The effects of latent heat release on the climate of an aquaplanet model

As the atmosphere warms under climate change, it will hold more moisture. Latent heat released as water vapour condenses provides an important contribution to the atmospheric heat budget, affecting stability and providing complex feedbacks. Consequently, theories for the general circulation of the atmosphere proposed based on dry dynamics may not apply in moist simulations. In order to understand the possible changes to the Earth's atmospheric circulation as the climate warms, a deeper understanding of these feedbacks is required. Changes to the atmospheric thermal structure and circulation as humidity is increased have been explored in an intermediate complexity general circulation model. To provide a reference climate more comparable with that of previous studies, and of the real world, a simple parameterisation of shortwave and longwave radiative transfer has been developed, which compares favourably with existing simple radiation schemes. Experiments have then been performed with fixed optical depths in which the moisture content of the model is varied. In the zonal mean, increasing moisture content results in an increase in static stability throughout the atmosphere. Consequent changes to the Hadley cell, zonal jets, and storm track have been analysed using simple theories, and by comparison with an experiment in which the sea surface temperature in the tropics is increased. This reveals that the majority of the effects of increased moisture content on the circulation are generated by low latitude warming. The simulations further reveal stronger midlatitude poleward transport of moist static energy as saturation vapour pressure is increased, and an unexpected increase in sensible heat transport in the cold sector of storms. A mechanism for the latter is proposed related to the environmental static stability against which the system develops. The experiments also suggest changes to the rate of conversion of available potential energy to eddy kinetic energy as moisture content increases.Open Acces

COST-RECOVERY AS A FISHERIES MANAGEMENT TOOL

Resource /Energy Economics and Policy,

Study of the market for organic vegetables

This project was led and conducted by HDRA, in collaboration with the Soil Association, Elm Farm Research Centre and The Institute of Rural Studies, Aberystwyth. Data was collected from UK packers and wholesalers of organic vegetables on the amounts, value and source of organic vegetables traded during the 2001/02 season. This was supplemented with crop area data from the organic certification bodies on the area of organic vegetable crops grown in the season. All data was cross-referenced with other published sources of information for the same season. Results and conclusions For a range of twenty-five organic vegetables, which can be grown commercially in the UK, levels of self-sufficiency, or market share, have risen from previous reported levels of 30-40% to an average of 57% for all vegetables. When considered on a crop by crop basis, however, there are large variations of UK market share, ranging from 96% for swedes to 33% for onions. For staple crops such as potatoes, carrots and cabbage the UK share is 65%. Within the main marketing season, for most staple crops, it is estimated that the UK is self sufficient for two-thirds of organic produce with the remainder being imported. Levels of imports rise during the time when UK produce is not in season. Packers and wholesalers estimate that on average there is potential to increase UK market share by 10-15%, although again there are variations on a crop by crop basis. If this were achieved this would put organic production at similar UK market share levels to that achieved in conventional production, namely 70%, which is the target set by the English government’s organic action plan. In order to increase supplies UK growers will have to compete with imports on quality, continuity of supply and in some cases on price. Much of the challenge for UK growers is to increase production at the beginning and end of the season, a time when there is greatest risk from pest, diseases, poor nutrient supply and variable economic returns. The need for organic growers to use organic seed, for which supplies are not always available, could in the short-term act as a constraint to UK growers expanding their production levels. In the EU, the largest markets for organic vegetables are in Germany, France and the UK, these three are major importers of organic vegetables. On the other hand Spain, Italy and the Netherlands are major exporters of organic vegetables. The UK has the lowest level of self-sufficiency in both vegetables and potatoes compared to other EU countries. Many EU countries have increased their levels of production to meet the growing UK market, and for some crops there is oversupply at the EU level. In the future the UK market is predicted to grow at a slower rate, 10-15% per annum. Future growth will be related to a wide range of factors such as the growth of the economy, and education of the consumer to the benefits of organic food. According to retail analysts 8% of the ‘committed’ organic shoppers buy 60% of the organic food. It is a challenge, firstly to encourage the committed consumers to buy more organic food and secondly to entice the other 71% of so called ‘dabblers’, who only currently buy organic food occasionally, to buy more regularly. Commitment to buying organic grows as consumers become more aware of the benefits of organic farming. Recommendations Farmers, policy-makers and other market actors must react swiftly to the changing conditions of the new environment that will evolve in coming years. But in order to do this, government must continue to give clear policy support to the sector. Growers and marketers need a clear picture of the market and knowledge about the supply levels of crops at different times of the year and precisely where there are opportunities for innovation, processing and expanding production. Hence there is an imperative for market information to be collected annually, so future projections could be more easily and accurately mapped. However conversion period time lags will inevitably act to slow the response of farmers to changes in market conditions or consumer behaviour. Growers should also be encouraged to innovate and differentiate their produce, to invest in suitable facilities for storage and processing of crops, such as washing carrots, and to increase their marketing awareness and marketing skills. Co-operation and communication must be fostered within the supply chain. Ideally the food chain should be short, fast, transparent, seamless and collaborative, with all partners in the chain taking equal responsibilities and sharing risks, too often the food chain is complex, price driven, confrontational, disjointed and opaque. An increased UK supply can only be successful if organic market actors join forces to realise the potential of the advantages arising from the economies of scale associated with growing supply. The easiest way to secure long-term growth in UK production is through long-term contracts between partners in the supply chain

Diverse characteristics of UK organic direct marketing chains

In the past few years, organic direct sales in the UK have grown rapidly. Direct sales are assumed to have short or distinct marketing chains from farm gate to consumer. This paper begins by outlining some current problems with the widely accepted defi nition of organic direct sales and charts some of their diverse characteristics. It goes on to argue that the mix of organic direct and multi-farm direct sales is so diverse that a greater clarification of terms is necessary in order to progress consumer, policy and research understanding

Feedback in Clouds II: UV Photoionisation and the first supernova in a massive cloud

Molecular cloud structure is regulated by stellar feedback in various forms. Two of the most important feedback processes are UV photoionisation and supernovae from massive stars. However, the precise response of the cloud to these processes, and the interaction between them, remains an open question. In particular, we wish to know under which conditions the cloud can be dispersed by feedback, which in turn can give us hints as to how feedback regulates the star formation inside the cloud. We perform a suite of radiative magnetohydrodynamic simulations of a 10^5 solar mass cloud with embedded sources of ionising radiation and supernovae, including multiple supernovae and a hypernova model. A UV source corresponding to 10% of the mass of the cloud is required to disperse the cloud, suggesting that the star formation efficiency should be on the order of 10%. A single supernova is unable to significantly affect the evolution of the cloud. However, energetic hypernovae and multiple supernovae are able to add significant quantities of momentum to the cloud, approximately 10^{43} g cm/s of momentum per 10^{51} ergs of supernova energy. This is on the lower range of estimates in other works, since dense gas clumps that remain embedded inside the HII region cause rapid cooling in the supernova blast. We argue that supernovae alone are unable to regulate star formation in molecular clouds, and that strong pre-supernova feedback is required to allow supernova blastwaves to propagate efficiently into the interstellar mediumComment: 15 pages, 10 figures, submitted to MNRA

A qualitative investigation into the use of the internet in the information search phase of the buying decision process

There have been a significant number of reports suggesting that the Internet will radically change accepted business and customer relationships. The literature to date has focused on the phenomenon of the Internet as well as more specific aspects such as its interactivity, how to market a Web site and security issues. There appears to be very little research on how consumer behaviour theories relate to the Internet. This study explored the extent to which the Internet is in the information search phase of the buying decision process, amongst Internet literate consumers. A qualitative investigation using virtual focus groups was conducted. The study identified four ways in which consumers use the Internet to gather information. It also identified some of the characteristics of products for which participants used the Internet to gain information. Participants tended to use the Internet due to a mistrust of traditional retail information sources. The results also indicate that they may use the Internet due to its convenience and its expanded universe. An expanded universe in this sense means having access to a larger range of products and services across different manufacturers. The results indicate that some consumers use the Internet for information about shopping products that have a high level of comparability, for which they rely on making factual not emotional decisions. The Internet itself appeared to be used quite extensively by the participants in the information search phase of the buying decision process. Participants indicated that they use the Internet as a sole information provider, a starting point information provider, a Pack-up information provider and a final information provider