81 research outputs found

    Description of trihalomethane levels in three UK water suppliers

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    Samples of drinking water are routinely analysed for four trihalomethanes (THMs), which are indicators of by-products of disinfection with chlorine, by UK water suppliers to demonstrate compliance with regulations. The THM data for 1992–1993 to 1997–1998 for three water suppliers in the north and midlands of England were made available for a UK epidemiological study of the association between disinfection by-products and adverse birth outcomes. This paper describes the THM levels in these three supply regions and discusses possible sources of variation. THM levels varied between different suppliers' water, and average THM levels were within the regulatory limits. Chloroform was the predominant THM in all water types apart from the ground water of one supplier. The supplier that distributed more ground and lowland surface water had higher dibromochloromethane (DBCM) and bromoform levels and lower chloroform levels than the other two suppliers. In the water of two suppliers, seasonal fluctuations in bromodichloromethane (BDCM) and DBCM levels were found with levels peaking in the summer and autumn. In the other water supplier, chloroform levels followed a similar seasonal trend whereas BDCM and DBCM levels did not. For all three water suppliers, chloroform levels declined throughout 1995 when there was a drought period. There was a moderate positive correlation between the THMs most similar in their structure (chloroform and BDCM, BDCM and DBCM, and DBCM and bromoform) and a slight negative correlation between chloroform and bromoform levels

    Modelling exposure to disinfection by-products in drinking water for an epidemiological study of adverse birth outcomes

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    We are conducting an epidemiological study on the association between disinfection by-product concentrations in drinking water and adverse birth outcomes in the UK, using trihalomethane (THM) concentrations over defined water zones as an exposure index. Here we construct statistical models using sparse routinely collected THMs measurements to obtain quarterly estimates of mean THM concentrations for each water zone. We modelled the THM measurements using a Bayesian hierarchical mixture model, taking into account heterogeneity in THM concentrations between water originating from different source types, quarterly variation in THM concentrations and uncertainty in the true value of undetected and rounded measurements. Quarterly estimates of mean THM concentrations plus estimates of the water source type (ground, lowland surface or upland surface) were obtained for each water zone. THM concentration estimates were typically highest from July to September (third quarter), and varied considerably between water sources. Our exposure estimates were categorized into 'low', 'medium' and 'high' THM classes. Our modelled quarterly exposure estimates were compared to a simple alternative: annual means of the raw data for each water zone. In all, 15-25% of exposure estimates were classified differently. The modelled THM estimates led to slightly stronger and more precise estimates of association with risk of still birth and low birth weight than did the raw annual means. We conclude that our modelling approach enabled us to provide robust quarterly estimates of ecological exposure to THMs in a situation where the raw data were too sparse to base exposure assessment on empirical summaries alone
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