Prognostic value of quickSOFA as a predictor of 28-day mortality among febrile adult patients presenting to emergency departments in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania

Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is a three-item clinical instrument for bedside identification of sepsis patients at risk of poor outcome. qSOFA could be a valuable triage tool in emergency departments of low-income countries, yet its performance in resource-limited settings remains unknown. The prognostic accuracy of qSOFA for 28-day all-cause mortality in febrile adults treated at the EDs in a low-income country was evaluated.; Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study of consecutive patients (≥18 years) with fever (tympanic temperature ≥38°C and fever ≤7 days) who presented between July 2013 and May 2014 at four emergency departments in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania. Medical history, clinical examination, laboratory and microbiological data were collected to document the cause of fever. Variables for the previous and new sepsis criteria were collected at inclusion and qSOFA, SOFA and SIRS were measured at inclusion. Patients were followed up by phone at day 28. The performance (sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating curve [AUROC]) of qSOFA (score ≥2), SOFA (increase of ≥2 points) and SIRS (≥2 criteria) as predictors of 28-day all-cause mortality was evaluated.; Among the 519 patients (median age: 30 years) included in the analysis, 47% were female and 25% were HIV positive. Overall, 85% had a microbiologically and/or clinically documented infection and 15% a fever of unknown origin. The most common site and causes of infections were the respiratory tract (43%), dengue (26%), malaria (6%) and typhoid fever (5%). Twenty-eight-day all-cause mortality was 6%: 3% for patients with a qSOFA <2 and 24% for those with a score ≥2 (absolute difference, 21%; 95% CI 12%-31%). The prognostic accuracy of qSOFA (AUROC 0.80, 95% CI 0.73-0.87) for 28-day mortality was similar to SOFA (AUROC 0.79, 0.71-0.87; p = 0.1) and better than SIRS (AUROC 0.61, 0.52-0.71; p<0.001).; Among patients with fever at emergency departments in Tanzania, qSOFA had a prognostic accuracy for 28-day mortality comparable to SOFA and superior to SIRS. These results support the use of qSOFA as a triage tool to identify patients with sepsis and at risk of poor outcome in resource-limited countries.; Clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01947075

Dengue fever in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania: clinical features and outcome in populations of black and non-black racial category

Although the incidence of dengue across Africa is high, severe dengue is reported infrequently. We describe the clinical features and the outcome of dengue according to raceduring an outbreak in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania that occurred in both native and expatriate populations. Adults with confirmed dengue (NS1 and/or IgM on rapid diagnostic test and/or PCR positive) were included between December 2013 and July 2014 in outpatient clinics. Seven-day outcome was assessed by a visit or a call. Association between black race and clinical presentation, including warning signs, was assessed by logistic regression adjusted for age, malaria coinfection, secondary dengue and duration of symptoms at inclusion. The independent association between demographic and comorbidities characteristics of the patients and severe dengue was evaluated by multivariate logistic regression that included potential confounders. After exclusion of 3 patients of mixed race, 431 patients with dengue (serotype 2, genotype Cosmopolitan) were included: 241 of black and 190 of non-black race. Black patients were younger (median age 30 versus 41 years; p < 0.001) and attended care after a slightly longer duration of symptoms (median of 2.9 versus 2.7 days; p = 0.01). Malaria coinfection was not significantly different between black (5%) and non-black (1.6%) patients (p = 0.06). The same proportion of patients in both group had secondary dengue (13 and 14%; p = 0.78). Among warning signs, only mucosal bleed was associated with race, black race being protective (adjusted OR 0.44; 95% CI 0.21-0.92). Overall, 20 patients (4.7%) presented with severe dengue. Non-black race (adjusted OR 3.9; 95% CI 1.3-12) and previously known diabetes (adjusted OR 43; 95% CI 5.2-361) were independently associated with severe dengue. Although all patients were infected with the same dengue virus genotype, black race was independently protective against a severe course of dengue, suggesting the presence of protective genetic or environmental host factors among people of African ancestry. The milder clinical presentation of dengue in black patients might partly explain why dengue outbreaks are under-reported in Africa and often mistaken for malaria. These results highlight the need to introduce point-of-care tests, beside the one for malaria, to detect outbreaks and orientate diagnosis. Clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01947075, retrospectively registered on the 13 of September 2014

Erratum for Williams et al., "Investigation of the Plasma Virome from Cases of Unexplained Febrile Illness in Tanzania from 2013 to 2014: a Comparative Analysis between Unbiased and VirCapSeq-VERT High-Throughput Sequencing Approaches"

High-throughput sequencing can provide insights into epidemiology and medicine through comprehensive surveys of viral genetic sequences in environmental and clinical samples. Here, we characterize the plasma virome of Tanzanian patients with unexplained febrile illness by using two high-throughput sequencing methods: unbiased sequencing and VirCapSeq-VERT (a positive selection system). Sequences from dengue virus 2, West Nile virus, human immunodeficiency virus type 1, human pegivirus, and Epstein-Barr virus were identified in plasma. Both sequencing strategies recovered nearly complete genomes in samples containing multiple viruses. Whereas VirCapSeq-VERT had better sensitivity, unbiased sequencing provided better coverage of genome termini. Together, these data demonstrate the utility of high-throughput sequencing strategies in outbreak investigations. <b>IMPORTANCE</b> Characterization of the viruses found in the blood of febrile patients provides information pertinent to public health and diagnostic medicine. PCR and culture have historically played an important role in clinical microbiology; however, these methods require a targeted approach and may lack the capacity to identify novel or mixed viral infections. High-throughput sequencing can overcome these constraints. As the cost of running multiple samples continues to decrease, the implementation of high-throughput sequencing for diagnostic purposes is becoming more feasible. Here we present a comparative analysis of findings from an investigation of unexplained febrile illness using two strategies: unbiased high-throughput sequencing and VirCapSeq-VERT, a positive selection high-throughput sequencing system

Performance of health workers using an electronic algorithm for the management of childhood illness in Tanzania : a pilot implementation study

In low-resource settings, where qualified health workers (HWs) are scarce and childhood mortality high, rational antimicrobial prescription for childhood illnesses is a challenge. To assess whether smartphones running guidelines, as compared with paper support, improve consultation process and rational use of medicines for children, a pilot cluster-randomized controlled study was conducted in Tanzania. Nine primary health-care facilities (HFs) were randomized into three arms: 1) paper algorithm, 2) electronic algorithm on a smartphone, and 3) control. All HWs attending children aged 2-59 months for acute illness in intervention HFs were trained on a new clinical algorithm for management of childhood illness (ALMANACH) either on 1) paper or 2) electronic support; 4 months after training, consultations were observed. An expert consultation was the reference for classification and treatment. Main outcomes were proportion of children checked for danger signs, and antibiotics prescription rate. A total of 504 consultations (166, 171, and 167 in control, paper, and phone arms, respectively) were observed. The use of smartphones versus paper was associated with a significant increase in children checked for danger signs (41% versus 74%, P = 0.04). Antibiotic prescriptions rate dropped from 70% in the control to 26%, and 25% in paper and electronic arms. The HWs-expert agreement on pneumonia classification remained low (expert's pneumonia identified by HWs in 26%, 30%, and 39% of patients, respectively).Mobile technology in low-income countries is implementable and has a potential to improve HWs' performance. Additional point-of-care diagnostic tests are needed to ensure appropriate management. Improving the rational use of antimicrobial is a challenge that ALMANACH can help to take up

New Algorithm for Managing Childhood Illness Using Mobile Technology (ALMANACH): A Controlled Non-Inferiority Study on Clinical Outcome and Antibiotic Use in Tanzania

Introduction: The decline of malaria and scale-up of rapid diagnostic tests calls for a revision of IMCI. A new algorithm (ALMANACH) running on mobile technology was developed based on the latest evidence. The objective was to ensure that ALMANACH was safe, while keeping a low rate of antibiotic prescription. Methods: Consecutive children aged 2–59 months with acute illness were managed using ALMANACH (2 intervention facilities), or standard practice (2 control facilities) in Tanzania. Primary outcomes were proportion of children cured at day 7 and who received antibiotics on day 0. Results: 130/842 (15∙4%) in ALMANACH and 241/623 (38∙7%) in control arm were diagnosed with an infection in need for antibiotic, while 3∙8% and 9∙6% had malaria. 815/838 (97∙3%;96∙1–98.4%) were cured at D7 using ALMANACH versus 573/623 (92∙0%;89∙8–94∙1%) using standard practice (p<0∙001). Of 23 children not cured at D7 using ALMANACH, 44% had skin problems, 30% pneumonia, 26% upper respiratory infection and 13% likely viral infection at D0. Secondary hospitalization occurred for one child using ALMANACH and one who eventually died using standard practice. At D0, antibiotics were prescribed to 15∙4% (12∙9–17∙9%) using ALMANACH versus 84∙3% (81∙4–87∙1%) using standard practice (p<0∙001). 2∙3% (1∙3–3.3) versus 3∙2% (1∙8–4∙6%) received an antibiotic secondarily. Conclusion: Management of children using ALMANACH improve clinical outcome and reduce antibiotic prescription by 80%. This was achieved through more accurate diagnoses and hence better identification of children in need of antibiotic treatment or not. The building on mobile technology allows easy access and rapid update of the decision chart. Trial Registration Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR20101100026221

Flowchart of eligible patients and exclusion criteria.

<p>Flowchart of eligible patients and exclusion criteria.</p

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for 28-day mortality.

<p>SOFA indicates Sequential (Sepsis-related) Organ Failure Assessment; qSOFA, quick SOFA; SIRS, systemic inflammatory response syndrome. The area under the ROC curves (AUROC) for qSOFA is 0.80 (95% CI 0.73–0.87), SOFA 0.79 (95% CI 0.71–0.87) and SIRS 0.61 (95% CI 0.52–0.71).</p