Performance of the 4-Level Pulmonary Embolism Clinical Probability Score (4PEPS) in the diagnostic management of pulmonary embolism:An external validation study

Background: The recently published 4-level Pulmonary Embolism Clinical Probability Score (4PEPS) integrates different aspects from currently available diagnostic strategies to further reduce imaging testing in patients with clinically suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). Aim: To externally validate the performance of 4PEPS in an independent cohort. Methods: In this post-hoc analysis of the prospective diagnostic management YEARS study, the primary outcome measures were discrimination, calibration, efficiency (proportion of imaging tests potentially avoided), and failure rate (venous thromboembolism (VTE) diagnosis at baseline or follow-up in patients with a negative 4PEPS algorithm). Multiple imputation was used for missing 4PEPS items. Based on 4PEPS, PE was considered ruled out in patients with a very low clinical pre-test probability (CPTP) without D-dimer testing, in patients with a low CPTP and D-dimer &lt;1000 μg/L, and in patients with a moderate CPP and D-dimer below the age-adjusted threshold. Results: Of the 3465 patients, 474 (14 %) were diagnosed with VTE at baseline or during 3-month follow-up. Discriminatory performance of the 4PEPS items was good (area under ROC-curve, 0.82; 95%CI, 0.80–0.84) as was calibration. Based on 4PEPS, PE could be considered ruled out without imaging in 58 % (95%CI 57–60) of patients (efficiency), for an overall failure rate of 1.3 % (95%CI 0.86–1.9). Conclusion: In this retrospective external validation, 4PEPS appeared to safely rule out PE with a high efficiency. Nevertheless, although not exceeding the failure rate margin by ISTH standards, the observed failure rate in our analysis appeared to be higher than in the original 4PEPS derivation and validation study. This highlights the importance of a prospective outcome study.</p

Heavy menstrual bleeding on direct factor Xa inhibitors: Rationale and design of the MEDEA study

Background: In premenopausal women, treatment with direct oral factor Xa inhibitors is associated with an increased risk of heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB) compared with vitamin K antagonists (VKA). Treatment with the direct oral thrombin inhibitor dabigatran appears to be associated with a reduced risk of HMB compared with VKA. These findings come from small observational studies or post hoc analyses of trials in which HMB was not a primary outcome. Use of tranexamic acid during the menstrual period may be effective in patients with HMB, but prospective data regarding efficacy and safety in patients on anticoagulant treatment are lacking. Rationale and Design: A direct comparison of a factor Xa inhibitor and a thrombin inhibitor with HMB as primary outcome, as well as an evaluation of the effects of adding tranexamic acid in women with anticoagulant-associated HMB is highly relevant for clinical practice. The MEDEA study is a randomized, open-label, pragmatic clinical trial to evaluate management strategies in premenopausal women with HMB associated with factor Xa inhibitor therapy. Outcomes: Women using factor Xa inhibitors with proven HMB, as assessed by a pictorial blood loss assessment chart (PBAC) score of >150, will be randomized to one of three study arms: (i) switch to dabigatran; (ii) continue factor Xa inhibitor with addition of tranexamic acid during the menstrual period; or (iii) continue factor Xa inhibitor without intervention. The primary outcome is the difference in PBAC score before and after randomization. Here, we present the rationale and highlight several unique features in the design of the study

Associations of serum thyrotropin concentrations with recurrence and death in differentiated thyroid cancer

The relation between serum TSH levels and risk for recurrence or thyroid carcinoma-related death in patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma has only been studied to a limited extent. We conducted a single-center observational study in 366 consecutive patients with differentiated thyroid carcinoma, who had all been treated according to the same protocol for initial therapy and follow-up. Median duration of follow-up was 8.85 yr. The relation between summarizing variables of unstimulated serum TSH concentrations (25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles, the percentage of suppressed and unsuppressed TSH values) and risk for recurrence or thyroid carcinoma-related death was analyzed by Cox survival analyses in patients with at least four TSH measurements. In Cox regression analysis, we found a positive association between serum TSH concentrations and risk for thyroid carcinoma-related death and relapse, even in initially cured patients. The median of the individual TSH concentrations was the best indicator for thyroid carcinoma-related death (hazard ratio 2.03; confidence interval 1.22-3.37) and relapse (hazard ratio 1.41; confidence interval 1.03-1.95). A threshold of 2 mU/liter differentiated best between relapse-free survival and thyroid carcinoma-related death or relapse. Our study supports current guidelines, which advise to aim at TSH levels in the low normal range in cured low-risk patients, whereas TSH levels should be suppressed in noncured or high-risk patient

Assessing clinical probability of pulmonary embolism: prospective validation of the simplified Geneva score

Essentials The simplified Geneva score allows easier pretest probability assessment of pulmonary embolism (PE). We prospectively validated this score in the ADJUST-PE management outcome study. The study shows that it is safe to manage patients with suspected PE according to this score. The simplified Geneva score is now ready for use in routine clinical practice. SUMMARY: Background Pretest probability assessment by a clinical prediction rule (CPR) is an important step in the management of patients with suspected pulmonary embolism (PE). A limitation to the use of CPRs is that their constitutive variables and corresponding number of points are difficult to memorize. A simplified version of the Geneva score (i.e. attributing one point to each variable) has been proposed but never been prospectively validated. Aims Prospective validation of the simplified Geneva score (SGS) and comparison with the previous version of the Geneva score (GS). Methods In the ADJUST-PE study, which had the primary aim of validating the age-adjusted D-dimer cut-off, the SGS was prospectively used to determine the pretest probability in a subsample of 1621 study patients. Results Overall, PE was confirmed in 294 (18.1%) patients. Using the SGS, 608 (37.5%), 980 (60.5%) and 33 (2%) were classified as having a low, intermediate and high clinical probability. Corresponding prevalences of PE were 9.7%, 22.4% and 45.5%; 490 (30.1%) patients with low or intermediate probability had a D-dimer level below 500 μg L-1 and 653 (41.1%) had a negative D-dimer test according to the age-adjusted cut-off. Using the GS, the figures were 491(30.9%) and 650 (40.9%). None of the patients considered as not having PE based on a low or intermediate SGS and negative D-dimer had a recurrent thromboembolic event during the 3-month follow-up. Conclusions The use of SGS has similar efficiency and safety to the GS in excluding PE in association with the D-dimer test

Diagnostic outcome management study in patients with clinically suspected recurrent acute pulmonary embolism with a structured algorithm

INTRODUCTION: The value of diagnostic strategies in patients with clinically suspected recurrent pulmonary embolism (PE) has not been established. The aim was to determine the safety of a simple diagnostic strategy using the Wells clinical decision rule (CDR), quantitative D-dimer testing and computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) in patients with clinically suspected acute recurrent PE. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Multicenter clinical outcome study in 516 consecutive patients with clinically suspected acute recurrent PE without using anticoagulants. RESULTS: An unlikely clinical probability (Wells rule 4 points or less) was found in 182 of 516 patients (35%), and the combination of an unlikely CDR-score and normal D-dimer result excluded PE in 88 of 516 patients (17%), without recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE) during 3month follow-up (0%; 95% CI 0.0-3.4%). CTPA was performed in all other patients and confirmed recurrent PE in 172 patients (overall prevalence of PE 33%) and excluded PE in the remaining 253 patients (49%). During follow-up, seven of these 253 patients returned with recurrent VTE (2.8%; 95% CI 1.2-5.5%), of which in one was fatal (0.4 %; 95 % CI 0.02-1.9%). The diagnostic algorithm was feasible in 98% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: A diagnostic algorithm consisting of a clinical decision rule, D-dimer test and CTPA is effective in the management of patients with clinically suspected acute recurrent PE. CTPA provides reasonable safety in excluding acute recurrent PE in patients with a likely clinical probability or an elevated D-dimer test for recurrent PE, with a low risk for fatal PE at follow-up

Impact of Delay in Clinical Presentation on the Diagnostic Management and Prognosis of Patients with Suspected Pulmonary Embolism

<p>Rationale: The nonspecific clinical presentation of pulmonary embolism (PE) frequently leads to delay in its diagnosis.</p><p>Objectives: This study aimed to assess the impact of delay in presentation on the diagnostic management and clinical outcome of patients with suspected PE.</p><p>Methods: In 4,044 consecutive patients with suspected PE, patients presenting more than 7 days from the onset of symptoms were contrasted with those presenting within 7 days as regards the safety of excluding PE on the basis of a clinical decision rule combined with D-dimer testing. Patients were followed for 3 months to assess the rates of recurrent venous thromboembolism and mortality.</p><p>Measurements and Main Results: A delayed presentation (presentation >7 d) was present in 754 (18.6%) of the patients. The failure rate of an unlikely clinical probability and normal D-dimer test was 0.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.01-2.7) for patients with and 0.5% (95% CI, 0.2-1.2) for those without diagnostic delay. D-dimer testing yielded a sensitivity of 99%(95% CI, 96-99%) and 98%(95% CI, 97-99%) in these groups, respectively. Patients with PE with diagnostic delay more frequently had centrally located PE (41% vs. 26%; P</p><p>Conclusions: PE can be safely excluded based on a clinical decision rule and D-dimer testing in patients with a delayed clinical presentation. A delayed presentation for patients who survived acute PE was associated with a more central PE location, although this did not affect the clinical outcome at 3 months.</p>

Optimization of the diagnostic management of clinically suspected pulmonary embolism in hospitalized patients

Identical diagnostic algorithms for suspected pulmonary embolism (PE) are used for hospitalized patients and outpatients, while D-dimer levels, risk factors and pre-test probability for PE differ, and the percentage of patients managed without computerized tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) is lower in hospitalized patients. We aimed to improve the efficiency of the diagnostic algorithm by increasing the threshold of the D-dimer, the threshold of the Wells rule and by adjustments of the Wells rule. Six-hundred and twenty-four hospitalized patients from two previously performed management studies with a PE prevalence of 26% were studied. Adjustments were considered to be safe when the failure rate remained <2%. By applying standard management, 8% (49/624) were managed without CTPA with a failure rate of 0·0% (0/49; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0·0-7·3), and it was 1·7% (8/465; 95%CI 0·8-3·4) for all patients in whom PE was excluded at baseline. All evaluated adjustments resulted in an increase of the failure rate with very small improvements of the efficiency. Given these potentially small improvements and the increasing complexity of clinical practice if adjusted diagnostic algorithms for specific patient categories were introduced, we do not recommend further evaluation of any of the adjustments; we recommend that the standard diagnostic algorithm should continue to be applied

Thromboembolic resolution assessed by CT pulmonary angiography after treatment for acute pulmonary embolism

The systematic assessment of residual thromboembolic obstruction after treatment for acute pulmonary embolism (PE) has been understudied. This assessment is of potential clinical importance, should clinically suspected recurrent PE occur, or as tool for risk stratification of cardiopulmonary complications or recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE). This study aimed to assess the rate of PE resolution and its implications for clinical outcome. In this prospective, multi-center cohort study, 157 patients with acute PE diagnosed by CT pulmonary angiography (CTPA) underwent follow-up CTPA-imaging after six months of anticoagulant treatment. Two expert thoracic radiologists independently assessed the presence of residual thromboembolic obstruction. The degree of obstruction at baseline and follow-up was calculated using the Qanadli obstruction index. All patients were followed-up for 2.5 years. At baseline, the median obstruction index was 27.5%. After six months of treatment, complete PE resolution had occurred in 84.1% of the patients (95% confidence interval (Cl): 77.4-89.4%). The median obstruction index of the 25 patients with residual thrombotic obstruction was 5.0%. During follow-up, 16 (10.2%) patients experienced recurrent VIE. The presence of residual, thromboembolic obstruction was not associated with recurrent VTE (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.92; 95% Cl: 0.2-4.1). This study indicates that the incidence of residual thrombotic obstruction following treatment for PE is considerably lower than currently anticipated. These findings, combined with the absence of a correlation between residual thrombotic obstruction and recurrent VTE, do not support the routine use of follow-up CTPA-imaging in patients treated for acute PE

Atrial fibrillation in cancer:thromboembolism and bleeding in daily practice

BackgroundCancer is suggested to confer thromboembolic and bleeding risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).ObjectivesWe aimed to describe current anticoagulant practice in patients with AF and active cancer, present incidences of thromboembolic and bleeding complications, and evaluate the association between cancer type or anticoagulant management strategy with AF-related complications.MethodsThis retrospective study identified patients with AF and active cancer in 2 hospitals between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2017. Follow-up lasted for 2 years. Data on cancer and anticoagulant treatment were collected. The outcomes of interest included ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) and clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding (CRNMB/MB). Incidence rates (IRs) per 100 patient-years and subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) with corresponding 95% Cis were estimated.ResultsWe identified 878 patients with AF who developed cancer (cohort 1) and 335 patients with cancer who developed AF (cohort 2). IRs for ischemic stroke/TIA and MB/CRNMB were 3.9 (2.8-5.3) and 15.7 (13.3-18.5) for cohort 1 and 4.0 (2.2-6.7) and 16.7 (12.6-21.7) for cohort 2. 14.2% (cohort 1) and 19.1% (cohort 2) of patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of ≥2 did not receive anticoagulant treatment. Withholding anticoagulants was associated with thromboembolic complications (SHR: 5.1 [3.20-8.0]). In nonanticoagulated patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of ConclusionPatients with AF and active cancer experience high rates of thromboembolic and bleeding complications, underlying the complexity of anticoagulant management in these patients. Our data suggest that the presence of cancer is an important factor in determining the indication for anticoagulants in patients with a low CHA2DS2-VASc score.Experimentele farmacotherapi