Association between body mass index and cardiovascular disease mortality in east Asians and south Asians: pooled analysis of prospective data from the Asia Cohort Consortium

Objective: To evaluate the association between body mass index and mortality from overall cardiovascular disease and specific subtypes of cardiovascular disease in east and south Asians. Design: Pooled analyses of 20 prospective cohorts in Asia, including data from 835 082 east Asians and 289 815 south Asians. Cohorts were identified through a systematic search of the literature in early 2008, followed by a survey that was sent to each cohort to assess data availability. Setting: General populations in east Asia (China, Taiwan, Singapore, Japan, and Korea) and south Asia (India and Bangladesh). Participants: 1 124 897 men and women (mean age 53.4 years at baseline). Main outcome measures: Risk of death from overall cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, stroke, and (in east Asians only) stroke subtypes. Results: 49 184 cardiovascular deaths (40 791 in east Asians and 8393 in south Asians) were identified during a mean follow-up of 9.7 years. East Asians with a body mass index of 25 or above had a raised risk of death from overall cardiovascular disease, compared with the reference range of body mass index (values 22.5-24.9; hazard ratio 1.09 (95% confidence interval 1.03 to 1.15), 1.27 (1.20 to 1.35), 1.59 (1.43 to 1.76), 1.74 (1.47 to 2.06), and 1.97 (1.44 to 2.71) for body mass index ranges 25.0-27.4, 27.5-29.9, 30.0-32.4, 32.5-34.9, and 35.0-50.0, respectively). This association was similar for risk of death from coronary heart disease and ischaemic stroke; for haemorrhagic stroke, the risk of death was higher at body mass index values of 27.5 and above. Elevated risk of death from cardiovascular disease was also observed at lower categories of body mass index (hazard ratio 1.19 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.39) and 2.16 (1.37 to 3.40) for body mass index ranges 15.0-17.4 and less than 15.0, respectively), compared with the reference range. In south Asians, the association between body mass index and mortality from cardiovascular disease was less pronounced than that in east Asians. South Asians had an increased risk of death observed for coronary heart disease only in individuals with a body mass index greater than 35 (hazard ratio 1.90, 95% confidence interval 1.15 to 3.12). Conclusions: Body mass index shows a U shaped association with death from overall cardiovascular disease among east Asians: increased risk of death from cardiovascular disease is observed at lower and higher ranges of body mass index. A high body mass index is a risk factor for mortality from overall cardiovascular disease and for specific diseases, including coronary heart disease, ischaemic stroke, and haemorrhagic stroke in east Asians. Higher body mass index is a weak risk factor for mortality from cardiovascular disease in south Asians

Burden of Total and Cause-Specific Mortality Related to Tobacco Smoking among Adults Aged ≥45 Years in Asia: A Pooled Analysis of 21 Cohorts

Background:Tobacco smoking is a major risk factor for many diseases. We sought to quantify the burden of tobacco-smoking-related deaths in Asia, in parts of which men's smoking prevalence is among the world's highest.Methods and Findings:We performed pooled analyses of data from 1,049,929 participants in 21 cohorts in Asia to quantify the risks of total and cause-specific mortality associated with tobacco smoking using adjusted hazard ratios and their 95% confidence intervals. We then estimated smoking-related deaths among adults aged ≥45 y in 2004 in Bangladesh, India, mainland China, Japan, Republic of Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan-accounting for ∼71% of Asia's total population. An approximately 1.44-fold (95% CI = 1.37-1.51) and 1.48-fold (1.38-1.58) elevated risk of death from any cause was found in male and female ever-smokers, respectively. In 2004, active tobacco smoking accounted for approximately 15.8% (95% CI = 14.3%-17.2%) and 3.3% (2.6%-4.0%) of deaths, respectively, in men and women aged ≥45 y in the seven countries/regions combined, with a total number of estimated deaths of ∼1,575,500 (95% CI = 1,398,000-1,744,700). Among men, approximately 11.4%, 30.5%, and 19.8% of deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, and respiratory diseases, respectively, were attributable to tobacco smoking. Corresponding proportions for East Asian women were 3.7%, 4.6%, and 1.7%, respectively. The strongest association with tobacco smoking was found for lung cancer: A 3- to 4-fold elevated risk, accounting for 60.5% and 16.7% of lung cancer deaths, respectively, in Asian men and East Asian women aged ≥45 y.Conclusions:Tobacco smoking is associated with a substantially elevated risk of mortality, accounting for approximately 2 million deaths in adults aged ≥45 y throughout Asia in 2004. It is likely that smoking-related deaths in Asia will continue to rise over the next few decades if no effective smoking control programs are implemented.Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary. © 2014 Zheng et al

Post-intervention Status in Patients With Refractory Myasthenia Gravis Treated With Eculizumab During REGAIN and Its Open-Label Extension

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether eculizumab helps patients with anti-acetylcholine receptor-positive (AChR+) refractory generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG) achieve the Myasthenia Gravis Foundation of America (MGFA) post-intervention status of minimal manifestations (MM), we assessed patients' status throughout REGAIN (Safety and Efficacy of Eculizumab in AChR+ Refractory Generalized Myasthenia Gravis) and its open-label extension. METHODS: Patients who completed the REGAIN randomized controlled trial and continued into the open-label extension were included in this tertiary endpoint analysis. Patients were assessed for the MGFA post-intervention status of improved, unchanged, worse, MM, and pharmacologic remission at defined time points during REGAIN and through week 130 of the open-label study. RESULTS: A total of 117 patients completed REGAIN and continued into the open-label study (eculizumab/eculizumab: 56; placebo/eculizumab: 61). At week 26 of REGAIN, more eculizumab-treated patients than placebo-treated patients achieved a status of improved (60.7% vs 41.7%) or MM (25.0% vs 13.3%; common OR: 2.3; 95% CI: 1.1-4.5). After 130 weeks of eculizumab treatment, 88.0% of patients achieved improved status and 57.3% of patients achieved MM status. The safety profile of eculizumab was consistent with its known profile and no new safety signals were detected. CONCLUSION: Eculizumab led to rapid and sustained achievement of MM in patients with AChR+ refractory gMG. These findings support the use of eculizumab in this previously difficult-to-treat patient population. CLINICALTRIALSGOV IDENTIFIER: REGAIN, NCT01997229; REGAIN open-label extension, NCT02301624. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: This study provides Class II evidence that, after 26 weeks of eculizumab treatment, 25.0% of adults with AChR+ refractory gMG achieved MM, compared with 13.3% who received placebo

Minimal Symptom Expression' in Patients With Acetylcholine Receptor Antibody-Positive Refractory Generalized Myasthenia Gravis Treated With Eculizumab

The efficacy and tolerability of eculizumab were assessed in REGAIN, a 26-week, phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study in anti-acetylcholine receptor antibody-positive (AChR+) refractory generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG), and its open-label extension

Essays on budgetary allocation and investment decisions for public goods

This dissertation consists of two essays which study budgetary allocation and investment decisions for public goods. Chapter 1 investigates theoretically and empirically how a legislature allocates a budget to fund local public projects in an omnibus bill under unanimous agreement. While legislatures typically use majority rule to allocate a given budget in distributive legislation, near-unanimous consent over the broad allocation of benefits is pervasive. This phenomenon is commonly referred to as universalism.\u27\u27 I develop a game-theoretic model where heterogeneous players strategically interact in a universal coalition to determine allocations, with non-cooperative bargaining as a threat point for the breakdown of cooperation. I structurally estimate the model to quantify the effects of political power and actual needs on the agreed-upon allocation. Moreover, I analyze two types of misallocations which can arise—political power in the legislature can distort budgetary allocations geographically, and money can be allocated toward projects which are inefficient given a budgetary allocation. In the empirical application, I construct a unique dataset using a specific bill called the Bridge Bill Capital Budget\u27\u27 in 1992, which is an omnibus of grants for replacement and repair of bridges in Pennsylvania. I find that 19.5% of the aggregate budget would be allocated differently across counties if allocations were determined only based on actual needs. However, I find that political importance of bridges has smaller distortion on the choice of bridges selected for grants within counties. In Chapter 2, I develop and estimate a dynamic stochastic discrete choice model to study the optimal timing for replacement of bridges. I use an equilibrium concept in which the transition of the stock of bridges generates self-fulfilling expectations of the engineer. Using the National Bridge Inventory data to estimate the model, the empirical findings suggest that the state and expected evolution of the aggregate stock attributes as well as technical characteristics of individual bridges affect maintenance decisions

Essays on budgetary allocation and investment decisions for public goods

This dissertation consists of two essays which study budgetary allocation and investment decisions for public goods. Chapter 1 investigates theoretically and empirically how a legislature allocates a budget to fund local public projects in an omnibus bill under unanimous agreement. While legislatures typically use majority rule to allocate a given budget in distributive legislation, near-unanimous consent over the broad allocation of benefits is pervasive. This phenomenon is commonly referred to as universalism.\u27\u27 I develop a game-theoretic model where heterogeneous players strategically interact in a universal coalition to determine allocations, with non-cooperative bargaining as a threat point for the breakdown of cooperation. I structurally estimate the model to quantify the effects of political power and actual needs on the agreed-upon allocation. Moreover, I analyze two types of misallocations which can arise—political power in the legislature can distort budgetary allocations geographically, and money can be allocated toward projects which are inefficient given a budgetary allocation. In the empirical application, I construct a unique dataset using a specific bill called the Bridge Bill Capital Budget\u27\u27 in 1992, which is an omnibus of grants for replacement and repair of bridges in Pennsylvania. I find that 19.5% of the aggregate budget would be allocated differently across counties if allocations were determined only based on actual needs. However, I find that political importance of bridges has smaller distortion on the choice of bridges selected for grants within counties. In Chapter 2, I develop and estimate a dynamic stochastic discrete choice model to study the optimal timing for replacement of bridges. I use an equilibrium concept in which the transition of the stock of bridges generates self-fulfilling expectations of the engineer. Using the National Bridge Inventory data to estimate the model, the empirical findings suggest that the state and expected evolution of the aggregate stock attributes as well as technical characteristics of individual bridges affect maintenance decisions