Impact of global warming on beef cattle production cost in Brazil

Global warming is affecting agribusiness in its economic aspects. Therefore, the prediction of the evolution of Brazilian beef cattle production cost was made using the IPCC forecast scenario for global warming. The methodology consisted of two steps: (i) the development of a fuzzy model that estimated the grazing land capacity (RP) decrease risk as a function of the changes in the average total rain index, air temperature and increase in extension of the dry season; and (ii) the design of an algorithm for predicting the decrease in production as function of the RPfuzzy model, that results in the impact in beef cattle productivity, and consequent increase in production costs. Historical environmental data from important producing counties in the Cerrado were organized and a set of fuzzy Gaussian functions were developed, and three possible settings (optimistic, medium and pessimistic) were considered. The decrease in beef cattle productivity was estimated using the losses in production due to the increase in air temperature and vulnerability of pasture capacity. The boundary settings for the total increase of production cost scenario used the number of animals per area of grazing land, the adoption of grain supplement and its future scenario; and the result output function pointed to a threshold within a variation from an increase in production cost of 80% (optimistic) to 160% (pessimistic). Under the optimistic scenario the total cost of Brazilian beef cattle production in the Cerrado became near to US$2.88 kg-1, while in the pessimistic scenario this cost reached US$ 4.16 kg-1, challenging the international competitiveness of this economic segment.O aquecimento global afeta o agronegócio em seus aspectos econômicos. Foi feita previsão daevolução do custo de produção de carne bovina brasileira usando a predição de aquecimento global do IPCC. A metodologia consistiu de duas etapas: (i) o desenvolvimento de modelo fuzzy que estimou o risco de decréscimo da capacidade de pastagens (RP) em função das mudanças no índice pluviométrico total, na temperatura do ar e na extensão da estação de seca; e (ii) o desenvolvimento de um algoritmo para predição do decréscimo da produção em função de um modelo fuzzy de RP que resulte no impacto na produtividade bovina de corte e conseqüente aumento no custo de produção. Foram organizados os dados históricos de fatores ambientais dos municípios importante produção no Cerrado e um conjunto de funções Gaussianas fuzzy foi desenvolvido e três estimativas possíveis (otimista, média e negativa) foram consideradas. O decréscimo na produtividade do gado foi estimado usando as perdas de produção devido ao acréscimo da temperatura bem como da vulnerabilidade da capacidade de pastagem. O estabelecimento dos limites para o cenário do acréscimo do custo de produção usou o número de unidade animal por área de pastagem, a adoção de suplemento de grãos e o cenário de produção futura; e o resultado da função de saída apontou para uma variação do acréscimo do custo de produção de 80% (otimista) até 160% (pessimista). Sob o cenário otimista, o custo total da produção brasileira de carne bovina no Cerrado chega a US$2,88 kg-1, enquanto no cenário pessimista este custo pode atingir US$ 4,16 kg-1, o que pode comprometer a competitividade internacional do setor

Precision Measurement of the Proton Flux in Primary Cosmic Rays from Rigidity 1 GV to 1.8 TV with the Alpha Magnetic Spectrometer on the International Space Station

A precise measurement of the proton flux in primary cosmic rays with rigidity (momentum/charge) from 1 GV to 1.8 TV is presented based on 300 million events. Knowledge of the rigidity dependence of the proton flux is important in understanding the origin, acceleration, and propagation of cosmic rays. We present the detailed variation with rigidity of the flux spectral index for the first time. The spectral index progressively hardens at high rigidities.</p

Formal aspects of fictive narrative in Africa

"Formal aspects of fictive narrative in Africa" is an investigation into the nature of narrative in black Africa in the area south of the Sahara and north of South Africa, and in the period from 1953 to the present. Close study is mainly confined to a number of representative works. The investigation concentrates on demonstrating the interdependence of technical and thematic literary phenomena. The main formal categories research are: narrative space and time, the treatment of action, characterisation. aspects of length and brevity, and work ideology. The dissertation concludes with a theoretical discussion of significant representative works. African works are found to experiment fruitfully with Western narrative conventions, with some specific adaptation of presentational processes to the presented worlds of the African setting. Formal experimentation is most obvious in: modes of expression representing African linguistic and thought patterns; aspects of temporality evoking an African conception of time; and indeterminate narrative structures analogous with states of mind in conflict situations. A considerable number of works succeed in creating artistic-aesthetic structures with significant ideologies, thus giving substance to the body of African literature

Expression of synaptic vesicle protein 2A in epilepsy-associated brain tumors and in the peritumoral cortex

Synaptic vesicle protein 2A (SV2A) has been identified as the binding site for the antiepileptic drug levetiracetam and is thought to decrease neuronal excitability. Since knockout of SV2A in mice leads to seizures, we hypothesized that a reduction in SV2A expression promotes seizure generation in epilepsy-associated brain tumors. We compared the SV2A expression and distribution in surgically removed tumor tissue (n = 63) and peritumoral cortex (n = 31) of patients with glial and glioneuronal tumors to normal control cortex obtained at autopsy in nonbrain tumor patients (n = 6). Additionally, we compared the SV2A expression and distribution in tumor patients with epilepsy (n = 39) with SV2A expression in tumor patients without epilepsy (n = 24). Immunohistochemistry in control cortex demonstrated strong and diffuse SV2A immunoreactivity (IR) throughout all cortical layers. Similar strong SV2A IR (with the same diffuse distribution pattern) was observed in the peritumoral cortical specimens in both patients with and without epilepsy. Modest SV2A IR was observed within the tumor area. The SV2A-positive cells detected within the tumor area were mainly entrapped neurons. Oligodendrogliomas and glioneuronal tumors displayed variable SV2A neuropil staining. In ganglioglioma (GG), strong SV2A IR was present along the dysplastic neuronal cell borders and processes. In both GG and dysembryoplastic neuroepithelial tumors, SV2A IR was occasionally observed within the neuronal perikarya. We found no differences in SV2A expression in the peritumoral cortex between the patients with and without epilepsy, which suggests that the role of SV2A in epileptogenesis in patients with glial tumors is questionable. The distinct pattern of SV2A IR in glioneuronal tumors suggests a redistribution of SV2A