Precipitation forecasts and their uncertainty as input into hydrological models

International audienceTorrential streams and fast runoff are characteristic of most Slovenian rivers and extensive damage is caused almost every year by rainstorms affecting different regions of Slovenia. Rainfall-runoff models which are tools for runoff calculation can be used for flood forecasting. In Slovenia, the lag time between rainfall and runoff is only a few hours and on-line data are used only for now-casting. Predicted precipitation is necessary in flood forecasting some days ahead. The ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) model gives general forecasts several days ahead while more detailed precipitation data with the ALADIN/SI model are available for two days ahead. Combining the weather forecasts with the information on catchment conditions and a hydrological forecasting model can give advance warning of potential flooding notwithstanding a certain degree of uncertainty in using precipitation forecasts based on meteorological models. Analysis of the sensitivity of the hydrological model to the rainfall error has shown that the deviation in runoff is much larger than the rainfall deviation. Therefore, verification of predicted precipitation for large precipitation events was performed with the ECMWF model. Measured precipitation data were interpolated on a regular grid and compared with the results from the ECMWF model. The deviation in predicted precipitation from interpolated measurements is shown with the model bias resulting from the inability of the model to predict the precipitation correctly and a bias for horizontal resolution of the model and natural variability of precipitation

Unexpected high troponin T and I values in a child with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and acute chest pain:a case report

Background: Elevated troponin T (cTnT) and/or troponin I (cTnI) can be ascribed to multiple causes, mostly resulting from cardiac tissue damage and in lesser numbers resulting from non-cardiac related causes. The presence of macrotroponins is easily overlooked, with potentially negative consequences.Case summary: This case report presents a case study of a 12-year-old child known to have MYH7 gene-associated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy with acute chest pain combined with an unexpected high cTnT and cTnI. A cardiac cause was deemed unlikely after additional investigation, as these showed no abnormalities. After consulting a laboratory specialist, it could be concluded that the high cTnT and cTnI were a result of macrotroponin complexes, a protein complex consisting of circulating protein and endogenous autoantibodies against that protein, resulting in elevated values with misguiding and uncertain clinical significance.Discussion: Awareness of the existence of macrotroponins could have prevented costly diagnostics and prolonged hospital admission with grave psychological impact, especially in children.</p

Unexpected high troponin T and I values in a child with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and acute chest pain:a case report

Background: Elevated troponin T (cTnT) and/or troponin I (cTnI) can be ascribed to multiple causes, mostly resulting from cardiac tissue damage and in lesser numbers resulting from non-cardiac related causes. The presence of macrotroponins is easily overlooked, with potentially negative consequences.Case summary: This case report presents a case study of a 12-year-old child known to have MYH7 gene-associated hypertrophic cardiomyopathy with acute chest pain combined with an unexpected high cTnT and cTnI. A cardiac cause was deemed unlikely after additional investigation, as these showed no abnormalities. After consulting a laboratory specialist, it could be concluded that the high cTnT and cTnI were a result of macrotroponin complexes, a protein complex consisting of circulating protein and endogenous autoantibodies against that protein, resulting in elevated values with misguiding and uncertain clinical significance.Discussion: Awareness of the existence of macrotroponins could have prevented costly diagnostics and prolonged hospital admission with grave psychological impact, especially in children.</p

Major immunophenotypic abnormalities in patients with primary adrenal insufficiency of different etiology

INTRODUCTION Patients with primary adrenal insufficiency (PAI) suffer from increased risk of infection, adrenal crises and have a higher mortality rate. Such dismal outcomes have been inferred to immune cell dysregulation because of unphysiological cortisol replacement. As the immune landscape of patients with different types of PAI has not been systematically explored, we set out to immunophenotype PAI patients with different causes of glucocorticoid (GC) deficiency. METHODS This cross-sectional single center study includes 28 patients with congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH), 27 after bilateral adrenalectomy due to Cushing's syndrome (BADx), 21 with Addison's disease (AD) and 52 healthy controls. All patients with PAI were on a stable GC replacement regimen with a median dose of 25 mg hydrocortisone per day. Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were isolated from heparinized blood samples. Immune cell subsets were analyzed using multicolor flow cytometry after four-hour stimulation with phorbol myristate acetate and ionomycin. Natural killer (NK-) cell cytotoxicity and clock gene expression were investigated. RESULTS The percentage of T helper cell subsets was downregulated in AD patients (Th1 p = 0.0024, Th2 p = 0.0157, Th17 p < 0.0001) compared to controls. Cytotoxic T cell subsets were reduced in AD (Tc1 p = 0.0075, Tc2 p = 0.0154) and CAH patients (Tc1 p = 0.0055, Tc2 p = 0.0012) compared to controls. NKCC was reduced in all subsets of PAI patients, with smallest changes in CAH. Degranulation marker CD107a expression was upregulated in BADx and AD, not in CAH patients compared to controls (BADx p < 0.0001; AD p = 0.0002). In contrast to NK cell activating receptors, NK cell inhibiting receptor CD94 was upregulated in BADx and AD, but not in CAH patients (p < 0.0001). Although modulation in clock gene expression could be confirmed in our patient subgroups, major interindividual-intergroup dissimilarities were not detected. DISCUSSION In patients with different etiologies of PAI, distinct differences in T and NK cell-phenotypes became apparent despite the use of same GC preparation and dose. Our results highlight unsuspected differences in immune cell composition and function in PAI patients of different causes and suggest disease-specific alterations that might necessitate disease-specific treatment

Skin dendritic cells in melanoma are key for successful checkpoint blockade therapy.

BACKGROUND: Immunotherapy with checkpoint inhibitors has shown impressive results in patients with melanoma, but still many do not benefit from this line of treatment. A lack of tumor-infiltrating T cells is a common reason for therapy failure but also a loss of intratumoral dendritic cells (DCs) has been described. METHODS: We used the transgenic tg(Grm1)EPv melanoma mouse strain that develops spontaneous, slow-growing tumors to perform immunological analysis during tumor progression. With flow cytometry, the frequencies of DCs and T cells at different tumor stages and the expression of the inhibitory molecules programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) and T-cell immunoglobulin and mucin-domain containing-3 (TIM-3) on T cells were analyzed. This was complemented with RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) and real-time quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR) analysis to investigate the immune status of the tumors. To boost DC numbers and function, we administered Fms-related tyrosine 3 ligand (Flt3L) plus an adjuvant mix of polyI:C and anti-CD40. To enhance T cell function, we tested several checkpoint blockade antibodies. Immunological alterations were characterized in tumor and tumor-draining lymph nodes (LNs) by flow cytometry, CyTOF, microarray and RT-qPCR to understand how immune cells can control tumor growth. The specific role of migratory skin DCs was investigated by coculture of sorted DC subsets with melanoma-specific CD8+ T cells. RESULTS: Our study revealed that tumor progression is characterized by upregulation of checkpoint molecules and a gradual loss of the dermal conventional DC (cDC) 2 subset. Monotherapy with checkpoint blockade could not restore antitumor immunity, whereas boosting DC numbers and activation increased tumor immunogenicity. This was reflected by higher numbers of activated cDC1 and cDC2 as well as CD4+ and CD8+ T cells in treated tumors. At the same time, the DC boost approach reinforced migratory dermal DC subsets to prime gp100-specific CD8+ T cells in tumor-draining LNs that expressed PD-1/TIM-3 and produced interferon γ (IFNγ)/tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα). As a consequence, the combination of the DC boost with antibodies against PD-1 and TIM-3 released the brake from T cells, leading to improved function within the tumors and delayed tumor growth. CONCLUSIONS: Our results set forth the importance of skin DC in cancer immunotherapy, and demonstrates that restoring DC function is key to enhancing tumor immunogenicity and subsequently responsiveness to checkpoint blockade therapy

Best packing of rods into boxes

AbstractWe determine the maximum number of 1 × 1 x … × 1 × n rods which will fit inside an arbitrary d-dimensional rectangular box, on condition that they be packed parallel to the edges of the box