On the time to tracer equilibrium in the global ocean

An important issue for the interpretation of data from deep-sea cores is the time for tracers to be transported from the sea surface to the deep ocean. Global ocean circulation models can help shed light on the timescales over which a tracer comes to equilibrium in different regions of the ocean. In this note, we discuss how the most slowly decaying eigenmode of a model can be used to obtain a relevant timescale for a tracer that enters through the sea surface to become well mixed in the ocean interior. We show how this timescale depends critically on the choice between a Neumann surface boundary condition in which the flux of tracer is prescribed, a Robin surface boundary condition in which a combination of the flux and tracer concentration is prescribed or a Dirichlet surface boundary condition in which the concentration is prescribed. Explicit calculations with a 3-box model and a three-dimensional ocean circulation model show that the Dirichlet boundary condition when applied to only part of the surface ocean greatly overestimate the time needed to reach equilibrium. As a result regional-"injection" calculations which prescribe the surface concentration instead of the surface flux are not relevant for interpreting the regional disequilibrium between the Atlantic and Pacific found in paleo-tracer records from deep-sea cores. For tracers that enter the ocean through air-sea gas exchange a prescribed concentration boundary condition can be used to infer relevant timescales if the air-sea gas exchange rate is sufficiently fast, but the boundary condition must be applied over the entire ocean surface and not only to a patch of limited area. For tracers with a slow air-sea exchange rate such as 14C a Robin-type boundary condition is more relevant and for tracers such as d18O that enter the ocean from melt water, a Neumann boundary condition is presumably more relevant. Our three-dimensional model results based on a steady-state modern circulation suggest that the relative disequilibrium between the deep Atlantic and Pacific is on the order of "only" 1200 years or less for a Neumann boundary condition and does not depend on the size and location of the patch where the tracer is injected

Reduced ventilation and enhanced magnitude of the deep Pacific carbon pool during the last glacial period

It has been proposed that the ventilation of the deep Pacific carbon pool was not significantly reduced during the last glacial period, posing a problem for canonical theories of glacial–interglacial CO2 change. However, using radiocarbon dates of marine tephra deposited off New Zealand, we show that deep- (>2000 m>2000 m) and shallow sub-surface ocean–atmosphere 14C age offsets (i.e. ‘reservoir-’ or ‘ventilation’ ages) in the southwest Pacific increased by ∼1089 and 337 yrs respectively, reaching ∼2689 and ∼1037 yrs during the late glacial. A comparison with other radiocarbon data from the southern high-latitudes suggests that broadly similar changes were experienced right across the Southern Ocean. If, like today, the Southern Ocean was the main source of water to the glacial ocean interior, these observations would imply a significant change in the global radiocarbon inventory during the last glacial period, possibly equivalent to an increase in the average radiocarbon age >2 km>2 km of ∼700 yrs∼700 yrs. Simple mass balance arguments and numerical model sensitivity tests suggest that such a change in the ocean's mean radiocarbon age would have had a major impact on the marine carbon inventory and atmospheric CO2, possibly accounting for nearly half of the glacial–interglacial CO2 change. If confirmed, these findings would underline the special role of high latitude shallow sub-surface mixing and air–sea gas exchange in regulating atmospheric CO2 during the late Pleistocene.This work was supported by the Royal Society, through a University Research Fellowship granted to LCS, and by NERC grant NE/L006421/1.This is the final published version. It first appeared at http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0012821X1400716X#

Temperature influence on phytoplankton community growth rates

A large database of field estimates of phytoplankton community growth rates in natural populations was compiled and analyzed to determine the apparent temperature effect on phytoplankton community growth rate. We conducted an ordinary least squares regression to optimize the parameters in two commonly used growth-temperature relations (Arrhenius and Q10 models). Both equations fit the observational data equally with the optimized parameter values. The optimum apparent Q10 value was 1.47 ± 0.08 (95% confidence interval, CI). Microzooplankton grazing rates closely matched the temperature trends for phytoplankton growth. This likely reflects a dynamic adjustment of biomass and grazing rates by the microzooplankton to match their available food source, illustrating tight coupling of phytoplankton growth and microzooplankton grazing rates. The field-measured temperature effect and growth rates were compared with estimates from the satellite Carbon-based Productivity Model (CbPM) and three Earth System Models (ESMs), with model output extracted at the same month and sampling locations as the observations. The optimized, apparent Q10 value calculated for the CbPM was 1.51, with overestimation of growth rates. The apparent Q10 value in the Community Earth System Model (V1.0) was 1.65, with modest underestimation of growth rates. The GFDL-ESM2M and GFDL-ESM2G models produced apparent Q10 values of 1.52 and 1.39, respectively. Models with an apparent Q10 that is significantly greater than ~1.5 will overestimate the phytoplankton community growth response to the ongoing climate warming and will have spatial biases in estimated growth rates for the current era

Modeling oceanic nitrate and nitrite concentrations and isotopes using a 3-D inverse N cycle model

Nitrite (NO2-) is a key intermediate in the marine nitrogen (N) cycle and a substrate in nitrification, which produces nitrate (NO3-), as well as water column N loss processes denitrification and anammox. In models of the marine N cycle, NO2- is often not considered as a separate state variable, since NO3- occurs in much higher concentrations in the ocean. In oxygen deficient zones (ODZs), however, NO2- represents a substantial fraction of the bioavailable N, and modeling its production and consumption is important to understand the N cycle processes occurring there, especially those where bioavailable N is lost from or retained within the water column. Improving N cycle models by including NO2- is important in order to better quantify N cycling rates in ODZs, particularly N loss rates. Here we present the expansion of a global 3-D inverse N cycle model to include NO2- as a reactive intermediate as well as the processes that produce and consume NO2- in marine ODZs. NO2- accumulation in ODZs is accurately represented by the model involving NO3- reduction, NO2- reduction, NO2- oxidation, and anammox. We model both 14N and 15N and use a compilation of oceanographic measurements of NO3- and NO2- concentrations and isotopes to place a better constraint on the N cycle processes occurring. The model is optimized using a range of isotope effects for denitrification and NO2- oxidation, and we find that the larger (more negative) inverse isotope effects for NO2- oxidation, along with relatively high rates of NO2-, oxidation give a better simulation of NO3- and NO2- concentrations and isotopes in marine ODZs.</p

Association between changes in knee load and effusion-synovitis: evidence of mechano-inflammation in knee osteoarthritis using high tibial osteotomy as a model

Objective: Although mechanically-induced inflammation is an appealing explanation linking different etiologic factors in osteoarthritis (OA), clinical research investigating changes in both biomechanics and joint inflammation is limited. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between change in surrogate measures of knee load and knee effusion-synovitis in patients with medial compartment knee OA undergoing high tibial osteotomy (HTO). Methods: Thirty-six patients with medial compartment knee OA and varus alignment underwent 3D gait analysis and 3T magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) preoperatively and 1 year after medial opening wedge HTO. Primary outcome measures were the change in the external knee adduction moment impulse during walking and change in knee suprapatellar effusion-synovitis volume manually segmented on MRI by one blinded assessor. Results: Mean (SD) knee adduction moment impulse [24.0 (6.5) Nm•s] and knee effusion-synovitis volume [8976.7 (8016.9) mm3] suggested substantial preoperative medial knee load and inflammation. 1-year postoperative changes in knee adduction moment impulse [−10.1 Nm•s (95%CI: −12.7, −7.4)], and knee effusion-synovitis volume [−1856 mm3 (95%CI: −3830, 117)] were positively correlated [r = 0.60 (95% CI 0.34, 0.78)]. Simple linear regression suggested a 448 mm3 (95%CI: 241, 656) reduction in knee effusion-synovitis volume per 1 Nm•s reduction in knee adduction moment impulse. Change in knee adduction moment impulse explained 36% (R2 = 0.36) of the variance of change in knee effusion-synovitis volume. Conclusions: Reduction in medial knee load is positively associated with reduction in knee inflammation after HTO, suggesting the phenomenon of mechano-inflammation in patients with knee OA

Radiocarbon constraints on the glacial ocean circulation and its impact on atmospheric CO2

While the ocean’s large-scale overturning circulation is thought to have been significantly different under the climatic conditions of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the exact nature of the glacial circulation and its implications for global carbon cycling continue to be debated. Here we use a global array of ocean–atmosphere radiocarbon disequilibrium estimates to demonstrate a ∼689±53 14C-yr increase in the average residence time of carbon in the deep ocean at the LGM. A predominantly southern-sourced abyssal overturning limb that was more isolated from its shallower northern counterparts is interpreted to have extended from the Southern Ocean, producing a widespread radiocarbon age maximum at mid-depths and depriving the deep ocean of a fast escape route for accumulating respired carbon. While the exact magnitude of the resulting carbon cycle impacts remains to be confirmed, the radiocarbon data suggest an increase in the efficiency of the biological carbon pump that could have accounted for as much as half of the glacial–interglacial CO2 change

Are we missing the target? Are we aiming too low? What are the aerobic exercise prescriptions and their effects on markers of cardiovascular health and systemic inflammation in patients with knee osteoarthritis? A systematic review and meta-analysis

© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ. Objectives We systemically reviewed published studies that evaluated aerobic exercise interventions in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA) to: (1) report the frequency, intensity, type and time (FITT) of exercise prescriptions and (2) quantify the changes in markers of cardiovascular health and systemic inflammation. Data sources PubMed, CINAHL, Scopus; inception to January 2019. Eligibility criteria Randomised clinical trials (RCT), cohort studies, case series. Design We summarised exercise prescriptions for all studies and calculated effect sizes with 95% CIs for between-group (RCTs that compared exercise and control groups) and within-group (pre-post exercise) differences in aerobic capacity (VO 2), heart rate (HR), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and inflammatory markers (interleukin-6 (IL-6), tumour necrosis factor-alpha). We pooled results where possible using random effects models. Results Interventions from 49 studies were summarised; 8% (4/49) met all FITT guidelines; 16% (8/49) met all or most FITT guidelines. Fourteen studies (10 RCTs) reported at least one marker of cardiovascular health or systemic inflammation. Mean differences (95% CI) indicated a small to moderate increase in VO 2 (0.84 mL/min/kg; 95% CI 0.37 to 1.31), decrease in HR (-3.56 beats per minute; 95% CI -5.60 to -1.52) and DBP (-4.10 mm Hg; 95% CI -4.82 to -3.38) and no change in SBP (-0.36 mm Hg; 95% CI -3.88 to 3.16) and IL-6 (0.37 pg/mL; 95% CI -0.11 to 0.85). Within-group differences were also small to moderate. Conclusions In studies of aerobic exercise in patients with knee OA, very few interventions met guideline-recommended dose; there were small to moderate changes in markers of cardiovascular health and no decrease in markers of systemic inflammation. These findings question whether aerobic exercise is being used to its full potential in patients with knee OA. PROSPERO registration number CRD42018087859

Sleep disruption due to nocturnal heartburn: a review of the evidence and clinical implications

Nocturnal heartburn (NHB) is a symptom that affects up to 25% of the general population and has been shown to cause sleep disruption that adversely affects quality of life and psychomotor performance. Few studies have evaluated the association between occasional NHB and sleep disturbances; therefore, this connection may be underappreciated and left untreated by the primary care provider and patient, with potentially significant negative clinical consequences and effects on quality of life. This review sought to describe what is currently known about the interplay between occasional NHB and sleep disruption, and identify whether acid suppression therapy can improve symptoms of occasional NHB and associated sleep disruptions. The pathophysiology of heartburn-induced sleep disruption appears to follow a bidirectional cycle due to the normal physiologic changes that occur in the upper gastrointestinal tract during sleep and due to the potential for heartburn symptoms to cause sleep arousal. The majority of the identified studies suggested that pharmacologic interventions for acid reduction, including proton pump inhibitors or histamine type-2 receptor antagonists (H2RAs), improved objective and/or subjective sleep outcomes among individuals with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) and NHB. Several studies specific to famotidine demonstrated that treatment with 10 mg or 20 mg reduced nighttime awakenings due to NHB. In conclusion, NHB symptoms can cause sleep dysfunction that can have a profound adverse downstream effect on quality of life, next-day functioning, and health-related outcomes. The current approach to managing occasional NHB is similar to that associated with GERD, highlighting the need for studies specific to the occasional heartburn population. Health care providers should investigate NHB as one of the potential causes of sleep complaints, and patients with heartburn should be questioned about sleep quality, recalled arousals, next-day vitality, early fatigue, and next-day functioning

Radiocarbon constraints on the glacial ocean circulation and its impact on atmospheric CO2_2

While the ocean's large-scale overturning circulation is thought to have been significantly different under the climatic conditions of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the exact nature of the glacial circulation and its implications for global carbon cycling continue to be debated. Here we use a global array of ocean-atmosphere radiocarbon disequilibrium estimates to demonstrate a ~689±53 $^{14}$C-yr increase in the average residence time of carbon in the deep ocean at the LGM. A predominantly southern-sourced abyssal overturning limb that was more isolated from its shallower northern counterparts is interpreted to have extended from the Southern Ocean, producing a widespread radiocarbon age maximum at mid-depths and depriving the deep ocean of a fast escape route for accumulating respired carbon. While the exact magnitude of the resulting carbon cycle impacts remains to be confirmed, the radiocarbon data suggest an increase in the efficiency of the biological carbon pump that could have accounted for as much as half of the glacial-interglacial CO$_2$ change.This work was made possible by NERC grant NE/L006421/1, and was supported by NERC radiocarbon analysis allocation number 1245.1007, as well as the Royal Society and the Cambridge Isaac Newton Trust