17 research outputs found

    Earnings response coefficients in the Greek market

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    The paper explores the relationship between accounting information and stock returns of the companies listed on the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE) in the period 1998–2008. Publicly available financial data on the companies included in the ASE during 1998–2008 have been collected and processed. The data sample consists of 245 companies and varies from 2,166 to 1,441 firm-year observations. The research methodology has been based on the extension of the model introduced by Kothari and Sloan (1992) and investigates whether the level of earnings divided by price at the beginning of the stock return period is associated with returns in the context of ‘prices lead earnings’ using annual and quarterly data. Cross-sectional regression analysis points to a significant relationship between earnings and returns on measurement windows of one year and longer. Similar results have been found in the case of a cumulative model where earnings are aggregated up to four years; however, relationship in the short measurement window up to three quarters has resulted in low earnings response coefficients

    Market Price Forecasting and Profitability – How to Tame Mrandom Walk?

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    Directional forecasting of a future market price development of liquid investment instruments is the focus of interest of investment companies, individual investors, banks and other financial market participants. This problematic has still not been fully answered because the market price development is a process which is very close to a random walk and appropriate models are still under the discussion. The opportunities can be used for the better prediction, their usage for profit making, quantification and also their discussion according to the current financial market models (models with the direction or the volatility dependence) is the core of the paper. The purpose of this research is also to simplify the whole situation for the practitioners due to the complicated theoretical background of this financial market topic
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