On the distribution of fluxes of gamma-ray blazars: hints for a stochastic process?

We examine a model for the observed temporal variability of powerful blazars in the $\gamma$-ray band in which the dynamics is described in terms of a stochastic differential equation, including the contribution of a deterministic drift and a stochastic term. The form of the equation is motivated by the current astrophysical framework, accepting that jets are powered through the extraction of the rotational energy of the central supermassive black hole mediated by magnetic fields supported by a so-called \emph{magnetically arrested} accretion disk. We apply the model to the $\gamma$-ray light curves of several bright blazars and we infer the parameters suitable to describe them. In particular, we examine the differential distribution of fluxes ($dN/dF_{\gamma}$) and we show that the predicted probability density function for the assumed stochastic equation naturally reproduces the observed power law shape at large fluxes $dN/dF_{\gamma} \propto F_{\gamma}^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>2$.Comment: 7 pages, 4 figures, accepted for publication in MNRA

Astrophysical hints of axion-like particles

After reviewing three astrophysical hints of the existence of axionlike particles (ALPs), we describe in more detail a new similar hint involving flat spectrum radio quasars (FSRQs). Detection of FSRQs above about 20GeV pose a challenge to very-high-energy (VHE) astrophysics, because at those energies the ultraviolet emission from their broad line region should prevent photons produced by the central engine to leave the source. Although a few astrophysical explanations have been put forward, they are totally ad hoc. We show that a natural explanation instead arises within the conventional models of FSRQs provided that photon-ALP oscillations occur inside the source. Our analysis takes the FSRQ PKR 1222+206 as an example, and it looks tantalizing that basically the same choice of the free model parameters adopted in this case is consistent with those that provide the other three hints of the existence of ALPs

Critical rainfall thresholds for triggering shallow landslides in the Serchio River Valley (Tuscany, Italy)

Abstract. The Serchio River Valley, in north-western Tuscany, is a well-known tourism area between the Apuan Alps and the Apennines. This area is frequently hit by heavy rainfall, which often triggers shallow landslides, debris flows and debris torrents, sometimes causing damage and death. The assessment of the rainfall thresholds for the initiation of shallow landslides is very important in order to improve forecasting and to arrange efficient alarm systems. With the aim of defining the critical rainfall thresholds for the Middle Serchio River Valley, a detailed analysis of the main rainstorm events was carried out. The hourly rainfall recorded by three rain gauges in the 1935–2010 interval was analysed and compared with the occurrence of shallow landslides. The rainfall thresholds were defined in terms of mean intensity I, rainfall duration D, and normalized using the mean annual precipitation. Some attempts were also carried out to analyze the role of rainfall prior to the damaging events. Finally, the rainfall threshold curves obtained for the study area were compared with the local, regional and global curves proposed by various authors. The results of this analysis suggest that in the study area landslide activity initiation requires a higher amount of rainfall and greater intensity than elsewhere

Evidence for an axion-like particle from PKS 1222+216?

The surprising discovery by MAGIC of an intense, rapidly varying emission in the energy range 70 - 400 GeV from the flat spectrum radio quasar PKS 1222+216 represents a challenge for all interpretative scenarios. Indeed, in order to avoid absorption of \gamma rays in the dense ultraviolet radiation field of the broad line region (BLR), one is forced to invoke some unconventional astrophysical picture, like for instance the existence of a very compact (r\sim 10^{14} cm) emitting blob at a large distance (R \sim10^{18} cm) from the jet base. We offer the investigation of a scenario based on the standard blazar model for PKS 1222+216 where \gamma rays are produced close to the central engine, but we add the new assumption that inside the source photons can oscillate into axion-like particles (ALPs), which are a generic prediction of several extensions of the Standard Model of elementary particle interactions. As a result, a considerable fraction of very-high-energy photons can escape absorption from the BLR through the mechanism of photon-ALP oscillations much in the same way as they largely avoid absorption from extragalactic background light when propagating over cosmic distances in the presence of large-scale magnetic fields in the nG range. In addition we show that the above MAGIC observations and the simultaneous Fermi/LAT observations in the energy range 0.3 - 3 GeV can both be explained by a standard spectral energy distribution for experimentally allowed values of the model parameters. In particular, we need a very light ALP just like in the case of photon-ALP oscillations in cosmic space. Moreover, we find it quite tantalizing that the most favorable value of the photon-ALP coupling happens to be the same in both situations. Although our ALPs cannot contribute to the cold dark matter, they are a viable candidate for the quintessential dark energy. [abridged]Comment: 32 pages, 10 figures, accepted for publication in Physical Review