Water quality modelling of the Mekong River basin: climate change and socioeconomics drive flow and nutrient flux changes to the Mekong Delta

The Mekong delta is recognised as one of the world's most vulnerable mega-deltas, being subject to a range of environmental pressures including sea level rise, increasing population, and changes in flows and nutrients from its upland catchment. With changing climate and socioeconomics there is a need to assess how the Mekong catchment will be affected in terms of the delivery of water and nutrients into the delta system. Here we apply the Integrated Catchment model (INCA) to the whole Mekong River Basin to simulate flow and water quality, including nitrate, ammonia, total phosphorus and soluble reactive phosphorus. The impacts of climate change on all these variables have been assessed across 24 river reaches ranging from the Himalayas down to the delta in Vietnam. We used the UK Met Office PRECIS regionally coupled climate model to downscale precipitation and temperature to the Mekong catchment. This was accomplished using the Global Circulation Model GFDL-CM to provide the boundary conditions under two carbon control strategies, namely representative concentration pathways (RCP) 4.5 and a RCP 8.5 scenario. The RCP 4.5 scenario represents the carbon strategy required to meet the Paris Accord, which aims to limit peak global temperatures to below a 2 °C rise whilst seeking to pursue options that limit temperature rise to 1.5 °C. The RCP 8.5 scenario is associated with a larger 3–4 °C rise. In addition, we also constructed a range of socio-economic scenarios to investigate the potential impacts of changing population, atmospheric pollution, economic growth and land use change up to the 2050s. Results of INCA simulations indicate increases in mean flows of up to 24%, with flood flows in the monsoon period increasing by up to 27%, but with increasing periods of drought up to 2050. A shift in the timing of the monsoon is also simulated, with a 4 week advance in the onset of monsoon flows on average. Decreases in nitrogen and phosphorus concentrations occur primarily due to flow dilution, but fluxes of these nutrients also increase by 5%, which reflects the changing flow, land use change and population changes

Gaia Early Data Release 3: acceleration of the solar system from Gaia astrometry

Stars and planetary system

Gaia early data release 3: summary of the contents and survey properties (Corrigendum)

ERRATUMThis article is an erratum for:[https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202039657]​​​​​​​Instrumentatio

Gaia Early Data Release 3: the Gaia catalogue of nearby stars

Stars and planetary system

Gaia early data release 3: structure and properties of the Magellanic Clouds

Galaxie

Gaia Early Data Release 3: the Galactic anticentre

Stars and planetary system

Whole-genome sequencing reveals host factors underlying critical COVID-19

Critical COVID-19 is caused by immune-mediated inflammatory lung injury. Host genetic variation influences the development of illness requiring critical care1 or hospitalization2,3,4 after infection with SARS-CoV-2. The GenOMICC (Genetics of Mortality in Critical Care) study enables the comparison of genomes from individuals who are critically ill with those of population controls to find underlying disease mechanisms. Here we use whole-genome sequencing in 7,491 critically ill individuals compared with 48,400 controls to discover and replicate 23 independent variants that significantly predispose to critical COVID-19. We identify 16 new independent associations, including variants within genes that are involved in interferon signalling (IL10RB and PLSCR1), leucocyte differentiation (BCL11A) and blood-type antigen secretor status (FUT2). Using transcriptome-wide association and colocalization to infer the effect of gene expression on disease severity, we find evidence that implicates multiple genes—including reduced expression of a membrane flippase (ATP11A), and increased expression of a mucin (MUC1)—in critical disease. Mendelian randomization provides evidence in support of causal roles for myeloid cell adhesion molecules (SELE, ICAM5 and CD209) and the coagulation factor F8, all of which are potentially druggable targets. Our results are broadly consistent with a multi-component model of COVID-19 pathophysiology, in which at least two distinct mechanisms can predispose to life-threatening disease: failure to control viral replication; or an enhanced tendency towards pulmonary inflammation and intravascular coagulation. We show that comparison between cases of critical illness and population controls is highly efficient for the detection of therapeutically relevant mechanisms of disease

The influence of pre-weaning nutrition on biochemical and myofibre characteristics of bovine semitendinosus muscle

This study investigates pre-weaning growth of cattle and its effect on biochemical and histochemical markers of muscle development and subsequent biophysical attributes of eating quality. Combinations of cow (late pregnancy to mid-lactation) and pre-weaning (varying duration of access to a high-energy ration) supplementation were used to vary calf growth to weaning in 6 treatment groups. After weaning, calves were grazed together on pasture (backgrounding) and then grown rapidly on a feedlot ration (finishing) until slaughter. Biochemical and myofibre characteristics were determined in semitendinosus muscle samples collected just prior to weaning (7 months), at the end of backgrounding (13 months), and at slaughter (17 months). The concentration of sarcoplasmic protein and the activity of lactate dehydrogenase in the muscle at weaning were associated with differences in pre-weaning growth and both variables correlated positively with liveweight at weaning. Isocitrate dehydrogenase activity varied with sex, not treatment, at weaning and at the end of backgrounding. The size of myofibres at weaning related to differences in growth path and correlated positively with liveweight. Pre-weaning growth effects on these characteristics were not evident at slaughter. Biophysical properties of the meat were not affected by earlier growth path treatment, and were not correlated with biochemical characteristics or myofibre type profile. Variation in both shear peak force and adhesion was related to sex. We conclude that the effects of divergent early life growth do not persist 10 months after weaning, at least in meat quality characteristics

Inhibition of ruminal bacteria involved in lactic acid metabolism by extracts from Australian plants

Ethanolic extracts, essential oils and plant secondary compounds from selected Australian plants were tested in vitro for their potential to selectively inhibit bacteria associated with lactic acid production in ruminants. A combination of agar dilution and microbroth dilution assays were used to determine the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of the plant extracts against a panel of ruminal bacteria. Ethanolic extract from Eremophila glabra inhibited lactate producers and all other rumen bacteria at 1.260. mg/ml, except for the ruminal lactate fermenter Megasphaera elsdenii (MIC 10. mg/ml). Extracts from Acacia decurrens, A. saligna, Kennedia eximia and K. prorepens inhibited ruminal lactate producer Lactobacillus spp. only (MIC from 5 to 10. mg/ml). The MIC of essential oils ranged from 0.003 to 0.020. mg/ml, but the inhibitory effect was not specific to lactate producers. E. glabra was identified as the plant with the most favourable effect and purified compounds from this plant were investigated for further analysis. Seven serrulatane diterpenes were isolated by chromatography and tested against the major ruminal lactate producer Streptococcus bovis and a lactate fermenter M. elsdenii in a microbroth dilution assay. All but one of these inhibited S. bovis, with the MIC ranging from 0.320 to 1.080. mg/ml, with only one compound also inhibiting M. elsdenii (MIC 1.080. mg/ml). Selective inhibition of lactate producing bacteria in the rumen by some Australian plant extracts and their secondary compounds was identified and may lead to further research into the application of bioactive plants in the management of lactic acidosis in ruminants