their size