303 research outputs found

    El cantar de los cantares

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    Copia digital. España : Ministerio de Cultura y Deporte. Subdirección General de Coordinación Bibliotecaria, 201

    Memòria Digital de Catalunya

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    Peu d'impr. obtingut del colofó (f. sign. e6)Signatures: a6, b8, c-e6Tipus gòtics de dues midesEspai en blanc, amb lletra d'espera, per a la 1a caplletr

    Comentarios marianos del padre Cornelio á Lapide sobre los libros de los profetas...

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    Copia digital. España : Ministerio de Cultura y Deporte. Subdirección General de Coordinación Bibliotecaria, 201

    Tractatus sacerdotalis de ecclesiasticis sacramentis, ac debitis eorum administrationibus deque censuris ecclesiasticis canonice observandis presbyteris (maxime curam animarum gerentibus) per necessarius

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    Copia digital : Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha, 2010Datos de pie de imprenta tomados de un ejemplar completo que posee la Biblioteca Nacional de Madrid (sign. R/28771)Sign.: a-i8, l4, m8, n4, o8, p6 A-C8 D4L. gót., 2 col.Inic. grab.Port. orlada xil

    The Explosive Combination of Religious Decentralisation and Autocracy: the Case of Islam

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    The relationship between religion and politics is explored from a theoretical standpoint. Religious clerics can be seduced by an autocrat and political stability is at stake. The autocrat's decisions consist of two measures susceptible of antagonising religious clerics: adopting secular reforms and unduly appropriating part of national wealth, which generally are complement. Compared to centralized religions, decentralized religions, such as Islam, tend to discourage secular reforms and corruption but those effects are not guaranteed if the autocrat accepts political instability. The main hypotheses and the central results of the theory are illustrated with regime case studies that refer to contemporary times

    Evaluation of bottom-up and top-down strategies for aggregated forecasts: state space models and arima applications

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    Abstract. In this research, we consider monthly series from the M4 competition to study the relative performance of top-down and bottom-up strategies by means of implementing forecast automation of state space and ARIMA models. For the bottomup strategy, the forecast for each series is developed individually and then these are combined to produce a cumulative forecast of the aggregated series. For the top-down strategy, the series or components values are first combined and then a single forecast is determined for the aggregated series. Based on our implementation, state space models showed a higher forecast performance when a top-down strategy is applied. ARIMA models had a higher forecast performance for the bottom-up strategy. For state space models the top-down strategy reduced the overall error significantly. ARIMA models showed to be more accurate when forecasts are first determined individually. As part of the development we also proposed an approach to improve the forecasting procedure of aggregation strategies
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