130 research outputs found

    Basic reproduction number and effective reproduction number for North Cyprus for fighting Covid-19

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    The aim of this paper is to show how North Cyprus fought with Covid-19 by using R0 and Rt, as herd immunity. For that purpose, we used a SEIR model for basic reproduction number, R0, and calculated Rt values by using R0 values. North Cyprus is the first country in Europe to free from Covid-19 epidemic. One of the most important reasons for this is that the government decided to tackle Covid-19 pandemic by using R0 and Rt daily. For R0, we constructed a new SEIR model by using real data for North Cyprus. From March 11, 2020 to May 15, 2020, R0 varies from 0.65 to 2.38

    Stability analysis of an eco-epidemiological model consisting of a prey and two competing predators with SI-disease in prey and toxicant

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    In the present paper, we study two eco-epidemiological models. The first one consists of a prey and twocompeting predators with SI-disease in prey species spreading by contacts between susceptible prey and infected prey. This model assumes linear functional response. The second model is the modification of the first one when the effect of toxicant is taken into account. In this paper, we examine the dynamical behavior of non-survival and free equilibrium points of our proposed model

    On stability of the third order partial delay differential equation with involution and Dirichlet condition

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    In this paper the stability of the initial value problem for the third order partial delay differential equation with involution is investigated. The first order of accuracy absolute stable difference scheme for the solution of the differential problem is presented. Stability estimates for the solution of this difference scheme are proved. Numerical results are provided

    Modelling the effect of horizontal and vertical transmissions of HIV infection with efficient control strategies

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    In this paper a mathematical model is developed to study the transmission dynamics of HIV infection and the effect of horizontal and vertical transmission in Turkey is analyzed. Model is fitted with the use of confirmed HIV cases of both vertical and horizontal transmission from 2011 to 2018. Using the next generation operator the basic reproduction number of the model is obtained, which shows whether the disease persists or dies out in time. Further analysis shows that the model is locally asymptotically stable when the basic reproduction number R0 1. The most sensitive parameters efficient for the control of the infection are obtained using forward normalized sensitivity index. Lastly, the results are obtained with the aid of mesh and contour plots, which show that decreasing the values of transmission rate diseases induced mortality rates and progression rates play a significant role in controlling the spread of HIV transmission

    Dynamics of HIV-1 infected population acquired via different sexual contacts route: a case study of Turkey

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    This paper aims to study the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS in heterosexual, men having sex with men (MSM)/bisexuals and others in Turkey. Four equilibrium points were obtained which include disease free and endemic equilibrium points. The global stability analysis of the equilibria was carried out using the Lyapunov function which happens to depend on the basic reproduction number R0. If R0 1, the endemic equilibrium point is stable and epidemics will occur. We use raw data obtained from Kocaeli University, PCR Unit, Turkey to analyze and predict the trend of HIV/AIDS among heterosexuals, MSM/bisexual, and others. The basic reproduction number for heterosexuals, MSM/bisexuals, and others was found to be 1.08, 0.6719, and 0.050, respectively. This shows that the threat posed by HIV/AIDS among heterosexuals is greater than followed by MSM/bisexuals, and than the others. So, the relevant authorities should put priorities in containing the disease in order of their threat

    Evaluation of cytotoxicity and oxidative DNA damaging effects of di(2-ethylhexyl)-phthalate (DEHP) and mono(2-ethylhexyl)-phthalate (MEHP) on MA-10 Leydig cells and protection by selenium

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    Di(2-ethylhexyl)-phthalate (DEHP) is the most abundantly used phthalate derivative, inevitable environmental exposure of which is suspected to contribute to the increasing incidence of testicular dysgenesis syndrome in humans. Oxidative stress and mitochondrial dysfunction in germ cells are suggested to contribute to phthalate-induced disruption of spermatogenesis in rodents, and Leydig cells are one of the main targets of phthalates' testicular toxicity. Selenium is known to be involved in the modulation of intracellular redox equilibrium, and plays a critical role in testis, sperm, and reproduction. This study was aimed to investigate the oxidative stress potential of DEHP and its consequences in testicular cells, and examine the possible protective effects of selenium using the MA-10 mouse Leydig tumor cell line as a model. In the presence and absence of selenium compounds [30. nM sodium selenite (SS), and 10 μM selenomethionine (SM)], the effects of exposure to DEHP and its main metabolite mono(2-ethylhexyl)-phthalate (MEHP) on the cell viability, enzymatic and non-enzymatic antioxidant status, ROS production, p53 expression, and DNA damage by alkaline Comet assay were investigated. The overall results of this study demonstrated the cytotoxicity and genotoxicity potential of DEHP, where MEHP was found to be more potent than the parent compound. SS and SM produced almost the same level of protection against antioxidant status modifying effects, ROS and p53 inducing potentials, and DNA damaging effects of the two phthalate derivatives. It was thus shown that DEHP produced oxidative stress in MA-10 cells, and selenium supplementation appeared to be an effective redox regulator in the experimental conditions used in this study, emphasizing the critical importance of the appropriate selenium status. © 2010 Elsevier Inc

    Relative bioavailability study of a generic effervescent tablet formulation of dexketoprofen and thiocolchicoside versus the originator 25 mg film coated tablet (dexketoprofen) and 8 mg capsule (thiocolchicoside)

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    Aims: The aim of this study was to evaluate the pharmacokinetic profiles and the relative bioavailability of dexketoprofen and thiocolchicoside of the test preparation (dexketoprofen / thiocolchicoside 25 mg / 8 mg effervescent tablet) in comparison with the reference preparations (Keral 25 mg film coated tablet, containing dexketoprofen trometamol equivalent to 25 mg dexketoprofen (Menarini International Operations Luxembourg S.A.) (R1) and Muscoril 8 mg capsule, containing 8 mg thiocolchicoside (Sanofi Aventis İlaçları Ltd. Şti.) (R2) under fasting conditions. Methods: 25 healthy male subjects were enrolled in the study. Volunteers were hospitalised from the evening before drug administration (Day 0) until after the 24-hour blood sampling time on Day 2. Results: 24 subjects completed the study. Relative bioavailability (AUCT/AUCR1) of dexketoprofen from the test preparation was 100.99 %; (AUCT/AUCR2) of 3-O-glucuronide of thiocolchicoside (aglycone) from the test preparation was 100.47 %; (Cmax,T/Cmax,R1) of dexketoprofen from the test preparation was 122.59 %; (Cmax,T/Cmax,R2) of 3-O-glucuronide of thiocolchicoside (aglycone) from the test preparation was 111.43 %. Conclusions: The relative bioavailability AUCT /AUCR of the test preparation compared with both reference preparations is comparable, as shown by the geometric mean ratios of 100.59 % (dexketoprofen) and of 98.20 % (3-O-glucuronide of thiocolchicoside (aglycone)

    Transmission dynamics and control strategies of COVID-19: a modelling study

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    In this paper a mathematical model is proposed, which incorporates quarantine and hospitalization to assess the community impact of social distancing and face mask among the susceptible population. The model parameters are estimated and fitted to the model with the use of laboratory confirmed COVID-19 cases in Turkey from March 11 to October 10, 2020. The partial rank correlation coefficient is employed to perform sensitivity analysis of the model, with basic reproduction number and infection attack rate as response functions. Results from the sensitivity analysis reveal that the most essential parameters for effective control of COVID-19 infection are recovery rate from quarantine individuals (δ1), recovery rate from hospitalized individuals (δ4), and transmission rate (β). Some simulation results are obtained with the aid of mesh plots with respect to the basic reproductive number as a function of two different biological parameters randomly chosen from the model. Finally, numerical simulations on the dynamics of the model highlighted that infections from the compartments of each state variables decreases with time which causes an increase in susceptible individuals. This implies that avoiding contact with infected individuals by means of adequate awareness of social distancing and wearing face mask are vital to prevent or reduce the spread of COVID-19 infection

    BULLETIN OF THE KARAGANDA UNIVERSITY-MATHEMATICS

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    This paper aims to study the transmission dynamics of HIV/AIDS in heterosexual, men having sex with men (MSM)/bisexuals and others in Turkey. Four equilibrium points were obtained which include disease free and endemic equilibrium points. The global stability analysis of the equilibria was carried out using the Lyapunov function which happens to depend on the basic reproduction number R-0. If R-0 1, the endemic equilibrium point is stable and epidemics will occur. We use raw data obtained from Kocaeli University, PCR Unit, Turkey to analyze and predict the trend of HIV/AIDS among heterosexuals, MSM/bisexual, and others. The basic reproduction number for heterosexuals, MSM/bisexuals, and others was found to be 1.08, 0.6719, and 0.050, respectively. This shows that the threat posed by HIV/AIDS among heterosexuals is greater than followed by MSM/bisexuals, and than the others. So, the relevant authorities should put priorities in containing the disease in order of their threat
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