Restricted access to the NHS during the COVID-19 pandemic : is it time to move away from the rationed clinical response?

Recently a Lancet Commission examined the future prospects of the NHS in the wake of COVID-19. The report cites poor healthcare capacity and chronic staff shortages as key contributing factors to the UK’s inadequate pandemic response. Notable strengths included universal access, the goodwill of staff, and the ability to generate innovative solutions - qualities that are likely to have averted an even deeper national crisis [1]. The prosperity of the NHS is intrinsically connected to the prosperity of the nation. Access to healthcare influences morbidity, mortality, economic activity, and whether or not social restrictions are necessary [2,3]. Public health measures such as timely implementation of social distancing are also important to limit mortality, but going forward it is the capacity to respond in a clinically effective and decisive manner that is vital to diminish the threat associated with the virus [4]. The importance of examining the national clinical response to SARS-CoV-2 cannot be overstated. Arguably the greatest mistake of this pandemic would be failing to prepare for the next. There are also the looming unknowns of SARS-CoV-2 variants [5], the higher rates of Long COVID following more severe disease [6], and the increased healthcare demands associated with delayed presentation of COVID-19 pneumonia [7-11]. Improving the tolerance of society to background levels of SARS-CoV-2 will require an improved clinical response. With this in mind, we examine one aspect of the UK’s clinical response that remains in place today: restricted access to healthcare

Prognostic model to predict postoperative acute kidney injury in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery based on a national prospective observational cohort study.

Background: Acute illness, existing co-morbidities and surgical stress response can all contribute to postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients undergoing major gastrointestinal surgery. The aim of this study was prospectively to develop a pragmatic prognostic model to stratify patients according to risk of developing AKI after major gastrointestinal surgery. Methods: This prospective multicentre cohort study included consecutive adults undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal resection, liver resection or stoma reversal in 2-week blocks over a continuous 3-month period. The primary outcome was the rate of AKI within 7 days of surgery. Bootstrap stability was used to select clinically plausible risk factors into the model. Internal model validation was carried out by bootstrap validation. Results: A total of 4544 patients were included across 173 centres in the UK and Ireland. The overall rate of AKI was 14·2 per cent (646 of 4544) and the 30-day mortality rate was 1·8 per cent (84 of 4544). Stage 1 AKI was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (unadjusted odds ratio 7·61, 95 per cent c.i. 4·49 to 12·90; P < 0·001), with increasing odds of death with each AKI stage. Six variables were selected for inclusion in the prognostic model: age, sex, ASA grade, preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate, planned open surgery and preoperative use of either an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or an angiotensin receptor blocker. Internal validation demonstrated good model discrimination (c-statistic 0·65). Discussion: Following major gastrointestinal surgery, AKI occurred in one in seven patients. This preoperative prognostic model identified patients at high risk of postoperative AKI. Validation in an independent data set is required to ensure generalizability

Episodic bradycardia as neurocardiac prodrome to voltage-gated potassium channel complex/leucine-rich, glioma inactivated 1 antibody encephalitis.

IMPORTANCE: Voltage-gated potassium channel complex antibody (VGKCc-Ab) encephalitis is an immunotherapy-responsive syndrome usually associated with causative antibodies that target the leucine-rich, glioma inactivated 1 (LGI1) protein. Although it is expressed throughout the brain, LGI1 is not known to be expressed in cardiac tissue. We describe a novel neurocardiac prodrome of VGKCc-Ab/LGI1-encephalitis. OBSERVATIONS: Among 14 patients with VGKCc/LGI1-Ab encephalitis evaluated in the University of California, San Francisco Autoimmune Encephalitis Clinic and Rapid Dementia Research Program, 3 patients (2 men and 1 woman; aged 53, 55, and 64 years) exhibited episodic bradycardia that preceded the onset of encephalopathy by approximately 2 months and was severe enough to lead to pacemaker implantation. Serum LGI1-Ab results were positive when tested at the time of the subsequent encephalopathy. All 3 patients developed hyponatremia; none had faciobrachial dystonic seizures or malignancy. Brain magnetic resonance imaging was abnormal in 2 cases. None of the patients experienced further symptomatic bradyarrythmias after 1.7 to 7 years of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Episodic bradycardia is a distinctive neurocardiac prodrome of VGKCc/LGI1-Ab encephalitis. The neuroanatomical localization most likely relates to insular and temporal lobe involvement, cortical regions that modulate cardiac autonomic function. Further study is needed to determine if recognition of this neurocardiac prodrome and earlier institution of immunosuppression can prevent the development of encephalopathy

Cell-surface central nervous system autoantibodies: clinical relevance and emerging paradigms.

The recent discovery of several potentially pathogenic autoantibodies has helped identify patients with clinically distinctive central nervous system diseases that appear to benefit from immunotherapy. The associated autoantibodies are directed against the extracellular domains of cell-surface-expressed neuronal or glial proteins such as LGI1, N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor, and aquaporin-4. The original descriptions of the associated clinical syndromes were phenotypically well circumscribed. However, as availability of antibody testing has increased, the range of associated patient phenotypes and demographics has expanded. This in turn has led to the recognition of more immunotherapy-responsive syndromes in patients presenting with cognitive and behavioral problems, seizures, movement disorders, psychiatric features, and demyelinating disease. Although antibody detection remains diagnostically important, clinical recognition of these distinctive syndromes should ensure early and appropriate immunotherapy administration. We review the emerging paradigm of cell-surface-directed antibody-mediated neurological diseases, describe how the associated disease spectrums have broadened since the original descriptions, discuss some of the methodological issues regarding techniques for antibody detection and emphasize considerations surrounding immunotherapy administration. As these disorders continue to reach mainstream neurology and even psychiatry, more cell-surface-directed antibodies will be discovered, and their possible relevance to other more common disease presentations should become more clearly defined

Effect of Collaborative Dementia Care via Telephone and Internet on Quality of Life, Caregiver Well-being, and Health Care Use: The Care Ecosystem Randomized Clinical Trial.

ImportanceFew health systems have adopted effective dementia care management programs. The Care Ecosystem is a model for delivering care from centralized hubs across broad geographic areas to caregivers and persons with dementia (PWDs) independently of their health system affiliations.ObjectiveTo determine whether the Care Ecosystem is effective in improving outcomes important to PWDs, their caregivers, and payers beyond those achieved with usual care.Design, setting, and participantsA single-blind, randomized clinical trial with a pragmatic design was conducted among PWDs and their caregivers. Each PWD-caregiver dyad was enrolled for 12 months between March 20, 2015, and February 28, 2017. Data were collected until March 5, 2018. Study interventions and assessments were administered over the telephone and internet by clinical and research teams in San Francisco, California, and Omaha, Nebraska. Of 2585 referred or volunteer PWD-caregiver dyads in California, Iowa, or Nebraska, 780 met eligibility criteria and were enrolled. A total of 512 PWD-caregiver dyads were randomized to receive care through the Care Ecosystem and 268 dyads to receive usual care. All eligible PWDs had a dementia diagnosis; were enrolled or eligible for enrollment in Medicare or Medicaid; and spoke English, Spanish, or Cantonese. Analyses were intention-to-treat.InterventionTelephone-based collaborative dementia care was delivered by a trained care team navigator, who provided education, support and care coordination with a team of dementia specialists (advanced practice nurse, social worker, and pharmacist).Main outcomes and measuresPrimary outcome measure: Quality of Life in Alzheimer's Disease based on caregiver's rating of 13 aspects of PWD's well-being (including physical health, energy level, mood, living situation, memory, relationships, and finances) on a 4-point scale (poor to excellent). Secondary outcomes: frequencies of PWDs' use of emergency department, hospitalization, and ambulance services; caregiver depression (score on 9-Item Patient Health Questionnaire; higher scores indicate more severe depression); and caregiver burden (score on 12-Item Zarit Burden Interview; higher scores indicate more severe caregiver burden).ResultsThe 780 PWDs (56.3% female; mean [SD] age, 78.1 [9.9] years) and 780 caregivers (70.9% female; mean [SD] age, 64.7 [12.0] years) lived in California (n = 452), Nebraska (n = 284), or Iowa (n = 44). Of 780 dyads, 655 were still active at 12 months, and 571 completed the 12-month survey. Compared with usual care, the Care Ecosystem improved PWD quality of life (B, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.25-1.30; P = .04), reduced emergency department visits (B, -0.14; 95% CI, -0.29 to -0.01; P = .04), and decreased caregiver depression (B, -1.14; 95% CI, -2.15 to -0.13; P = .03) and caregiver burden (B, -1.90; 95% CI, -3.89 to -0.08; P = .046).Conclusions and relevanceEffective care management for dementia can be delivered from centralized hubs to supplement usual care and mitigate the growing societal and economic burdens of dementia.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02213458