Internal lee wave closures: Parameter sensitivity and comparison to observations

This is the final version. Available from AGU via the DOI in this recordThe SOFine and DIMES data analyzed in this paper can be obtained through the British Oceanographic Data Centre (BODC) by navigating the following links, respectively: http://archive.noc.ac.uk/SOFINE/and http://dimes.ucsd.edu/en/data/This paper examines two internal lee wave closures that have been used together with ocean models to predict the time‐averaged global energy conversion rate into lee waves and dissipation rate associated with lee waves and topographic blocking: the Garner (2005) scheme and the Bell (1975) theory. The closure predictions in two Southern Ocean regions where geostrophic flows dominate over tides are examined and compared to microstructure profiler observations of the turbulent kinetic energy dissipation rate, where the latter are assumed to reflect the dissipation associated with topographic blocking and generated lee wave energy. It is shown that when applied to these Southern Ocean regions, the two closures differ most in their treatment of topographic blocking. For several reasons, pointwise validation of the closures is not possible using existing observations, but horizontally averaged comparisons between closure predictions and observations are made. When anisotropy of the underlying topography is accounted for, the two horizontally averaged closure predictions near the seafloor are approximately equal. The dissipation associated with topographic blocking is predicted by the Garner (2005) scheme to account for the majority of the depth‐integrated dissipation over the bottom 1000 m of the water column, where the horizontally averaged predictions lie well within the spatial variability of the horizontally averaged observations. Simplifications made by the Garner (2005) scheme that are inappropriate for the oceanic context, together with imperfect observational information, can partially account for the prediction‐observation disagreement, particularly in the upper water column.D. S. Trossman and B. K. Arbic gratefully acknowledge support from National Science Foundation (NSF) grant OCE‐0960820 and Office of Naval Research (ONR) grant N00014‐11‐1‐0487. S. Waterman gratefully acknowledges support from the Australian Research Council (grants DE120102927 and CE110001028) and the National Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (grant 22R23085)

Beyond equilibrium climate sensitivity

ISSN:1752-0908ISSN:1752-089

Latitudinal shift of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation source regions under a warming climate

International audienceThe strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, a key indicator of the climate state, is maintained by the subduction of dense water that feeds the deep southwards branch. At present, this subduction occurs almost entirely in the subpolar region, in the Labrador, Irminger and Nordic seas; however, whether this will continue under climate change is unknown. Here we use a quantitative Lagrangian diagnostic applied to climate model output to show that, in response to warming, the main source regions of this mixed-layer subduction shift northwards to the Arctic Basin and southwards to the subtropical gyre. These shifts are explained by changes in background stratification, mixed-layer depth and ocean circulation, highlighting the need to consider the full three-dimensionality of the circulation and its changes to accurately predict the future climate state