427 research outputs found
A 41-year (1979–2019) passive-microwave-derived lake ice phenology data record of the Northern Hemisphere
Seasonal ice cover is one of the important attributes of
lakes in middle- and high-latitude regions. The annual freeze-up and breakup
dates as well as the duration of ice cover (i.e., lake ice phenology) are
sensitive to the weather and climate; hence, they can be used as an indicator
of climate variability and change. In addition to optical, active microwave,
and raw passive microwave data that can provide daily observations, the
Calibrated Enhanced-Resolution Brightness Temperature (CETB) dataset
available from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) provides an
alternate source of passive microwave brightness temperature (TB)
measurements for the determination of lake ice phenology on a 3.125 km grid.
This study used Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR), Special
Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I), and Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder
(SSMIS) data from the CETB dataset to extract the ice phenology for 56 lakes
across the Northern Hemisphere from 1979 to 2019. According to the
differences in TB between lake ice and open water, a threshold algorithm
based on the moving t test method was applied to determine the lake ice
status for grids located at least 6.25 km away from the lake shore, and the
ice phenology dates for each lake were then extracted. When ice phenology
could be extracted from more than one satellite over overlapping periods,
results from the satellite offering the largest number of observations were
prioritized. The lake ice phenology results showed strong agreement with an
existing product derived from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for Earth Observing System
(AMSR-E) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2 (AMSR2) data (2002 to
2015), with mean absolute errors of ice dates ranging from 2 to 4 d.
Compared with near-shore in situ observations, the lake ice results, while
different in terms of spatial coverage, still showed overall consistency.
The produced lake ice record also displayed significant consistency when
compared to a historical record of annual maximum ice cover of the
Laurentian Great Lakes of North America. From 1979 to 2019, the average
complete freezing duration and ice cover duration for lakes forming a
complete ice cover on an annual basis were 153 and 161 d, respectively.
The lake ice phenology dataset – a new climate data record (CDR) – will
provide valuable information to the user community about the changing ice
cover of lakes over the last 4Â decades. The dataset is available at
https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.937904 (Cai et al., 2021).</p
Habitat Use of American Alligators in East Texas
The American alligator (Alligator mississippiensis) has made a remarkable recovery throughout its range during the last halfcentury. In Texas, USA, current inland alligator population and harvest management strategies rely on generalized and often site-specific habitat and population data generated from coastal populations, because it is assumed that habitat and demographic similarities exist between inland and coastal populations. These assumptions have not been verified, however, and no studies have specifically examined inland alligator habitat use in Texas. We quantified alligator habitat use in East Texas during 2003–2004 to address this information gap and to facilitate development of regionally specific management strategies. Although habitat was variable among study areas, alligators used habitats with .50% open water, substantial floating vegetation, and emergent vegetation close (,12 m) to dry ground and cover. Adults used habitats further from dry ground and cover, in open water (75–85%), with less floating vegetation (6–22%) than did subadults, which used habitats that were closer to dry ground and cover, with less open water (52–68%), and more floating vegetation (8–40%). Although habitat use mirrored coastal patterns, we estimated alligator densities to be 3–5 times lower than reported in coastal Texas, likely a result of inland habitat deviations from optimal coastal alligator habitat, particularly in the preponderance of open water and floating vegetation. Our findings that 1) inland habitats varied among sites and did not exactly match assumed optimal coastal habitats, 2) alligators used these inland habitats slightly differently than coastal areas, and 3) inland alligator densities were lower than coastal populations, all highlight the need for regionally specific management approaches. Because alligator populations are influenced by habitat quality and availability, any deviations from assumed optimal habitat may magnify harvest impacts upon inland populations
Response of ice cover on shallow lakes of the North Slope of Alaska to contemporary climate conditions (1950–2011): radar remote-sensing and numerical modeling data analysis
Air temperature and winter precipitation changes over the last five decades
have impacted the timing, duration, and thickness of the ice cover on Arctic
lakes as shown by recent studies. In the case of shallow tundra lakes, many
of which are less than 3 m deep, warmer climate conditions could result in
thinner ice covers and consequently, in a smaller fraction of lakes freezing
to their bed in winter. However, these changes have not yet been
comprehensively documented. The analysis of a 20 yr time series of European
remote sensing satellite ERS-1/2 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data and a
numerical lake ice model were employed to determine the response of ice cover
(thickness, freezing to the bed, and phenology) on shallow lakes of the North
Slope of Alaska (NSA) to climate conditions over the last six decades. Given
the large area covered by these lakes, changes in the regional climate and
weather are related to regime shifts in the ice cover of the lakes. Analysis
of available SAR data from 1991 to 2011, from a sub-region of the NSA near
Barrow, shows a reduction in the fraction of lakes that freeze to the bed in
late winter. This finding is in good agreement with the decrease in ice
thickness simulated with the Canadian Lake Ice Model (CLIMo), a lower
fraction of lakes frozen to the bed corresponding to a thinner ice cover.
Observed changes of the ice cover show a trend toward increasing floating ice
fractions from 1991 to 2011, with the greatest change occurring in April,
when the grounded ice fraction declined by 22% (α = 0.01). Model
results indicate a trend toward thinner ice covers by 18–22 cm (no-snow and
53% snow depth scenarios, α = 0.01) during the 1991–2011 period
and by 21–38 cm (α = 0.001) from 1950 to 2011. The longer trend
analysis (1950–2011) also shows a decrease in the ice cover duration by
~24 days consequent to later freeze-up dates by 5.9 days (α
= 0.1) and earlier break-up dates by 17.7–18.6 days (α
= 0.001)
The catastrophic thermokarst lake drainage events of 2018 in northwestern Alaska: fast-forward into the future
Northwestern Alaska has been highly affected by changing climatic patterns with new temperature and precipitation maxima over the recent years. In particular, the Baldwin and northern Seward peninsulas are characterized by an abundance of thermokarst lakes that are highly dynamic and prone to lake drainage like many other regions at the southern margins of continuous permafrost. We used Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) and Planet CubeSat optical remote sensing data to analyze recently observed widespread lake drainage. We then used synoptic weather data, climate model outputs and lake ice growth simulations to analyze potential drivers and future pathways of lake drainage in this region. Following the warmest and wettest winter on record in 2017/2018, 192 lakes were identified as having completely or partially drained by early summer 2018, which exceeded the average drainage rate by a factor of ∼ 10 and doubled the rates of the previous extreme lake drainage years of 2005 and 2006. The combination of abundant rain- and snowfall and extremely warm mean annual air temperatures (MAATs), close to 0 ∘C, may have led to the destabilization of permafrost around the lake margins. Rapid snow melt and high amounts of excess meltwater further promoted rapid lateral breaching at lake shores and consequently sudden drainage of some of the largest lakes of the study region that have likely persisted for millennia. We hypothesize that permafrost destabilization and lake drainage will accelerate and become the dominant drivers of landscape change in this region. Recent MAATs are already within the range of the predictions by the University of Alaska Fairbanks' Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning (UAF SNAP) ensemble climate predictions in scenario RCP6.0 for 2100. With MAAT in 2019 just below 0 ∘C at the nearby Kotzebue, Alaska, climate station, permafrost aggradation in drained lake basins will become less likely after drainage, strongly decreasing the potential for freeze-locking carbon sequestered in lake sediments, signifying a prominent regime shift in ice-rich permafrost lowland regions
The walkthrough method : an approach to the study of apps
Software applications (apps) are now prevalent in the digital media environment. They are the site of significant sociocultural and economic transformations across many domains, from health and relationships to entertainment and everyday finance. As relatively closed technical systems, apps pose new methodological challenges for sociocultural digital media research. This paper describes a method, grounded in a combination of science and technology studies with cultural studies, through which researchers can perform a critical analysis of a given app. The method involves establishing an app’s environment of expected use by identifying and describing its vision, operating model, and modes of governance. It then deploys a walkthrough technique to systematically and forensically step through the various stages of app registration and entry, everyday use, and discontinuation of use. The walkthrough method establishes a foundational corpus of data upon which can be built a more detailed analysis of an app’s intended purpose, embedded cultural meanings, and implied ideal users and uses. The walkthrough also serves as a foundation for further user-centred research that can identify how users resist these arrangements and appropriate app technology for their own purposes
Indicators of ocean health and human health: developing a research and monitoring framework
This is the final version of the article. Available from NIEHS via the DOI in this record.We need to critically assess the present quality of the marine ecosystem, especially the connection between ecosystem change and threats to human health. In this article we review the current state of indicators to link changes in marine organisms with eventual effects to human health, identify research opportunities in the use of indicators of ocean and human health, and discuss how to establish collaborations between national and international governmental and private sector groups. We present a synthesis of the present state of understanding of the connection between ocean health and human health, a discussion of areas where resources are required, and a discussion of critical research needs and a template for future work in this field. To understand fully the interactions between ocean health and human health, programs should be organized around a "models-based" approach focusing on critical themes and attributes of marine environmental and public health risks. Given the extent and complex nature of ocean and human health issues, a program networking across geographic and disciplinary boundaries is essential. The overall goal of this approach would be the early detection of potential marine-based contaminants, the protection of marine ecosystems, the prevention of associated human illness, and by implication, the development of products to enhance human well-being. The tight connection between research and monitoring is essential to develop such an indicator-based effort.This work was funded by the National Institute of
Environmental Health Sciences, the Intergovernmental
Oceanographic Commission (UNESCO), and the
Bermuda Biological Station for Research, Inc. (contribution
1615)
A Discrete Event Simulation model to evaluate the treatment pathways of patients with Cataract in the United Kingdom
Background The number of people affected by cataract in the United Kingdom (UK) is growing rapidly due to ageing population. As the only way to treat cataract is through surgery, there is a high demand for this type of surgery and figures indicate that it is the most performed type of surgery in the UK. The National Health Service (NHS), which provides free of charge care in the UK, is under huge financial pressure due to budget austerity in the last decade. As the number of people affected by the disease is expected to grow significantly in coming years, the aim of this study is to evaluate whether the introduction of new processes and medical technologies will enable cataract services to cope with the demand within the NHS funding constraints. Methods We developed a Discrete Event Simulation model representing the cataract services pathways at Leicester Royal Infirmary Hospital. The model was inputted with data from national and local sources as well as from a surgery demand forecasting model developed in the study. The model was verified and validated with the participation of the cataract services clinical and management teams. Results Four scenarios involving increased number of surgeries per half-day surgery theatre slot were simulated. Results indicate that the total number of surgeries per year could be increased by 40% at no extra cost. However, the rate of improvement decreases for increased number of surgeries per half-day surgery theatre slot due to a higher number of cancelled surgeries. Productivity is expected to improve as the total number of doctors and nurses hours will increase by 5 and 12% respectively. However, non-human resources such as pre-surgery rooms and post-surgery recovery chairs are under-utilized across all scenarios. Conclusions Using new processes and medical technologies for cataract surgery is a promising way to deal with the expected higher demand especially as this could be achieved with limited impact on costs. Non-human resources capacity need to be evenly levelled across the surgery pathway to improve their utilisation. The performance of cataract services could be improved by better communication with and proactive management of patients.Peer reviewedFinal Published versio
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