Determinants of banking system fragility: A regional perspective.

Banking systems are fragile not only within one country but also within and across regions. We study the role of regional banking system characteristics for regional banking system fragility. We find that regional banking system fragility reduces when banks in the region jointly hold more liquid assets, are better capitalized, and when regional banking systems are more competitive. For Asia and Latin-America, a greater presence of foreign banks also reduces regional banking fragility. We further investigate the possibility of contagion within and across regions. Within region banking contagion is important in all regions but it is substantially lower in the developed regions compared to emerging market regions. For cross-regional contagion, we find that the contagion effects of Europe and the US on Asia and Latin America are significantly higher compared to the effect of Asia and Latin America among themselves. Finally, the impact of cross-regional contagion is attenuated when the host region has a more liquid and more capitalized banking sector.banking system stability; cross-regional contagion; financial integration;

Globalisation, energy usage and sustainability

Energy usage plays vital role in the spread of globalisation, through the process of industrialization and free trade of goods and services, has posed challenges in achieving the goal of global sustainability. Industrialized world has economic growth based on fossil fuel which may lead to environmental degradation. Such economic growth has two problems related to the industrial process from the perspective of sustainable development: intensive use of natural resources as raw material and produced goods from industries; and harmful gases emitted as a consequence. The exploitation of natural resources for industrialized process will lead to unsustainability because of earth’s limits of reproduction. Similarly, GHG’s emission from industries responsible for global warming is the main cause of climate change will also lead towards unsustainability. This calls for the need of transformation in current industrial production pattern and switching to sustainable energy options for achieving goal of sustainability of globalisation

Globalisation, energy usage and sustainability

Energy usage plays vital role in the spread of globalisation, through the process of industrialization and free trade of goods and services, has posed challenges in achieving the goal of global sustainability. Industrialized world has economic growth based on fossil fuel which may lead to environmental degradation. Such economic growth has two problems related to the industrial process from the perspective of sustainable development: intensive use of natural resources as raw material and produced goods from industries; and harmful gases emitted as a consequence. The exploitation of natural resources for industrialized process will lead to unsustainability because of earth’s limits of reproduction. Similarly, GHG’s emission from industries responsible for global warming is the main cause of climate change will also lead towards unsustainability. This calls for the need of transformation in current industrial production pattern and switching to sustainable energy options for achieving goal of sustainability of globalisation

GLOBAL RECESSION & GLOBAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS: EVIDENCE FROM TOP 100 GLOBAL BRANDS (2001 – 2015)

This paper aims to present the brand equity trends among top banks and financial brands during 2001-15. The research uses the data published by world’s leading brand consultancy Interbrand. During 2001-2015, a total of 19 financial brands from seven countries appeared in the top 100 global brands list. Analyses were made on the basis of cumulative brand equity, average brand equity and growth patterns. Some major trends presented in this paper are; (a) global economic recession (2008-2009) affected the financial brands more than other sectors; (b) different clusters of financial institutions moved differently during recession and afterwards (c) dominance of American financial brands remained the key observation. JEL: D02, E02, G21, F01  Article visualizations

Analysis of Herd Behavior Using Quantile Regression: Evidence from Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE)

The objectives of this paper are to explore the herd behavior in the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE) by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Quantile Regression analysis for normal as well as bullish (up) and bearish(down) market conditions. Greed stimulates people to make increasingly risky investments and therefore investors tend to follow one another blindly and ignore rational analysis. Herd behavior can be defined as when investor ignore available information and follow other investors during investment decision making. The results show the existence of herding in KSE during normal and both bullish and bearish markets. The analysis of herding is important because the mistakes of investors at the collective level may result in an inefficient pricing of assets. The results of this paper may help to avoid psychological traps linked with investing and are important for both investors and those regulatory institutions responsible for securing the strength of financial systems

Behavioral Biases in Investment Decision Making and Moderating Role of Investor’s Type

The conventional finance theories, including Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), assume rational agents at the core of all investment decisions and overlook how real people make decisions. Practically, however, investment behavior differs and is dependent on the type of investor. This study aims to examine the behavioral biases in investment decision making by using the moderating role of investor’s type (IT). A survey-based questionnaire was designed and circulated to accumulate the feedback of small investors in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). An investment decision making was modeled with disposition effect (DE), herding (HE) effect, and overconfidence (OC) bias, whereas an IT was taken as a moderating variable. Multiple regressions were employed to test the effect of different behavioral biases on investment decision making. Twostage least square (2SLS) regressions were used for the moderating effect of IT. The findings depicted that DE, HE bias, and OC biases have a significant and positive impact on investment decisions. However, the investor prevails that in DE, such a moderating role is not present, and the positive moderating role of OC bias in the investment decision portrayed. Additionally, IT has a negative moderating role in HE bias. The outcomes postulated that active investors show more OC bias, while inactive investors are more inclined toward HE bias. The findings of the study may have important policy implications for investment analysts and policymakers in terms of educating investors and ensuring better decision making

Determinants of banking system fragility: A regional perspective

Banking systems are fragile not only within one country but also within and across regions. We study the role of regional banking system characteristics for regional banking system fragility. We find that regional banking system fragility reduces when banks in the region jointly hold more liquid assets, are better capitalized, and when regional banking systems are more competitive. For Asia and Latin-America, a greater presence of foreign banks also reduces regional banking fragility. We further investigate the possibility of contagion within and across regions. Within region banking contagion is important in all regions but it is substantially lower in the developed regions compared to emerging market regions. For cross-regional contagion, we find that the contagion effects of Europe and the US on Asia and Latin America are significantly higher compared to the effect of Asia and Latin America among themselves. Finally, the impact of cross-regional contagion is attenuated when the host region has a more liquid and more capitalized banking sector.status: publishe

Przegląd powiązań regionalnych i reform rozwoju społeczno‑gospodarczego przed i po wystąpieniu pandemii COVID–19: czego mogą się nauczyć państwa Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej na przykładzie Korytarza Gospodarczego Chiny–Pakistan?

This paper aims to highlight the role of mutual assistance of China and Pakistan’s regional connectivity through the China‑Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and show what lessons can be learned by Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs). CPEC promotes trade, FDI, peace, and sustainable socio‑economic development, and it can help to alleviate the effects of COVID–19 in the region to promote socio‑economic development. In this study, we employed the Rolling Window Approach (Rolling Moving Average Approach) for data analysis of pre‑ and post‑COVID–19. It also focuses on before and after the CPEC initiative’s impact on the Pakistani economy through the Rolling Window Approach and graphical trends. In Pakistan, thanks to CPEC; trade, FDI, remittance, and the stock exchange (PSX) showed an upward shift. Terrorism decreased, which indicates a positive sign for peace and socio‑economic development. However, currency depreciation increased, and the exchange rate trend is going up against the dollar, hurting the economy badly in several ways, such as the balance of payment, current account deficit, and lower some exports. To mitigate these issues, Pakistan and China have taken steps as trade formulated in domestic currency between China and Pakistan. During COVID–19, the provision of health care equipment on a priority basis from China helped to combat the COVID–19 effects and stabilize Pakistan’s Economy. CPEC is structured to connect regional economic zones by forming local, regional, and global value chains. To cope with the COVID–19 impacts, socio‑economic reforms and regional cooperation are suggested for CEECs with a pre‑post circumstances review. Regional integration and cooperation are key to coping with this pandemic. CEECs can learn lessons from CPEC for socio‑economic development, reducing violence, and improving the economy.Niniejszy artykuł ma na celu podkreślenie roli wzajemnej pomocy w ramach powiązań regionalnych Chin i Pakistanu realizowanych za pośrednictwem Korytarza Gospodarczego Chiny–Pakistan (CPEC) oraz wskazanie wniosków dla państw Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej. CPEC promuje handel, bezpośrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (BIZ), pokój i zrównoważony rozwój społeczno‑gospodarczy, a także może pomóc w łagodzeniu skutków COVID–19 w regionie w celu promowania rozwoju społeczno‑gospodarczego. W badaniu tym zastosowano metodę „Rolling Window” do analizy danych sprzed i po pojawieniu się pandemii COVID–19. Artykuł prezentuje również wpływ sytuacji przed i po wprowadzeniu inicjatywy CPEC na gospodarkę Pakistanu za pomocą podejścia „Rolling Window” i graficznej prezentacji trendów. Dzięki CPEC, handel, BIZ, wielkość przekazów pieniężnych i indeks giełdy papierów wartościowych (PSX) w Pakistanie wykazały wzrosty. Zmniejszył się terroryzm, co jest pozytywnym sygnałem dla pokoju i rozwoju społeczno‑gospodarczego. Nastąpiła jednak zwiększona deprecjacja waluty a kurs walutowy rośnie w stosunku do dolara, szkodząc gospodarce w kilku aspektach, takich jak bilans płatniczy, deficyt na rachunku obrotów bieżących i spadek części eksportu. Aby złagodzić te problemy, Pakistan i Chiny podjęły kroki zgodnie z formułą handlu w walucie krajowej między Chinami a Pakistanem. Podczas pandemii COVID–19 zapewnienie na zasadzie pierwszeństwa dostaw sprzętu dla opieki zdrowotnej z Chin pomogło w zwalczaniu skutków COVID–19 i ustabilizowaniu gospodarki Pakistanu. CPEC został skonstruowany z zamiarem połączenia regionalnych stref ekonomicznych poprzez tworzenie lokalnych, regionalnych i globalnych łańcuchów wartości. Aby poradzić sobie ze skutkami COVID–19, państwom Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej zaleca się reformy społeczno‑gospodarcze i współpracę regionalną, po uprzednim przeanalizowaniu ich specyficznej sytuacji. Integracja i współpraca regionalna mają kluczowe znaczenie dla radzenia sobie z tą pandemią. Kraje Europy Środkowej i Wschodniej mogą wyciągnąć wnioski z przykładu CPEC w zakresie rozwoju społeczno‑gospodarczego, ograniczenia przemocy i poprawy sytuacji gospodarki