3,784 research outputs found

    Signaling Concerns about Fairness: Cooperation under Uncertain Social Preferences

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    This paper investigates incomplete information and signaling about players?inequity aversion in the simultaneous and sequential-move prisoner?s dilemma game. We first evaluate the role of incomplete information according to: (1) whether uncertainty helps select the effcient equilibrium outcome, and (2) whether more cooperation can be sustained under incomplete than under complete information. We then examine the possibility of information transmission among individuals in a signaling game. A separating equilibrium can be supported in which players with high concerns about fairness bear the cost of cooperating in order to reveal their type to opponents, thus promoting cooperation in subsequent periods. We also fi?nd a pooling equilibrium in which a player unconcerned about inequity aversion initially cooperates in order to mislead the uninformed player. This misleading strategy induces cooperation from the uninformed player in the subsequent stage of the game, moment at which the unconcerned player takes the opportunity to defect. This "backstabbing" equilibrium helps explain frequently observed behavior in ?finitely-repeated experiments.Prisoner?s Dilemma; Inequity aversion; Incomplete Information; Signaling

    Causes of sheep mortality at the Cook Ranch, Florence, Montana, 1975-76

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    Quantum change point

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    Sudden changes are ubiquitous in nature. Identifying them is of crucial importance for a number of applications in medicine, biology, geophysics, and social sciences. Here we investigate the problem in the quantum domain, considering a source that emits particles in a default state, until a point where it switches to another state. Given a sequence of particles emitted by the source, the problem is to find out where the change occurred. For large sequences, we obtain an analytical expression for the maximum probability of correctly identifying the change point when joint measurements on the whole sequence are allowed. We also construct strategies that measure the particles individually and provide an online answer as soon as a new particle is emitted by the source. We show that these strategies substantially underperform the optimal strategy, indicating that quantum sudden changes, although happening locally, are better detected globally.Comment: 4+8 pages, published version. New results added, including a theorem applicable to general multihypothesis discrimination problem

    Utilization of granite fines, phase I

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    Issued as Final report, Project no. A-88

    Post-launch data analysis for the cosmic ray isotope experiment ONR-604 in the Combined Release and Radiation Effects Satellite (CRRES)

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    Research was continued on the origins, acceleration mechanisms, and the propagation modes of the hierarchy of energetic charged particles found in a wide range of astrophysical settings, extending from the cosmic rays arriving from the depth of the galaxy to the energetic particles in the heliosphere and in the near earth environment. In particular this grant has been a vital support in the investigation of the particle radiations in the earth's magnetosphere. The ONR-604 instrument was launched in July 1990 aboard the CRRES spacecraft. The CRRES mission has been a joint program of NASA and the U.S. Air Force Space Test Program which has provided launch support and telemetry coverage. The spacecraft was placed into a low-inclination eccentric orbit with a period of approximately 10 hours, and thus measured charged particle fluxes in both interplanetary space and in the earth's trapped radiation. ONR-604 performed extremely well, both in interplanetary space and in the intense radiation belt environment. We were able to make detailed measurements of interplanetary fluxes and composition into L=4, or for more than 50% of the orbital period. Thus the experiment produced two valuable datasets, one set outside of L=4 for interplanetary studies, and one set inside of L=4 for radiation belt studies. The data returned by the University of Chicago ONR-604 instrument has been the base for 10 papers on magnetospheric and galactic energetic-particle research

    The Number of Support Constraints for Overlapping Set Optimization with Nested Admissible Sets Is Equal to One

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    This paper reports on the formalization of a recent result by Crespo, et al., as found in the references. The formalized result bounds the number of support constraints in a particular type of optimization problem. The problem involves discovering an optimal member of a family of sets that overlaps each member of a constraining collection of sets. The particular case addressed here concerns optimizations in which the family of sets is nested. The primary results were formalized in the interactive theorem prover PVS and support the claim that a single support constraint exists in very general circumstances

    Modelling thermal fluxes at the soil surface

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    This paper investigates the impact that various representations of thermal fluxes at the soil surface have on the estimation of seasonal variations of temperature and stored thermal energy in the soil close to the surface. Three theoretical formulations representing; turbulent, nonturbulent and vegetation-covered soil surface conditions are considered. The influence of shading from nearby objects (e.g. vegetation) has also been investigated. Numerical predictions of soil temperature and stored thermal energy are compared with experimental results from a large scale field test (performed by others). The results of both 1D and 2D simulations are shown capable of representing specific aspects of field behaviour. Various sources of meteorological data have been used to define surface boundary conditions. In particular, simulations were performed using; i) data measured in-situ, ii) data obtained from The British Atmospheric Data Centre, and iii) data generated using analytical expressions found in the literature. It is found that the correct representation of the heat transfer processes occurring at the soil surface is of critical importance. In particular, it is shown that the use of publicly available sources of data, or mathematical/analytical expressions for meteorological data, may be adequate when in-situ measurements are not available
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