Normal faulting in the Simav graben of western Turkey reassessed with calibrated earthquake relocations

Western Turkey has a long history of large earthquakes, but the responsible faults are poorly characterized. Here we reassess the past half century of instrumental earthquakes in the Simav-Gediz region, starting with the 19 May 2011 Simav earthquake (Mw 5.9), which we image using interferometric synthetic aperture radar and regional and teleseismic waveforms. This event ruptured a steep, planar normal fault centered at 7–9 km depth but failed to break the surface. However, relocated main shock and aftershock hypocenters occurred beneath the main slip plane at 10–22 km depth, implying rupture initiation in areas of low coseismic slip. These calibrated modern earthquakes provide the impetus to relocate and reassess older instrumental events in the region. Aftershocks of the 1970 Gediz earthquake (Mw 7.1) form a narrow band, inconsistent with source models that invoke low-angle detachment faulting, and may include events triggered dynamically by the unilateral main shock rupture. Epicenters of the 1969 Demirci earthquakes (Mw 5.9, 6.0) are more consistent with slip on the south dipping Akdağ fault than the larger, north dipping Simav fault. A counterintuitive aspect of recent seismicity across our study area is that the largest event (Mw 7.1) occurred in an area of slower extension and indistinct surface faulting, yet ruptured the surface, while recent earthquakes in the well-defined and more rapidly extending Simav graben are smaller (Mw <6.0) and failed to produce surface breaks. Though our study area bounds a major metamorphic core complex, there is no evidence for involvement of low-angle normal faulting in any of the recent large earthquakes

Procedure Volume and the Association with Short-term Mortality Following Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair in European Populations: A Systematic Review

Objective: To evaluate the relationship between the volume of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) procedures undertaken and the primary outcome of mortality in Europe. Previous systematic reviews of this relationship are outdated and are overwhelmingly based on US data. Data sources: Comprehensive searching within MEDLINE and other bibliographic databases supplemented by citation searching and hand-searching of journals was undertaken to identify studies that reported the effect of hospital or clinician volume on any reported outcomes in adult, European populations, undergoing AAA repair and published in the last 10 years. Methods: Two reviewers conducted study selection with independent, duplicate data extraction and quality assessment. A planned meta-analysis was not conducted because of the high risk of bias, the likelihood of individual study subjects being included in more than one study and diversity in the clinical populations studied and methods used. Results: Sixteen studies (n = 237,074 participants) from the UK (n = 11 studies), Germany (n = 3 studies), Norway (n = 1 study), and one from the UK and Sweden were included. Data in the included studies came from administrative databases and clinical registries incorporating a variety of clinical and procedural groups; the study quality was limited by the use of observational study designs. Overall, the evidence favoured the existence of an inverse volume outcome relationship between hospital volume and mortality. Insufficient evidence was available to reach conclusions on the relationship between clinician volume and outcome and between hospital or clinician volume and secondary outcomes including complications and length of hospital stay. Conclusions: The evidence from this review suggests a relationship between the hospital volume of AAA procedures conducted and short-term mortality; however, as volume typically represents a complex amalgamation of factors further research will be useful to identify the core characteristics of volume that influence improved outcomes

A novel method for sampling the suspended sediment load in the tidal environment using bi-directional time-integrated mass-flux sediment (TIMS) samplers

Identifying the source and abundance of sediment transported within tidal creeks is essential for studying the connectivity between coastal watersheds and estuaries. The fine-grained suspended sediment load (SSL) makes up a substantial portion of the total sediment load carried within an estuarine system and efficient sampling of the SSL is critical to our understanding of nutrient and contaminant transport, anthropogenic influence, and the effects of climate. Unfortunately, traditional methods of sampling the SSL, including instantaneous measurements and automatic samplers, can be labor intensive, expensive and often yield insufficient mass for comprehensive geochemical analysis. In estuaries this issue is even more pronounced due to bi-directional tidal flow. This study tests the efficacy of a time-integrated mass sediment sampler (TIMS) design, originally developed for uni-directional flow within the fluvial environment, modified in this work for implementation the tidal environment under bi-directional flow conditions. Our new TIMS design utilizes an ‘L’ shaped outflow tube to prevent backflow, and when deployed in mirrored pairs, each sampler collects sediment uniquely in one direction of tidal flow. Laboratory flume experiments using dye and particle image velocimetry (PIV) were used to characterize the flow within the sampler, specifically, to quantify the settling velocities and identify stagnation points. Further laboratory tests of sediment indicate that bidirectional TIMS capture up to 96% of incoming SSL across a range of flow velocities (0.3–0.6 m s−1). The modified TIMS design was tested in the field at two distinct sampling locations within the tidal zone. Single-time point suspended sediment samples were collected at high and low tide and compared to time-integrated suspended sediment samples collected by the bi-directional TIMS over the same four-day period. Particle-size composition from the bi-directional TIMS were representative of the array of single time point samples, but yielded greater mass, representative of flow and sediment-concentration conditions at the site throughout the deployment period. This work proves the efficacy of the modified bi-directional TIMS design, offering a novel tool for collection of suspended sediment in the tidally-dominated portion of the watershed

Confined granular packings: structure, stress, and forces

The structure and stresses of static granular packs in cylindrical containers are studied using large-scale discrete element molecular dynamics simulations in three dimensions. We generate packings by both pouring and sedimentation and examine how the final state depends on the method of construction. The vertical stress becomes depth-independent for deep piles and we compare these stress depth-profiles to the classical Janssen theory. The majority of the tangential forces for particle-wall contacts are found to be close to the Coulomb failure criterion, in agreement with the theory of Janssen, while particle-particle contacts in the bulk are far from the Coulomb criterion. In addition, we show that a linear hydrostatic-like region at the top of the packings unexplained by the Janssen theory arises because most of the particle-wall tangential forces in this region are far from the Coulomb yield criterion. The distributions of particle-particle and particle-wall contact forces $P(f)$ exhibit exponential-like decay at large forces in agreement with previous studies.Comment: 11 pages, 11 figures, submitted to PRE (v2) added new references, fixed typo

Close-packed dimers on the line: diffraction versus dynamical spectrum

The translation action of \RR^{d} on a translation bounded measure $\omega$ leads to an interesting class of dynamical systems, with a rather rich spectral theory. In general, the diffraction spectrum of $\omega$, which is the carrier of the diffraction measure, live on a subset of the dynamical spectrum. It is known that, under some mild assumptions, a pure point diffraction spectrum implies a pure point dynamical spectrum (the opposite implication always being true). For other systems, the diffraction spectrum can be a proper subset of the dynamical spectrum, as was pointed out for the Thue-Morse sequence (with singular continuous diffraction) in \cite{EM}. Here, we construct a random system of close-packed dimers on the line that have some underlying long-range periodic order as well, and display the same type of phenomenon for a system with absolutely continuous spectrum. An interpretation in terms of `atomic' versus `molecular' spectrum suggests a way to come to a more general correspondence between these two types of spectra.Comment: 14 pages, with some additions and improvement

The relationship between hospital or surgeon volume and outcomes in lower limb vascular surgery in the United Kingdom and Europe

Introduction Peripheral vascular disease is a major cause of death and disability. The extent to which volume influences outcome of lower limb (LL) vascular surgery remains unclear. This review evaluated the relationship between hospital/surgeon volume and outcome in LL surgery. Methodology Electronic databases; Medline, Embase, the Cochrane Library Databases, Science Citation Index, and CINAHL, proceedings from conferences, citations, and references of included studies were searched. Studies from Europe, of adults undergoing LL vascular surgery reporting outcomes by hospital or surgeon volume were included. Quality of studies was assessed using a modified ACROBAT-NRSI(Robins1) tool. Association between hospital/surgeon volume and outcome were summarised using tables. Results Nine studies from different European countries, comprising 67,445 patients who had undergone diverse LL surgeries were included. Increase in hospital/surgeon volume was associated with a decrease in amputations. The evidence on an association between hospital/surgeon volume and mortality was contradictory, but mortality and amputations may co-vary by hospital volume. There were an insufficient number of studies reporting on the other variables to draw firm conclusions; but their results suggest high volume hospitals may undertake more repeated surgeries/revascularisations and limb salvage. The impact of hospital/surgical volume on adverse events and length of hospitalisation could not be determined. Conclusion High volume hospitals/surgeons may undertake fewer amputations and mortality and amputations may co-vary. The finding that hospital and surgeon volume affected the number of secondary amputations has implications on re-organisation of vascular surgery services. However due to the small number and poor quality of some of the included studies, decisions on reorganisation of LL vascular surgery services should be supplemented by results from clinical audits. There is need for standardisation of definition of volume stratification of outcomes by patient’s clinical conditions

Multinucleon transfer in the interaction of 977 MeV and 1143 MeV Hg 204 with Pb 208

A previous study of symmetric collisions of massive nuclei has shown that current models of multinucleon transfer (MNT) reactions do not adequately describe the transfer product yields. To gain further insight into this problem, we have measured the yields of MNT products in the interaction of 977 (E/A=4.79 MeV) and 1143 MeV (E/A=5.60 MeV) Hg204 with Pb208. We find that the yield of multinucleon transfer products are similar in these two reactions and are substantially lower than those observed in the reaction of 1257 MeV (E/A=6.16 MeV) Hg204+Pt198. We compare our measurements with the predictions of the GRAZING-F, dinuclear systems (DNS), and improved quantum molecular dynamics (ImQMD) models. For the observed isotopes of the elements Au, Hg, Tl, Pb, and Bi, the measured values of the MNT cross sections are orders of magnitude larger than the predicted values. Furthermore, the various models predict the formation of nuclides near the N=126 shell, which are not observed

Xe 136 + Pb 208 reaction: A test of models of multinucleon transfer reactions

The yields of over 200 projectile-like fragments (PLFs) and target-like fragments (TLFs) from the interaction of (Ec.m.=450 MeV) Xe136 with a thick target of Pb208 were measured using Gammasphere and off-line γ-ray spectroscopy, giving a comprehensive picture of the production cross sections in this reaction. The measured yields were compared to predictions of the grazing model and the predictions of Zagrebaev and Greiner using a quantitative metric, the theory evaluation factor tef. The grazing model predictions are adequate for describing the yields of nuclei near the target or projectile but they grossly underestimate the yields of all other products. The predictions of Zagrebaev and Greiner correctly describe the magnitude and maxima of the observed TLF transfer cross sections for a wide range of transfers (ΔZ=-8 to ΔZ=+2). However, for ΔZ=+4, the observed position of the maximum in the distribution is four neutrons richer than the predicted maximum. The predicted yields of the neutron-rich N=126 nuclei exceed the measured values by two orders of magnitude. Correlations between TLF and PLF yields are discussed

Modeling multi-nucleon transfer in symmetric collisions of massive nuclei

Symmetric collisions of massive nuclei, such as 238U + 248Cm, have been proposed as ways to make new n-rich heavy nuclei via multi-nucleon transfer (MNT) reactions. We have measured the yields of several projectile-like and target-like fragments from the reaction of 1360 MeV 204Hg + 198Pt. We find that current models for this symmetric collision (GRAZING, DNS, ImQMD) significantly underestimate the yields of these transfer products, even for small transfers