A multi-layer model for long-term KPI aligment forecast

This article presents a new holistic model for the air traffic management system built by the Vista project. The model studies the alignment and trade-offs of key performance indicators in the 2035 and 2050 horizons. It is based on three layers modelling the strategic, pre-tactical and tactical phases of ATM. It heavily features multi-agents, is highly data-driven, and includes highly microscopic models. It is runnable as a ‘what-if’ tool and has been applied to different scenarios, including long-term forecasts for 2035 and 2050. The results obtained with the model so far show clear trends, including surging emissions, an important reduction in delay uncertainty, and increases of flight plan buffer

Vista D5.2 - Final Assessment Report

Vista examines the effects of conflicting market forces on European performance in ATM, through the evaluation of impact metrics on four key stakeholders, and the environment. Vista models the current, 2035 and 2050 timeframes based on various factors and their potential evolution. Vista’s model covers the three temporal phases of ATM (strategic, pre-tactical and tactical), and represents a typical (busy) day of operations. The model is able to estimate the impact of factors on the different phases independently, allowing us to capture how indicators change under different scenarios and execution phases. This deliverable presents the final results obtained from the model, together with a detailed description of the various parts of the model, the analysis performed to prepare the data, and the model calibration

Vista D5.1 - Initial Assessment Report

This deliverable presents Vista’s model and its calibration. The features of each of the model layers (strategic, pre-tactical and tactical) are described along with their calibration. A total of 58 scenarios with four foreground factors are modelled. The results of the layers are produced independently to present the capabilities of the system. These initial results are described and the next steps identified

Pilot3 D5.1 - Verification and validation plan

This deliverable provides the methodological framework which will enable the execution of the verification and validation activities. The actions defined within framework plan will support the incremental development of the prototype based on the principle of Agile paradigm. The verification defines all activities that will ensure the thorough test of different prototype versions, while validation will assess the functioning hypotheses addressing the operational benefits of the tool. The validation campaign will be done primarily through the interaction with the internal and external experts to capture their feedback. The deliverable presents the five-level hierarchy approach on the definition of experiments (scenario and case studies) that ensures the flexibility and tractability in their selection through different versions of prototype development. The deliverable also details the organisation and schedule of the internal and external meetings, workshops and dedicated activities along with the specification of the questionnaires, flow-type diagrams and other instruments which aims to facilitate the validation assessments

Best practice in undertaking and reporting health technology assessments : Working Group 4 report

[Executive Summary] The aim of Working Group 4 has been to develop and disseminate best practice in undertaking and reporting assessments, and to identify needs for methodologic development. Health technology assessment (HTA) is a multidisciplinary activity that systematically examines the technical performance, safety, clinical efficacy, and effectiveness, cost, costeffectiveness, organizational implications, social consequences, legal, and ethical considerations of the application of a health technology (18). HTA activity has been continuously increasing over the last few years. Numerous HTA agencies and other institutions (termed in this report “HTA doers”) across Europe are producing an important and growing amount of HTA information. The objectives of HTA vary considerably between HTA agencies and other actors, from a strictly political decision making–oriented approach regarding advice on market licensure, coverage in benefits catalogue, or investment planning to information directed to providers or to the public. Although there seems to be broad agreement on the general elements that belong to the HTA process, and although HTA doers in Europe use similar principles (41), this is often difficult to see because of differences in language and terminology. In addition, the reporting of the findings from the assessments differs considerably. This reduces comparability and makes it difficult for those undertaking HTA assessments to integrate previous findings from other HTA doers in a subsequent evaluation of the same technology. Transparent and clear reporting is an important step toward disseminating the findings of a HTA; thus, standards that ensure high quality reporting may contribute to a wider dissemination of results. The EUR-ASSESS methodologic subgroup already proposed a framework for conducting and reporting HTA (18), which served as the basis for the current working group. New developments in the last 5 years necessitate revisiting that framework and providing a solid structure for future updates. Giving due attention to these methodologic developments, this report describes the current “best practice” in both undertaking and reporting HTA and identifies the needs for methodologic development. It concludes with specific recommendations and tools for implementing them, e.g., by providing the structure for English-language scientific summary reports and a checklist to assess the methodologic and reporting quality of HTA reports

Building a Holistic ATM Model for Future KPI Trade-Offs

We present the model developed within the Vista project, studying the future evolution of trade-offs between Key Performance Indicators. The model has a very broad scope and aims to simulate the changes that business and regulatory forces have at a strategic, pre-tactical and tactical level. The relevant factors that will affect the air transportation system are presented, as well as the scenarios to be simulated. The overall architecture of the model is described and a more detailed presentation of the economic component of the model is given. Some preliminary results of this part of the model illustrate its main mechanisms and capabilities

NOSTROMO - D1.2 - Final Project Results Report

The main objective of the NOSTROMO project has been to develop, demonstrate and evaluate an innovative modelling approach for the rigorous and comprehensive assessment of the performance impact of future ATM concepts and solutions at ECAC network level. This approach brings together the ability of bottom-up microscopic models to capture emergent behaviour and interdependencies between different solutions with the level of tractability and interpretability required to effectively support decision-making. This report provides a summary of NOSTROMO accomplishments and contributions to the SESAR Programme. It gathers technical lessons learned and concludes proposing further developments to facilitate the use of the NOSTROMO methodology in the future SESAR 3 Programme

Pilot3 D2.1 - Trade-off report on multi criteria decision making techniques

This deliverable describes the decision making approach that will be followed in Pilot3. It presents a domain-driven analysis of the characteristics of Pilot3 objective function and optimisation framework. This has been done considering inputs from deliverable D1.1 - Technical Resources and Problem definition, from interaction with the Topic Manager, but most importantly from a dedicated Advisory Board workshop and follow-up consultation. The Advisory Board is formed by relevant stakeholders including airlines, flight operation experts, pilots, and other relevant ATM experts. A review of the different multi-criteria decision making techniques available in the literature is presented. Considering the domain-driven characteristics of Pilot3 and inputs on how the tool could be used by airlines and crew. Then, the most suitable methods for multi-criteria optimisation are selected for each of the phases of the optimisation framework

Characterization of an outbreak of equine coronavirus infection in adult horses in Switzerland.

INTRODUCTION Outbreaks of equine coronavirus (ECoV) infections have been described in different parts of the world including Europe. The aim of this report was to describe clinical signs, diagnostic work-up and outcome of the first documented outbreak of ECoV in Switzerland in order to raise the awareness for the disease and its various clinical presentations. The outbreak occurred on a farm with 26 horses. Of these, seven horses developed clinical disease ranging from mild signs such as fever and anorexia to severe signs of acute colitis. One horse died due to severe endotoxemia and circulatory shock secondary to severe acute necrotizing enteritis and colitis. Out of the 26 horses, five horses tested positive for ECoV, including two ponies without any clinical signs of infection. The low number of positive cases should nevertheless be interpreted with caution as testing was only performed on one occasion, over a month after the onset of clinical signs in the first suspected case. This report highlights the importance of diagnostic testing and early implementation of biosecurity measures on a farm with an ECoV outbreak. It should furthermore raise the awareness for unspecific and mild clinical signs such as fever and anorexia in affected animals that are potentially able to spread the disease