Bayesian Model Averaging for Model Implied Instrumental Variable Two Stage Least Squares Estimators

Model-Implied Instrumental Variable Two-Stage Least Squares (MIIV-2SLS) is a limited information, equation-by-equation, non-iterative estimator for latent variable models. Associated with this estimator are equation specific tests of model misspecification. We propose an extension to the existing MIIV-2SLS estimator that utilizes Bayesian model averaging which we term Model-Implied Instrumental Variable Two-Stage Bayesian Model Averaging (MIIV-2SBMA). MIIV-2SBMA accounts for uncertainty in optimal instrument set selection, and provides powerful instrument specific tests of model misspecification and instrument strength. We evaluate the performance of MIIV-2SBMA against MIIV-2SLS in a simulation study and show that it has comparable performance in terms of parameter estimation. Additionally, our instrument specific overidentification tests developed within the MIIV-2SBMA framework show increased power to detect model misspecification over the traditional equation level tests of model misspecification. Finally, we demonstrate the use of MIIV-2SBMA using an empirical example.Comment: 31 pages, 8 figures, supplementary materials available upon reques

Quantum Effects and Broken Symmetries in Frustrated Antiferromagnets

We investigate the interplay between frustration and zero-point quantum fluctuations in the ground state of the triangular and $J_1{-}J_2$ Heisenberg antiferromagnets, using finite-size spin-wave theory, exact diagonalization, and quantum Monte Carlo methods. In the triangular Heisenberg antiferromagnet, by performing a systematic size-scaling analysis, we have obtained strong evidences for a gapless spectrum and a finite value of the thermodynamic order parameter, thus confirming the existence of long-range N\'eel order.The good agreement between the finite-size spin-wave results and the exact and quantum Monte Carlo data also supports the reliability of the spin-wave expansion to describe both the ground state and the low-energy spin excitations of the triangular Heisenberg antiferromagnet. In the $J_1{-}J_2$ Heisenberg model, our results indicate the opening of a finite gap in the thermodynamic excitation spectrum at $J_2/J_1 \simeq 0.4$, marking the melting of the antiferromagnetic N\'eel order and the onset of a non-magnetic ground state. In order to characterize the nature of the latter quantum-disordered phase we have computed the susceptibilities for the most important crystal symmetry breaking operators. In the ordered phase the effectiveness of the spin-wave theory in reproducing the low-energy excitation spectrum suggests that the uniform spin susceptibility of the model is very close to the linear spin-wave prediction.Comment: Review article, 44 pages, 18 figures. See also PRL 87, 097201 (2001

The Pareto Argument for Inequality Revisited

One of the more obscure arguments for Rawls’ difference principle dubbed ‘the Pareto argument for inequality’ has been criticised by G. A. Cohen (1995, 2008) as being inconsistent. In this paper, we examine and clarify the Pareto argument in detail and argue (1) that justification for the Pareto principles derives from rational selfinterest and thus the Pareto principles ought to be understood as conditions of individual rationality, (2) that the Pareto argument is not inconsistent, contra Cohen, and (3) that the kind of bargaining model required to arrive at the particular unequal distribution that the difference principle picks out is a model that is not based on bargaining according to one’s threat advantage

Flow Visualization Techniques for Flight Research

In-flight flow visualization techniques used at the Dryden Flight Research Facility of NASA Ames Research Center (Ames-Dryden) and its predecessor organizations are described. Results from flight tests which visualized surface flows using flow cones, tufts, oil flows, liquid crystals, sublimating chemicals, and emitted fluids have been obtained. Off-surface flow visualization of vortical flow has been obtained from natural condensation and two methods using smoke generator systems. Recent results from flight tests at NASA Langley Research Center using a propylene glycol smoker and an infrared imager are also included. Results from photo-chase aircraft, onboard and postflight photography are presented

Observation of fine one-dimensionally disordered layers in silicon carbide

The improved resolution of synchrotron edge-topography is enabling thinner (less than 100 microns), silicon carbide crystals to be studied, and is providing a more detailed and wider database on polytype depth profiles. Fine long-period and one-dimensionally-disordered layers, 5-25 microns thick, can now be confidently resolved and are found to be very common features, often in association with high-defect density bands. These features are illustrated in this paper using three examples. A new long period polytype LPP (152H/456R) has been discovered and reported here for the first time

An Unsplit, Cell-Centered Godunov Method for Ideal MHD

We present a second-order Godunov algorithm for multidimensional, ideal MHD. Our algorithm is based on the unsplit formulation of Colella (J. Comput. Phys. vol. 87, 1990), with all of the primary dependent variables centered at the same location. To properly represent the divergence-free condition of the magnetic fields, we apply a discrete projection to the intermediate values of the field at cell faces, and apply a filter to the primary dependent variables at the end of each time step. We test the method against a suite of linear and nonlinear tests to ascertain accuracy and stability of the scheme under a variety of conditions. The test suite includes rotated planar linear waves, MHD shock tube problems, low-beta flux tubes, and a magnetized rotor problem. For all of these cases, we observe that the algorithm is second-order accurate for smooth solutions, converges to the correct weak solution for problems involving shocks, and exhibits no evidence of instability or loss of accuracy due to the possible presence of non-solenoidal fields.Comment: 37 Pages, 9 Figures, submitted to Journal of Computational Physic

Cluster approach study of intersite electron correlations in pyrochlore and checkerboard lattices

To treat effects of electron correlations in geometrically frustrated pyrochlore and checkerboard lattices, an extended single-orbital Hubbard model with nearest neighbor hopping $\sim t$ and Coulomb repulsion $\sim V$ is applied. Infinite on-site repulsion, $U\to\infty$, is assumed, thus double occupancies of sites are forbidden completely in the present study. A variational Gutzwiller type approach is extended to examine correlations due to short-range $V-$interaction and a cluster approximation is developed to evaluate a variational ground state energy of the system. Obtained analytically in a special case of quarter band filling appropriate to LiV$_2$O$_4$, the resulting simple expression describes the ground state energy in the regime of intermediate and strong coupling $V$. Like in the Brinkman-Rice theory based on the standard Gutzwiller approach to the Hubbard model, the mean value of the kinetic energy is shown to be reduced strongly as the coupling $V$ approaches a critical value $V_{c}$. This finding may contribute to explaining the observed heavy fermion behavior in LiV$_2$O$_4$

Energy spectra of cosmic ray nuclei: 4z26 and .3E2 GeV/amu

Energy spectra of cosmic ray nuclei in the charge range 5 is less than or equal to z less than or equal to 26 have been derived from the response of an acrylic plastic Cerenkov detector. Data were obtained using a balloon borne detector and cover the energy range 320 is approximately less than e approximately less than 2200 MeV. amu. Spectra are derived from a formal deconvolution using the method of Lezniak (1975). Relative spectra of different elements are compared by observing charge ratios. Secondary primary ratios are observed to decrease with increasing energy, consistent with the effect previously observed at higher energy. Primary to primary ratios are constant for 6 is less than or equal to z less than or equal to 26 and 14 is less than or equal to z less than or equal to 26 but vary for 10 is less than or equal to z less than or equal to 14. This data is found to be consistent with existing data where comparable and lends strong support ot the idea of two separate source populations contributing to the cosmic ray composition