Snow avalanche activity in Żleb Żandarmerii in a time of climate change (Tatra Mts., Poland)

This paper reports from a survey of the occurrence of large avalanches in Żleb Żandarmerii. This couloir is known to be one of the most hazardous avalanche paths in the Tatra Mountains and has one of the longest histories of avalanche observation. This survey looked at the runout distance, return period, dynamics and geoecological implications of avalanches in the context of current climate change. The study took advantage of the longest record of meteorological data available in the Tatra Mountains, as well as archival avalanche observations, topographical maps, orthophotomaps and a high-resolution digital terrain model. Avalanche data were obtained using geomorphological and dendrogeomorphic methods and through modelling with the RAMMS numerical avalanche dynamics simulation software. The largest avalanches reach the foot of its counter slope. Their length, release volume, flow velocity and pressure can exceed respectively 1000 m, 80 000 m3, 45 m/s and 600 kPa. The results of our study suggest that current climate warming has been accompanied by thinning and shortening of the duration of snow cover, as well as by an upward expansion of the timberline (including in the large-avalanche runout zones) of up to 80 m since the mid-1920s. No distinct temporal trend was identified in the large avalanche return period since 1909, but their mass and intensity have declined. Forests and timberline expansion were found to have no influence on the extent of the avalanches in our study, while ground relief could determine both their downward extent and lateral expansion.Fil: Gadek, Bogdan. University of Silesi; PoloniaFil: Kaczka, Ryszard J.. University of Silesi; PoloniaFil: Raczkowska, Zofia. Polish Academy of Sciences. Institute of Geography and Spatial Organization; PoloniaFil: Rojan, Elzbieta. Uniwersytet Warszawski; ArgentinaFil: Casteller, Alejandro. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; Argentina. Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research; SuizaFil: Bebi, Peter. Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research; Suiz

Boost glacier monitoring

Glacier-mass changes are a reliable indicator of climate change. On behalf of the worldwide network of glacier observers, we urge parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change to boost international cooperation in monitoring these changes, and to include the results in the Paris agreement’s global stocktake. Since 1960, glaciers have lost more than 9,000 gigatonnes of ice worldwide — the equivalent of a 20-metre-thick layer with the area of Spain. This melting alone — as distinct from that of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets — has raised global sea level by almost 3 centimetres, contributing 25–30% of the total rise (M. Zemp et al. Nature 568, 382–386; 2019). The present rate of melting is unprecedented. Several mountain ranges are likely to lose most of their glaciers this century. And we face the loss of almost all glaciers by 2300 (B. Marzeion et al. Cryosph. 6, 1295–1322; 2012). Glacier shrinkage will severely affect freshwater availability and increase the risk of local geohazards. Global sea-level rise will result in the displacement of millions of people in coastal regions and in the loss of life, livelihoods and cultural- heritage sites. The systematic monitoring of glaciers has been internationally coordinated for 125 years. Continuing to do so will document progress in limiting climate change for current and future generations

Historically unprecedented global glacier changes in the 1 early 21st century

Observations show that glaciers around the world are in retreat and losing mass. Internationally coordinated for over a century, glacier monitoring activities provide an unprecedented dataset of glacier observations from ground, air and space. Glacier studies generally select specific parts of these datasets to obtain optimal assessments of the mass-balance data relating to the impact that glaciers exercise on global sea-level fluctuations or on regional runoff. In this study we provide an overview and analysis of the main observational datasets compiled by the World Glacier Monitoring Service (WGMS). The dataset on glacier front variations (∼42 000 since 1600) delivers clear evidence that centennial glacier retreat is a global phenomenon. Intermittent readvance periods at regional and decadal scale are normally restricted to a subsample of glaciers and have not come close to achieving the maximum positions of the Little Ice Age (or Holocene). Glaciological and geodetic observations (∼5200 since 1850) show that the rates of early 21st-century mass loss are without precedent on a global scale, at least for the time period observed and probably also for recorded history, as indicated also in reconstructions from written and illustrated documents. This strong imbalance implies that glaciers in many regions will very likely suffer further ice loss, even if climate remains stable.Fil: Zemp, Michael. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Frey, Holger. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Gärtner-Roer, Isabelle. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Nussbaumer, Samuel U.. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Hoelzle, Martin. Universite de Fribourg; Suiza. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Paul, Frank. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Haeberli, Wilfried. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Denzinger, Florian. Universitat Zurich; SuizaFil: Ahlstrøm, Andreas P.. Geological Survey Of Denmark And Greenland; DinamarcaFil: Anderson, Brian. Victoria University Of Wellington; Nueva ZelandaFil: Bajracharya, Samjwal. International Centre For Integrated Mountain Development; NepalFil: Baroni, Carlo. Università degli Studi di Pisa; ItaliaFil: Braun, Ludwig N.. Bavarian Academy Of Sciences; AlemaniaFil: Càceres, Bolívar E.. Instituto Nacional de Meteorología E Hidrología; EcuadorFil: Casassa, Gino. Universidad de Magallanes; ChileFil: Cobos, Guillermo. Universidad Politécnica de Valencia; EspañaFil: Dàvila, Luzmila R.. Unidad de Glaciología y Recursos Hídricos; PerúFil: Delgado Granados, Hugo. Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; MéxicoFil: Demuth, Michael N.. Natural Resources Canada; CanadáFil: Espizua, Lydia Elena. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Fischer, Andrea. Osterreichische Akademie Der Wissenschaften; AustriaFil: Fujita, Koji. Nagoya University; JapónFil: Gadek, Bogdan. University Of Silesia; PoloniaFil: Ghazanfar, Ali. Global Change Impact Studies Centre; PakistánFil: Hagen, Jon Ove. University of Oslo; NoruegaFil: Holmlund, Per. Stockholms Universitet; SueciaFil: Karimi, Neamat. Ministry of Energy; IránFil: Li, Zhongqin. Chinese Academy of Sciences; República de ChinaFil: Pelto, Mauri. Nichols College; Estados UnidosFil: Pitte, Pedro Miguel. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Conicet - Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Provincia de Mendoza. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales. Universidad Nacional de Cuyo. Instituto Argentino de Nivología, Glaciología y Ciencias Ambientales; ArgentinaFil: Popovnin, Victor V.. Moscow State University; RusiaFil: Portocarrero, Cesar A.. Unidad de Glaciología y Recursos Hídricos; PerúFil: Prinz, Rainer. Universidad de Innsbruck; AustriaFil: Sangewar, Chandrashekhar V.. Geological Survey of India; IndiaFil: Severskiy, Igor. Institute Of Geography; KazajistánFil: Sigurdsson, Oddur. Icelandic Meteorological Offic; IslandiaFil: Soruco, Alvaro. Universidad Mayor de San Andrés; BoliviaFil: Usubaliev, Ryskul. Central Asian Institute For Applied Geosciences; KirguistánFil: Vincent, Christian. Laboratory of Glaciology and Environmental Geophysics; Franci