Sequential inverse problems Bayesian principles and the\ud logistic map example

Bayesian statistics provides a general framework for solving inverse problems, but is not without interpretation and implementation problems. This paper discusses difficulties arising from the fact that forward models are always in error to some extent. Using a simple example based on the one-dimensional logistic map, we argue that, when implementation problems are minimal, the Bayesian framework is quite adequate. In this paper the Bayesian Filter is shown to be able to recover excellent state estimates in the perfect model scenario (PMS) and to distinguish the PMS from the imperfect model scenario (IMS). Through a quantitative comparison of the way in which the observations are assimilated in both the PMS and the IMS scenarios, we suggest that one can, sometimes, measure the degree of imperfection

The Serumal Concentration of Hbsag in Patiets with Chb/hiv Co-infection Comparing with Chb Mono-infection in the Different Phases of Natural Course of Chronic Hepatitis В

The prevalence and inclination to chronization of viral hepatitis B is 3 – 5 times higher in patients with HIV-infection than in HIV-negative ones. The natural clinical course of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in patients with HIV has the features, connected with immune suppression and mutual influence of viruses. The quantitative determination of HBsAg allows the more precise monitoring of the natural course and the dynamics of treatment of patients with CHB but these features are little studied in patients with co-infection CHB/HIV. In the work was presented the comparative analysis of the results of quantitative determination of the serumal HBsAg in 59 Patients with co-infection CHB/HIV and 60 ones with chronic hepatitis. At the study it was established, that in patients with CHB/HIV co-infection were observed the reliably higher qHBsAg levels than in HIV-negative ones both in whole and in each CHB phase that depends on the immune suppression degree and DNA level of hepatitis B virus

Reflectance spectra of some fractions of Migei and Murchison SM chondrites in the range of 0.3-2.6 microns

The reddening observed in CM chondrites is not understood. Johnson and Fanale observed that, as CM chondrites are more finely powdered, their spectra become more reddened. In the process of meteorite crushing, the chondrules are broken up. Those authors suggested that in this case the silicate components of the chondrules (mainly olivine), which have higher IR reflectivities, were able to contribute more to the overall spectrum. Gaffey and McCord proposed two possible physical mechanisms which could produce such an effect. But it is also possible that the presence of the organic polymers in the matrix material results in the reddening of the CM spectra. To test these two hypotheses, the matrix material and the material enriched in olivines were separated from Migei and Murchison CM chondrites using a binocular microscope. The spectra of these fractions were compared with the spectra of the bulk samples of Migei and Murchison. The spectra of the most 'clean' Migei matrix fractions indicate that the reddish slopes of CM spectral curves in the near infrared are due to the enhanced olivine feature, rather than to organic matter. The authors propose that the red slope of the spectra of some C-type asteroids may indirectly suggest the presence of olivine in the surface material. At the same time, the red sloped spectra of more distant D-type asteroids seem to be due to the presence of organic materials. If so, then the chemical or physical form of this organic matter must be quite different from the organic materials which would be on the surfaces of the parent bodies of CM chondrites (most likely C-type asteroids). It is also possible that the content of organic components in the CM matrix is too low to change the slope of the spectra

Early stages in the evolution of the atmosphere and climate on the Earth-group planets

The early evolution of the atmospheres and climate of the Earth, Mars and Venus is discussed, based on a concept of common initial conditions and main processes (besides known differences in chemical composition and outgassing rate). It is concluded that: (1) liquid water appeared on the surface of the earth in the first few hundred million years; the average surface temperature was near the melting point for about the first two eons; CO2 was the main component of the atmosphere in the first 100-500 million years; (2) much more temperate outgassing and low solar heating led to the much later appearance of liquid water on the Martian surface, only one to two billion years ago; the Martian era of rivers, relatively dense atmosphere and warm climate ended as a result of irreversible chemical bonding of CO2 by Urey equilibrium processes; (3) a great lack of water in the primordial material of Venus is proposed; liquid water never was present on the surface of the planet, and there was practically no chemical bonding of CO2; the surface temperature was over 600 K four billion years ago

Vitamin D as One of Predicators of the Stable Viral Response to Antiviral Therapy in Patients with Chronis Hepatitis С

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) it is not exceptionally medical problem but a significant social and economic threat, taking into account the unfavorable consequences of this disease: cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. And as a result - the high level of disability. In the article are presented the results of examination of 41 patients with chronic hepatitis C, with 1 genotype, who received the antiviral therapy (AVT). All patients underwent determination of the level of 5-hydroxycholeсalсeferol (25-OH vit D3), vitamin D and also the study of IL-28B polymorphism as the one of predicators of response to AVT. It was demonstrated, that in patients with hepatitis was observed the deficit of 25-OH vit D3 and general vitamin D. It was established, that in patients with the normal 25-OH vit D3 level SVR (stable viral response) was observed in 1,4 times more often than in patients with deficit of 25-OH vit D3. That is the level of 25-OH vit D3 can be considered as a predicator of SVR to AVT

Molluscan memory of injury: evolutionary insights into chronic pain and neurological disorders.

Molluscan preparations have yielded seminal discoveries in neuroscience, but the experimental advantages of this group have not, until now, been complemented by adequate molecular or genomic information for comparisons to genetically defined model organisms in other phyla. The recent sequencing of the transcriptome and genome of Aplysia californica, however, will enable extensive comparative studies at the molecular level. Among other benefits, this will bring the power of individually identifiable and manipulable neurons to bear upon questions of cellular function for evolutionarily conserved genes associated with clinically important neural dysfunction. Because of the slower rate of gene evolution in this molluscan lineage, more homologs of genes associated with human disease are present in Aplysia than in leading model organisms from Arthropoda (Drosophila) or Nematoda (Caenorhabditis elegans). Research has hardly begun in molluscs on the cellular functions of gene products that in humans are associated with neurological diseases. On the other hand, much is known about molecular and cellular mechanisms of long-term neuronal plasticity. Persistent nociceptive sensitization of nociceptors in Aplysia displays many functional similarities to alterations in mammalian nociceptors associated with the clinical problem of chronic pain. Moreover, in Aplysia and mammals the same cell signaling pathways trigger persistent enhancement of excitability and synaptic transmission following noxious stimulation, and these highly conserved pathways are also used to induce memory traces in neural circuits of diverse species. This functional and molecular overlap in distantly related lineages and neuronal types supports the proposal that fundamental plasticity mechanisms important for memory, chronic pain, and other lasting alterations evolved from adaptive responses to peripheral injury in the earliest neurons. Molluscan preparations should become increasingly useful for comparative studies across phyla that can provide insight into cellular functions of clinically important genes

Photonic Band Gaps of Three-Dimensional Face-Centered Cubic Lattices

We show that the photonic analogue of the Korringa-Kohn-Rostocker method is a viable alternative to the plane-wave method to analyze the spectrum of electromagnetic waves in a three-dimensional periodic dielectric lattice. Firstly, in the case of an fcc lattice of homogeneous dielectric spheres, we reproduce the main features of the spectrum obtained by the plane wave method, namely that for a sufficiently high dielectric contrast a full gap opens in the spectrum between the eights and ninth bands if the dielectric constant $\epsilon_s$ of spheres is lower than the dielectric constant $\epsilon_b$ of the background medium. If $\epsilon_s> \epsilon_b$, no gap is found in the spectrum. The maximal value of the relative band-gap width approaches 14% in the close-packed case and decreases monotonically as the filling fraction decreases. The lowest dielectric contrast $\epsilon_b/\epsilon_s$ for which a full gap opens in the spectrum is determined to be 8.13. Eventually, in the case of an fcc lattice of coated spheres, we demonstrate that a suitable coating can enhance gap widths by as much as 50%.Comment: 19 pages, 6 figs., plain latex - a section on coated spheres, two figures, and a few references adde