39 research outputs found

    The determinants of election to the United Nations Security Council

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    This is the author's accepted manuscript. The final publication is available at Springer via http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11127-013-0096-4.The United Nations Security Council (UNSC) is the foremost international body responsible for the maintenance of international peace and security. Members vote on issues of global importance and consequently receive perks—election to the UNSC predicts, for instance, World Bank and IMF loans. But who gets elected to the UNSC? Addressing this question empirically is not straightforward as it requires a model that allows for discrete choices at the regional and international levels; the former nominates candidates while the latter ratifies them. Using an original multiple discrete choice model to analyze a dataset of 180 elections from 1970 to 2005, we find that UNSC election appears to derive from a compromise between the demands of populous countries to win election more frequently and a norm of giving each country its turn. We also find evidence that richer countries from the developing world win election more often, while involvement in warfare lowers election probability. By contrast, development aid does not predict election

    Equitable representation in councils: theory and an application to the United Nations Security Council

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    We analyze democratic equity in council voting games (CVGs). In a CVG, a voting body containing all members delegates decision-making to a (time-varying) subset of its members, as describes, e.g., the relationship between the United Nations General Assembly and the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). We develop a theoretical framework for analyzing democratic equitability in CVGs at both the country and region levels, and for different assumptions regarding preference correlation. We apply the framework to evaluate the equitability of the UNSC, and the claims of those who seek to reform it. We find that the individual permanent members are overrepresented by between 21.3 times (United Kingdom) and 3.8 times (China) from a country-level perspective, while from a region perspective Eastern Europe is the most heavily overrepresented region with more than twice its equitable representation, and Africa the most heavily underrepresented. Our equity measures do not preclude some UNSC members from exercising veto rights, however

    Fruit / seed freezing tolerance is dependent on developmental status in relation to provenance: a study of Acer pseudoplatanus across Europe

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    The effects of fruit maturity, at the time of natural dispersal, on subsequent desiccation tolerance and sub-zero storage was investigated in three lots of Acer pseudoplatanus (sycamore) collected from northern to southern Europe. Fruits from the native plant distribution range in Italy had significantly higher desiccation tolerance (0.16 g H2O g-1 DW) than those from England (0.30) and Norway (0.50), confirming that the maximum potential desiccation tolerance in sycamore exceeds that of the recalcitrant type. In contrast, the unfrozen water content varied only slightly between seedlots, but systematically reduced with development (0.35 to 0.27 g H2O g-1 DW). Maximum survival (60% fruit germination) of seven days sub-zero temperature storage coincided with drying the Italian fruit lot to c. 0.2 g H2O g-1 DW followed by holding at -20ºC, above the onset temperature for freezing, or at -196ºC (liquid nitrogen). Fruit survival was much lower in the Italian fruits when held at this water content and -70ºC, and in all other combinations of water content, temperature and fruit lot provenance. As the risk of nucleation in partially dried fruits held at -20ºC is high, we recommend sycamore fruits are cryopreserved for long-term conservation (1).vokMyynti MTT, Tietopalvelut 31600 Jokioine

    Can we learn more from fewer seeds?

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    The vital role that 'design of experiment' (DOE) plays when investigating dormancy, germination and potentially influential factors is discussed. The Taguchi analysis, developed by Dr. Genichi Taguchi, is a special application and analysis of the fractional factorial aimed at achieving maximum information from minimum effort and resources
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