Merger Simulation: A Simplified Approach with New Applications

Merger simulation is growing in importance as a tool to evaluate the unilateral competitive effects of mergers. This paper offers a relatively non-technical description of the principles of merger simulation. In addition, it introduces PCAIDS, a new and highly flexible "calibrated-demand" merger simulation methodology that is based on a simplified version of AIDS. PCAIDS can be implemented using market shares and two price elasticities; scanner or transaction-level data are not required. The paper offers some applications of merger simulation with PCAIDS that include comparisons with other simulation models. It also shows how PCAIDS can be applied to the analysis of efficiencies, divestiture, and product repositioning/entry. Finally, the paper offers an analysis of the Merger Guidelines safeharbors. A detailed mathematical appendix is included.

Technology Development in Water Resource Management

In developed nations, technological advancements rapidlyare changing every aspect of our lives: how we work, howwe communicate with each other, and even how we areentertained. The influence of technology is readilyapparent. The subtleties of technology and its lessapparent influences also are tremendous. Advances incomputer technology, communications, and manufacturingare affecting all sectors, including engineering. In thearena of water resources, technological advances havehelped to not only develop a better understanding of ourphysical systems but have allowed improved operationaland institutional tools to be developed to support watermanagement. These advances have the potential toprovide large and meaningful benefits to less developedinfrastructures.The objective of this paper will be to describe severaltechnological advances in water resources, specifically inareas such as Flood Warning, Water Administration, andMulti-Objective Water Management. Examples oftechnologies implemented which have direct applicabilityto developing infrastructures are described. Important tothe discussion of these advances are the ways in whichimplementation and use of these technologies can protectand save lives, extend and optimally use limited resources,and provide useful inform ation to assist in the sustainab legrowth and development of our natural resources

Variability in soil respiration across riparian-hillslope transitions

The spatial and temporal controls on soil CO2 production and surface CO2 efflux have been identified as outstanding gaps in our understanding of carbon cycling. We investigated both across two riparian-hillslope transitions in a subalpine catchment, northern Rocky Mountains, Montana. Riparian-hillslope transitions provide ideal locations for investigating the controls on soil CO2 dynamics due to strong, natural gradients in the factors driving respiration, including soil water content (SWC) and soil temperature. We measured soil air CO2 concentrations (20 and 50 cm), surface CO2 efflux, soil temperature, and SWC at eight locations. We investigated (1) how soil CO2 concentrations differed within and between landscape positions; (2) how the timing of peak soil CO2 concentrations varied across riparian and hillslope zones; and (3) whether higher soil CO2 concentrations necessarily resulted in higher efflux (i.e. did surface CO2 efflux follow patterns of subsurface CO2)? Soil CO2 concentrations were significantly higher in the riparian zones, likely due to higher SWC. The timing of peak soil CO2 concentrations also differed between riparian and hillslope zones, with highest hillslope concentrations near peak snowmelt and highest riparian concentrations during the late summer and early fall. Surface CO2 efflux was relatively homogeneous at monthly timescales as a result of different combinations of soil CO2 production and transport, which led to equifinality in efflux across the transects. However, efflux was 57% higher in the riparian zones when integrated to cumulative growing season efflux, and suggests higher riparian soil CO2 production

Fitting piecewise linear continuous functions

Abstract We consider the problem of fitting a continuous piecewise linear function to a finite set of data points, modeled as a mathematical program with convex objective. We review some fitting problems that can be modeled as convex programs, and then introduce mixed-binary generalizations that allow variability in the regions defining the best-fit function's domain. We also study the additional constraints required to impose convexity on the best-fit function

Response to Questions in the First White Paper, \u27Modernizing the Communications Act\u27

The House Energy and Commerce Committee has begun a process to review and update the Communications Act of 1934, last revised in any material way in 1996. As the Committee begins the review process, this paper responds to questions posed by the Committee that all relate, in fundamental ways, to the question: What should a modern Communications Act look like? The Response advocates a clean slate approach under which the regulatory silos that characterize the current statute would be eliminated, along with almost all of the ubiquitous \u27public interest\u27 delegation of authority found throughout the Communications Act. The replacement regime would have at its core a new competition-based standard that, except in limited circumstances, would require that the FCC\u27s regulatory activities be tied to findings of consumer harm resulting from lack of sufficient competition. The FCC\u27s authority to adopt broad anticipatory rules on an ex ante basis would be substantially circumscribed, and the agency would be required to rely more heavily than is presently the case on ex post adjudication of individual complaints alleging specific abuses of market power and consumer harm. Some aspects of the FCC\u27s current jurisdiction, such as privacy and data security regulation, might be transferred to the FTC in light of the FTC\u27s institutional competence in these areas

Response to Questions in the First White Paper, \u27Modernizing the Communications Act\u27

The House Energy and Commerce Committee has begun a process to review and update the Communications Act of 1934, last revised in any material way in 1996. As the Committee begins the review process, this paper responds to questions posed by the Committee that all relate, in fundamental ways, to the question: What should a modern Communications Act look like? The Response advocates a clean slate approach under which the regulatory silos that characterize the current statute would be eliminated, along with almost all of the ubiquitous \u27public interest\u27 delegation of authority found throughout the Communications Act. The replacement regime would have at its core a new competition-based standard that, except in limited circumstances, would require that the FCC\u27s regulatory activities be tied to findings of consumer harm resulting from lack of sufficient competition. The FCC\u27s authority to adopt broad anticipatory rules on an ex ante basis would be substantially circumscribed, and the agency would be required to rely more heavily than is presently the case on ex post adjudication of individual complaints alleging specific abuses of market power and consumer harm. Some aspects of the FCC\u27s current jurisdiction, such as privacy and data security regulation, might be transferred to the FTC in light of the FTC\u27s institutional competence in these areas

Wicked Good Sports Medicine Symposium 2012 Program

2012 sports medicine symposium at the University of New England in Biddeford, Maine. Presenters and topics included: Daniel E. Lieberman: Why Exercise Really is Medicine (An Evolutionary Explanation); Samuel Headley: Exercise and Chronic Kidney Disease; Stella L. Volpe: Prevention of Weight Gain in a Large Portion Society; J. Timothy Lightfoot: Can You Be Born a Couch Potato? The Genetics that Control Your Physical Activity; Samuel N. Cheuvront: Answers to 10 Common Questions about Hydration; David Epstein: Missing the Phenotypes for the Genotypes.https://dune.une.edu/wgsms/1000/thumbnail.jp

Predicting the 10-year risk of death from other causes in men with localized prostate cancer using patient-reported factors: Development of a tool

OBJECTIVE: To develop a tool for estimating the 10-year risk of death from other causes in men with localized prostate cancer. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We identified 2,425 patients from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare Health Outcomes Survey database, age \u3c 80, newly diagnosed with clinical stage T1-T3a prostate cancer from 1/1/1998-12/31/2009, with follow-up through 2/28/2013. We developed a Fine and Gray competing-risks model for 10-year other cause mortality considering age, patient-reported comorbid medical conditions, component scores and items of the SF-36 Health Survey, activities of daily living, and sociodemographic characteristics. Model discrimination and calibration were compared to predictions from Social Security life table mortality risk estimates. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 76 men died of prostate-specific causes and 465 died of other causes. The strongest predictors of 10-year other cause mortality risk included increasing age at diagnosis, higher approximated Charlson Comorbidity Index score, worse patient-reported general health (fair or poor vs. excellent-good), smoking at diagnosis, and marital status (all other vs. married) (all p \u3c 0.05). Model discrimination improved over Social Security life tables (c-index of 0.70 vs. 0.59, respectively). Predictions were more accurate than predictions from the Social Security life tables, which overestimated risk in our population. CONCLUSIONS: We provide a tool for estimating the 10-year risk of dying from other causes when making decisions about treating prostate cancer using pre-treatment patient-reported characteristics