Status Update and Interim Results from the Asymptomatic Carotid Surgery Trial-2 (ACST-2)

Objectives: ACST-2 is currently the largest trial ever conducted to compare carotid artery stenting (CAS) with carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in patients with severe asymptomatic carotid stenosis requiring revascularization. Methods: Patients are entered into ACST-2 when revascularization is felt to be clearly indicated, when CEA and CAS are both possible, but where there is substantial uncertainty as to which is most appropriate. Trial surgeons and interventionalists are expected to use their usual techniques and CE-approved devices. We report baseline characteristics and blinded combined interim results for 30-day mortality and major morbidity for 986 patients in the ongoing trial up to September 2012. Results: A total of 986 patients (687 men, 299 women), mean age 68.7 years (SD ± 8.1) were randomized equally to CEA or CAS. Most (96%) had ipsilateral stenosis of 70-99% (median 80%) with contralateral stenoses of 50-99% in 30% and contralateral occlusion in 8%. Patients were on appropriate medical treatment. For 691 patients undergoing intervention with at least 1-month follow-up and Rankin scoring at 6 months for any stroke, the overall serious cardiovascular event rate of periprocedural (within 30 days) disabling stroke, fatal myocardial infarction, and death at 30 days was 1.0%. Conclusions: Early ACST-2 results suggest contemporary carotid intervention for asymptomatic stenosis has a low risk of serious morbidity and mortality, on par with other recent trials. The trial continues to recruit, to monitor periprocedural events and all types of stroke, aiming to randomize up to 5,000 patients to determine any differential outcomes between interventions. Clinical trial: ISRCTN21144362. © 2013 European Society for Vascular Surgery. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved

Second asymptomatic carotid surgery trial (ACST-2): a randomised comparison of carotid artery stenting versus carotid endarterectomy

Background: Among asymptomatic patients with severe carotid artery stenosis but no recent stroke or transient cerebral ischaemia, either carotid artery stenting (CAS) or carotid endarterectomy (CEA) can restore patency and reduce long-term stroke risks. However, from recent national registry data, each option causes about 1% procedural risk of disabling stroke or death. Comparison of their long-term protective effects requires large-scale randomised evidence. Methods: ACST-2 is an international multicentre randomised trial of CAS versus CEA among asymptomatic patients with severe stenosis thought to require intervention, interpreted with all other relevant trials. Patients were eligible if they had severe unilateral or bilateral carotid artery stenosis and both doctor and patient agreed that a carotid procedure should be undertaken, but they were substantially uncertain which one to choose. Patients were randomly allocated to CAS or CEA and followed up at 1 month and then annually, for a mean 5 years. Procedural events were those within 30 days of the intervention. Intention-to-treat analyses are provided. Analyses including procedural hazards use tabular methods. Analyses and meta-analyses of non-procedural strokes use Kaplan-Meier and log-rank methods. The trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN21144362. Findings: Between Jan 15, 2008, and Dec 31, 2020, 3625 patients in 130 centres were randomly allocated, 1811 to CAS and 1814 to CEA, with good compliance, good medical therapy and a mean 5 years of follow-up. Overall, 1% had disabling stroke or death procedurally (15 allocated to CAS and 18 to CEA) and 2% had non-disabling procedural stroke (48 allocated to CAS and 29 to CEA). Kaplan-Meier estimates of 5-year non-procedural stroke were 2·5% in each group for fatal or disabling stroke, and 5·3% with CAS versus 4·5% with CEA for any stroke (rate ratio [RR] 1·16, 95% CI 0·86–1·57; p=0·33). Combining RRs for any non-procedural stroke in all CAS versus CEA trials, the RR was similar in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients (overall RR 1·11, 95% CI 0·91–1·32; p=0·21). Interpretation: Serious complications are similarly uncommon after competent CAS and CEA, and the long-term effects of these two carotid artery procedures on fatal or disabling stroke are comparable. Funding: UK Medical Research Council and Health Technology Assessment Programme

The Hellinger Correlation

In this article, the defining properties of any valid measure of the dependence between two continuous random variables are revisited and complemented with two original ones, shown to imply other usual postulates. While other popular choices are proved to violate some of these requirements, a class of dependence measures satisfying all of them is identified. One particular measure, that we call the Hellinger correlation, appears as a natural choice within that class due to both its theoretical and intuitive appeal. A simple and efficient nonparametric estimator for that quantity is proposed, with its implementation publicly available in the R package HellCor. Synthetic and real-data examples illustrate the descriptive ability of the measure, which can also be used as test statistic for exact independence testing. Supplementary materials for this article are available online

Welfare analysis of changing food prices: a nonparametric examination of rice policies in India

The paper examines the welfare impact of the Indian government’s rice price policies in the light of the global food crisis of 2007–08 using a nonparametric approach for regression and density estimation. In particular, the impact of a ban on export of rice and increased farm gate price support for farmers, implemented to keep domestic consumer prices lower and producer prices higher than they would otherwise have been, was analysed. The net impact of the export ban was positive, as it was able to cushion the Indian population (84 % of whom are net consumers of rice) from the adverse effects of the crisis. However, the extent of welfare varied among different household types, as the poor in India are heterogeneous in nature. Thus agriculture-price policies do not have a homogenous effect on the poor in India. The majority of rice-producing farmers are relatively poor but benefitted from the increase in farm gate prices. Poor households that did not cultivate rice were the worst affected in the food crisis, as their budget share of rice is higher than that of rich households

Addressing Risk in Conditions of Uncertainty Ignorance and Partial Knowledge

Recommendations from the 2016 Theo Murphy High Flyers Think Tank: An Interdisciplinary approach to living in a complex worl

Long-Term Mechanical Ventilation: Recommendations of the Swiss Society of Pulmonology.

Long-term mechanical ventilation is a well-established treatment for chronic hypercapnic respiratory failure (CHRF). It is aimed at improving CHRF-related symptoms, health-related quality of life, survival, and decreasing hospital admissions. In Switzerland, long-term mechanical ventilation has been increasingly used since the 1980s in hospital and home care settings. Over the years, its application has considerably expanded with accumulating evidence of beneficial effects in a broad range of conditions associated with CHRF. Most frequent indications for long-term mechanical ventilation are chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, obesity hypoventilation syndrome, neuromuscular and chest wall diseases. In the current consensus document, the Special Interest Group of the Swiss Society of Pulmonology reviews the most recent scientific literature on long-term mechanical ventilation and provides recommendations adapted to the particular setting of the Swiss healthcare system with a focus on the practice of non-invasive and invasive home ventilation in adults