Political Ambition and Legislative Behavior in the European Parliament

Members of the European Parliament (MEP) typically follow one of two career paths, either advancing within the European Parliament itself or returning to higher office in their home states. We argue that these different ambitions condition legislative behavior. Specifically, MEPs seeking domestic careers defect from group-leadership votes more frequently and oppose legislation that expands the purview of supranational institutions. We show how individual, domestic-party, and national level variables shape the careers available to MEPs and, in turn, their voting choices. To test the argument, we analyze MEPs' roll-call voting behavior in the 5th session of the EP (1999-2004) using a random effects model that captures idiosyncrasies in voting behavior across both individual MEPs and specific roll-call votes.published or submitted for publicationnot peer reviewe

Protect This House? Transnational Party Group Influence on Candidate Selection to the European Parliament

Introduction: The benefits of legislator seniority are well established in the scholarly literature on legislative politics. Developed initially within the American congressional context (eg., Davis 1990; Holcombe 1989; Weingast and Marshall 1988), the worth of long- serving legislators—viz., their ability to function productively and provide tangible policy and office benefits to their political parties and constituents—has also been explored by scholars of comparative politics (Jones et al. 2002; McKelvey and Riezman 1992; Shomer 2009). Much of this literature has also been concerned with the increasing ‘personalization’ that comes with legislator seniority: legislators feel more independent, having developed an individual brand during their tenure, and begin to behave in ways that appear less beholden to their respective political parties and more directly linked to voters. While such scenarios typically model legislators as the agents of either political party or constituent principals, what happens when the agents are unable to identify who the most important principals are

Unitary equivalence to a truncated Toeplitz operator: analytic symbols

Unlike Toeplitz operators on $H^2$, truncated Toeplitz operators do not have a natural matricial characterization. Consequently, these operators are difficult to study numerically. In this note we provide criteria for a matrix with distinct eigenvalues to be unitarily equivalent to a truncated Toeplitz operator having an analytic symbol. This test is constructive and we illustrate it with several examples. As a byproduct, we also prove that every complex symmetric operator on a Hilbert space of dimension $\leq 3$ is unitarily equivalent to a direct sum of truncated Toeplitz operators.Comment: 15 page

Rational Parties, Radical Voters? Fringe Party Recruitment Strategies at the National & European Levels

Introduction: Scholars and practitioners alike have long noted the relative lack of interest in European Parliament (EP) elections, both on the part of the voting public and from mainstream national politicians (Hix and Marsh 2007; Hobolt, Spoon, and Tilley 2009; Reif and Schmitt 1980; Reif 1984; Schmitt 2005). Within the academic literature, this has led to a characterization of EP elections as being ‘second order’ in interest to both European voters and political parties, as compared with national political contests. It also contributes to portrayals of Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) as a klatch of political amateurs, retirees, or fringe extremists—even as the real legislative powers of the EP have greatly expanded since the initiation of direct European elections in 1979 (Kreppel 2002)

Assessing the relationship between spectral solar irradiance and stratospheric ozone using Bayesian inference

We investigate the relationship between spectral solar irradiance (SSI) and ozone in the tropical upper stratosphere. We find that solar cycle (SC) changes in ozone can be well approximated by considering the ozone response to SSI changes in a small number individual wavelength bands between 176 and 310 nm, operating independently of each other. Additionally, we find that the ozone varies approximately linearly with changes in the SSI. Using these facts, we present a Bayesian formalism for inferring SC SSI changes and uncertainties from measured SC ozone profiles. Bayesian inference is a powerful, mathematically self-consistent method of considering both the uncertainties of the data and additional external information to provide the best estimate of parameters being estimated. Using this method, we show that, given measurement uncertainties in both ozone and SSI datasets, it is not currently possible to distinguish between observed or modelled SSI datasets using available estimates of ozone change profiles, although this might be possible by the inclusion of other external constraints. Our methodology has the potential, using wider datasets, to provide better understanding of both variations in SSI and the atmospheric response.Comment: 21 pages, 4 figures, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate (accepted), pdf version is in draft mode of Space Weather and Space Climat

Tying knots in light fields

We construct a new family of null solutions to Maxwell's equations in free space whose field lines encode all torus knots and links. The evolution of these null fields, analogous to a compressible flow along the Poynting vector that is both geodesic and shear-free, preserves the topology of the knots and links. Our approach combines the Bateman and spinor formalisms for the construction of null fields with complex polynomials on $\mathbb{S}^3$. We examine and illustrate the geometry and evolution of the solutions, making manifest the structure of nested knotted tori filled by the field lines.Comment: 5 pages, 3 figure

Cosmological Acceleration Through Transition to Constant Scalar Curvature

As shown by Parker and Raval, quantum field theory in curved spacetime gives a possible mechanism for explaining the observed recent acceleration of the universe. This mechanism, which differs in its dynamics from quintessence models, causes the universe to make a transition to an accelerating expansion in which the scalar curvature, R, of spacetime remains constant. This transition occurs despite the fact that we set the renormalized cosmological constant to zero. We show that this model agrees very well with the current observed type-Ia supernova (SNe-Ia) data. There are no free parameters in this fit, as the relevant observables are determined independently by means of the current cosmic microwave background radiation (CMBR) data. We also give the predicted curves for number count tests and for the ratio, w(z), of the dark energy pressure to its density, as well as for dw(z)/dz versus w(z). These curves differ significantly from those obtained from a cosmological constant, and will be tested by planned future observations.Comment: 31 pages, 7 figures; to appear in ApJ. Corrected numerical results; described quantum basis of theory; 18 references added; 2 figures adde

Crystal and molecular structure of bis(8-phenylmenthyl) 2-(2-methyl-5-oxo-3-cyclohexen-1-yl)propandioate, C\u3csub\u3e42\u3c/sub\u3eH\u3csub\u3e54\u3c/sub\u3eO\u3csub\u3e5\u3c/sub\u3e• CH\u3csub\u3e3\u3c/sub\u3eCN

The X-ray crystal structure of the title compound, as crystallized from acetonitrile-water was determined. The relative stereochemistry of the cyclohexenone ring with respect to the 8-phenylmenthyl esters was determined. The title compound crystallizes in the noncentrosymmetric space group P21, with a=8.9850(10) Å, b=15.575(3) Å, c=14.478(2) Å, β=94.61(2)°, and D calc=1.118 g cm−3 for Z=2

An online electoral connection? How electoral systems condition representatives’ social media use

This article analyses the impact of electoral institutions on the re-election campaigning and outreach strategies of Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) on the Twitter social media platform. Social media offers politicians a means to contact voters remotely and at low cost. We test the effect of diverse national proportional representation electoral institutions in European elections on a possible online electoral connection. We draw upon an original dataset of MEP Twitter activity before, during, and after the 2014 European elections. Our results confirm that variation in electoral institutions leads to meaningful differentiation in MEP social media campaigning, which is further affected by national party, voter and MEP characteristics. MEPs make constructive use of Twitter, but there is no sustained online electoral connection

Unsupervised Training for 3D Morphable Model Regression

We present a method for training a regression network from image pixels to 3D morphable model coordinates using only unlabeled photographs. The training loss is based on features from a facial recognition network, computed on-the-fly by rendering the predicted faces with a differentiable renderer. To make training from features feasible and avoid network fooling effects, we introduce three objectives: a batch distribution loss that encourages the output distribution to match the distribution of the morphable model, a loopback loss that ensures the network can correctly reinterpret its own output, and a multi-view identity loss that compares the features of the predicted 3D face and the input photograph from multiple viewing angles. We train a regression network using these objectives, a set of unlabeled photographs, and the morphable model itself, and demonstrate state-of-the-art results.Comment: CVPR 2018 version with supplemental material (http://openaccess.thecvf.com/content_cvpr_2018/html/Genova_Unsupervised_Training_for_CVPR_2018_paper.html