5 research outputs found

    Clinicians can independently predict 30-day hospital readmissions as well as the LACE index

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    Abstract Background Significant effort has been directed at developing prediction tools to identify patients at high risk of unplanned hospital readmission, but it is unclear what these tools add to clinicians’ judgment. In our study, we assess clinicians’ abilities to independently predict 30-day hospital readmissions, and we compare their abilities with a common prediction tool, the LACE index. Methods Over a period of 50 days, we asked attendings, residents, and nurses to predict the likelihood of 30-day hospital readmission on a scale of 0–100% for 359 patients discharged from a General Medicine Service. For readmitted versus non-readmitted patients, we compared the mean and standard deviation of the clinician predictions and the LACE index. We compared receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for clinician predictions and for the LACE index. Results For readmitted versus non-readmitted patients, attendings predicted a risk of 48.1% versus 31.1% (p < 0.001), residents predicted 45.5% versus 34.6% (p 0.002), and nurses predicted 40.2% versus 30.6% (p 0.011), respectively. The LACE index for readmitted patients was 11.3, versus 10.1 for non-readmitted patients (p 0.003). The area under the curve (AUC) derived from the ROC curves was 0.689 for attendings, 0.641 for residents, 0.628 for nurses, and 0.620 for the LACE index. Logistic regression analysis suggested that the LACE index only added predictive value to resident predictions, but not attending or nurse predictions (p < 0.05). Conclusions Attendings, residents, and nurses were able to independently predict readmissions as well as the LACE index. Improvements in prediction tools are still needed to effectively predict hospital readmissions

    A Prospective Observational Study Assessing the Impacts of Health Literacy and Psychosocial Determinants of Health on 30-day Readmission Risk

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    Our objective was to assess the utility of an assessment battery capturing health literacy (HL) and biopsychosocial determinants of health in predicting 30-day readmission in comparison to a currently well-adopted readmission risk calculator. We also sought to capture the distribution of inpatient HL, with emphasis on inadequate and marginal HL (an intermediate HL level). A prospective observational study was conducted to obtain HL and biopsychosocial data on general medicine inpatients admitted to the UCLA health system. Five hundred thirty-seven subjects were tracked prospectively for 30-day readmission after index hospitalization. HL was significantly better at predicting readmission compared to LACE + (Length, admission acuity, comorbidities, emergency room visits) alone (P = .013). A multivariate model including education, insurance, and language comfort was a strong predictor of adequate HL (P &lt; .001). In conclusion, HL offered significant improvement in risk stratification in comparison to LACE + alone. Patients with marginal HL were high-risk, albeit difficult to characterize. Incorporating robust HL and biopsychosocial determinant assessments may allow hospital systems to allocate educational resources towards at-risk patients, thereby mitigating readmission risk

    Intravenous non-opioid analgesia for peri- and postoperative pain management: a scientific review of intravenous acetaminophen and ibuprofen.

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    Pain is a predictable consequence following operations, but the management of postoperative pain is another challenge for anesthesiologists and inappropriately controlled pain may lead to unwanted outcomes in the postoperative period. Opioids are indeed still at the mainstream of postoperative pain control, but solely using only opioids for postoperative pain management may be connected with risks of complications and adverse effects. As a consequence, the concept of multimodal analgesia has been proposed and is recommended whenever possible. Acetaminophen is one of the most commonly used analgesic and antipyretic drug for its good tolerance and high safety profiles. The introduction of intravenous form of acetaminophen has led to a wider flexibility of its use during peri- and postoperative periods, allowing the early initiation of multimodal analgesia. Many studies have revealed the efficacy, safety and opioid sparing effects of intravenous acetaminophen. Intravenous ibuprofen has also shown to be well tolerated and demonstrated to have significant opioid sparing effects during the postoperative period. However, the number of randomized controlled trials confirming the efficacy and safety is small and should be used in caution in certain group of patients. Intravenous acetaminophen and ibuprofen are important options for multimodal postoperative analgesia, improving pain and patient satisfaction
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