Reconstructing Holocene geomagnetic field variation: new methods, models and implications

Reconstructions of the Holocene geomagnetic field and how it varies on millennial timescales are important for understanding processes in the core but may also be used to study long-term solar-terrestrial relationships and as relative dating tools for geological and archaeological archives. Here, we present a new family of spherical harmonic geomagnetic field models spanning the past 9000 yr based on magnetic field directions and intensity stored in archaeological artefacts, igneous rocks and sediment records. A new modelling strategy introduces alternative data treatments with a focus on extracting more information from sedimentary data. To reduce the influence of a few individual records all sedimentary data are resampled in 50-yr bins, which also means that more weight is given to archaeomagnetic data during the inversion. The sedimentary declination data are treated as relative values and adjusted iteratively based on prior information. Finally, an alternative way of treating the sediment data chronologies has enabled us to both assess the likely range of age uncertainties, often up to and possibly exceeding 500 yr and adjust the timescale of each record based on comparisons with predictions from a preliminary model. As a result of the data adjustments, power has been shifted from quadrupole and octupole to higher degrees compared with previous Holocene geomagnetic field models. We find evidence for dominantly westward drift of northern high latitude high intensity flux patches at the core mantle boundary for the last 4000 yr. The new models also show intermittent occurrence of reversed flux at the edge of or inside the inner core tangent cylinder, possibly originating from the equator

The Dutch EPS Registry:increasing the knowledge of encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis

Encapsulating peritoneal sclerosis (EPS) is a rare condition characterised by fibrotic thickening of the visceral peritoneum, leading to encapsulating of the intestines with partial or total intestinal obstruction. EPS is a serious complication of peritoneal dialysis (PD) with high morbidity and a mortality exceeding 50%. At present, there is uncertainty concerning the incidence and the risk factors involved in the development of EPS. To address these questions a nationwide registry has been initiated. The primary goals of the registry are to record the incidence of EPS and investigate the association of different variables, such as PD duration, medication, dialysis solutions and kidney transplantation with EPS. The registry will improve the knowledge of EPS and will serve to develop guidelines and necessary management strategies. From the registry different research activities can be initiated. A major challenge lies in the establishment of criteria that allow a timely diagnosis of EPS. At present, there are no diagnostic tools that can accurately detect EPS at an early stage. For this reason, besides patients with proven EPS, the clinical suspicion of EPS will be a sufficient criterion for inclusion in the registry. This nationwide EPS registry is currently enrolling patients

Analysing the effects of travel information on public transport traveller’s decision making and learning

This thesis examines the effect of travel information on a public transport traveller’s decision making over time. It investigates whether the effect of information is sustained over time and is affected by its type and reliability. It is postulated that the traveller will attain better decision outcomes over time, and this process is reinforced when given information. It is postulated that dynamic information would produce the best outcomes, followed by static information and no information. A series of computer-based experiments, in which the participants made hypothetical trips by public bus under various travel information and operating conditions, were conducted. At the aggregate level, the hypothesised relationships are not observed at a statistically significant level. At the disaggregate level, day-to-day decisions are shown to relate significantly to the outcome of the previous day, with the participant more likely to seek a more rewarding but riskier choice if the previous day sees no adverse outcome, and vice-versa. When the information is static, decision changes are few and incremental. When it is dynamic, these changes are more frequent and pronounced, with choices ‘anchored’ around values provided by the information. Nonetheless, a significant proportion of participants made no or few changes, regardless of information or operating conditions. The findings suggest a higher propensity for some travellers to use dynamic information over static information over time, regardless of reliability. On the other hand, those who acquire information do not necessarily maximise their utility, implying that they do so for other less quantifiable factors. The benefits of information provision could also be further circumscribed by the heterogeneity of responses. This set of findings suggests that assuming travellers respond to information in a utility-maximising and homogeneous manner may over-estimate the effect of information

RNA secondary structure design

We consider the inverse-folding problem for RNA secondary structures: for a given (pseudo-knot-free) secondary structure find a sequence that has that structure as its ground state. If such a sequence exists, the structure is called designable. We implemented a branch-and-bound algorithm that is able to do an exhaustive search within the sequence space, i.e., gives an exact answer whether such a sequence exists. The bound required by the branch-and-bound algorithm are calculated by a dynamic programming algorithm. We consider different alphabet sizes and an ensemble of random structures, which we want to design. We find that for two letters almost none of these structures are designable. The designability improves for the three-letter case, but still a significant fraction of structures is undesignable. This changes when we look at the natural four-letter case with two pairs of complementary bases: undesignable structures are the exception, although they still exist. Finally, we also study the relation between designability and the algorithmic complexity of the branch-and-bound algorithm. Within the ensemble of structures, a high average degree of undesignability is correlated to a long time to prove that a given structure is (un-)designable. In the four-letter case, where the designability is high everywhere, the algorithmic complexity is highest in the region of naturally occurring RNA.Comment: 11 pages, 10 figure

The Low Quiescent X-Ray Luminosity of the Transient X-Ray Burster EXO 1747-214

We report on X-ray and optical observations of the X-ray burster EXO 1747-214. This source is an X-ray transient, and its only known outburst was observed in 1984-1985 by the EXOSAT satellite. We re-analyzed the EXOSAT data to derive the source position, column density, and a distance upper limit using its peak X-ray burst flux. We observed the EXO 1747-214 field in 2003 July with the Chandra X-ray Observatory to search for the quiescent counterpart. We found one possible candidate just outside the EXOSAT error circle, but we cannot rule out the possibility that the source is unrelated to EXO 1747-214. Our conclusion is that the upper limit on the unabsorbed 0.3-8 keV luminosity is L < 7E31 erg/s, making EXO 1747-214 one of the faintest neutron star transients in quiescence. We compare this luminosity upper limit to the quiescent luminosities of 19 neutron star and 14 black hole systems and discuss the results in the context of the differences between neutron stars and black holes. Based on the theory of deep crustal heating by Brown and coworkers, the luminosity implies an outburst recurrence time of >1300 yr unless some form of enhanced cooling occurs within the neutron star. The position of the possible X-ray counterpart is consistent with three blended optical/IR sources with R-magnitudes between 19.4 and 19.8 and J-magnitudes between 17.2 and 17.6. One of these sources could be the quiescent optical/IR counterpart of EXO 1747-214.Comment: 7 pages, accepted by the Astrophysical Journa

Seeing motion and apparent motion

In apparent motion experiments, participants are presented with what is in fact a succession of two brief stationary stimuli at two different locations, but they report an impression of movement. Philosophers have recently debated whether apparent motion provides evidence in favour of a particular account of the nature of temporal experience. I argue that the existing discussion in this area is premised on a mistaken view of the phenomenology of apparent motion and, as a result, the space of possible philosophical positions has not yet been fully explored. In particular, I argue that the existence of apparent motion is compatible with an account of the nature of temporal experience that involves a version of direct realism. In doing so, I also argue against two other claims often made about apparent motion, viz. that apparent motion is the psychological phenomenon that underlies motion experience in the cinema, and that apparent motion is subjectively indistinguishable from real motion

Ground-State and Domain-Wall Energies in the Spin-Glass Region of the 2D ±J\pm J Random-Bond Ising Model

The statistics of the ground-state and domain-wall energies for the two-dimensional random-bond Ising model on square lattices with independent, identically distributed bonds of probability $p$ of $J_{ij}= -1$ and $(1-p)$ of $J_{ij}= +1$ are studied. We are able to consider large samples of up to $320^2$ spins by using sophisticated matching algorithms. We study $L \times L$ systems, but we also consider $L \times M$ samples, for different aspect ratios $R = L / M$. We find that the scaling behavior of the ground-state energy and its sample-to-sample fluctuations inside the spin-glass region ($p_c \le p \le 1 - p_c$) are characterized by simple scaling functions. In particular, the fluctuations exhibit a cusp-like singularity at $p_c$. Inside the spin-glass region the average domain-wall energy converges to a finite nonzero value as the sample size becomes infinite, holding $R$ fixed. Here, large finite-size effects are visible, which can be explained for all $p$ by a single exponent $\omega\approx 2/3$, provided higher-order corrections to scaling are included. Finally, we confirm the validity of aspect-ratio scaling for $R \to 0$: the distribution of the domain-wall energies converges to a Gaussian for $R \to 0$, although the domain walls of neighboring subsystems of size $L \times L$ are not independent.Comment: 11 pages with 15 figures, extensively revise

Reduction of Two-Dimensional Dilute Ising Spin Glasses

The recently proposed reduction method is applied to the Edwards-Anderson model on bond-diluted square lattices. This allows, in combination with a graph-theoretical matching algorithm, to calculate numerically exact ground states of large systems. Low-temperature domain-wall excitations are studied to determine the stiffness exponent y_2. A value of y_2=-0.281(3) is found, consistent with previous results obtained on undiluted lattices. This comparison demonstrates the validity of the reduction method for bond-diluted spin systems and provides strong support for similar studies proclaiming accurate results for stiffness exponents in dimensions d=3,...,7.Comment: 7 pages, RevTex4, 6 ps-figures included, for related information, see http://www.physics.emory.edu/faculty/boettcher