Global imbalances, volatile capital inflows and proposed further IMF roles.

The recent diverging policy choices in the developed world and emerging market countries have been accompanied by a return of private cross-border capital inflows to a number of countries. The increasingly integrated global financial market has spurred capitals to fl ow more easily across borders in search for higher returns. Emerging market countries and commodity exporters have been the desirable destination of such flows. Major pull factors are noted, including improvement in the macroeconomics stability and management that have led to better growth prospects in EMEs and the opening-up of the capital account in varying degrees. These surges have also been driven by a number of push factors such as near zero policy rates in the major centers and perceived low returns in advanced economies. However, recipient countries have also noted the increased volatility of such capital inflows. While domestic policy mix is crucial, the potentially unprecedented repercussion of volatile capital flows requires multidimensional measures including ones originated from regional and global initiatives. The IMF is well-placed to play increasing roles in conducting surveillance, providing global liquidity through its financing facilities, and not less important, giving appropriate policy advices adopting more customised and open-minded perspectives.

Pengembangan Bahan Ajar Metode Numerik dengan Pendekatan Metakognitif Berbantuan Matlab

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan materi pembelajaran untuk metode numerik which dirancang dengan pendekatan metakognitif pemrograman dibantu matlab. Model pengembangan bahan pembelajaran menggunakan Penelitian dan Pengembangan (R & D) WHO metode dikembangkan oleh Borg dan Gall dan dikombinasikan dengan model pengembangan pengajaran Dick dan Carey. Populasi untuk uji coba produk adalah mahasiswa UMSU jurusan pendidikan matematika. Instrumen which digunakan adalah kuesioner. Produk ini memiliki tiga langkah uji gruops Termasuk pribadi, gruops kecil dan lapangan. Sebelum uji coba produk, peneliti tidak ahli sidang validasi atas isi dan desain bahan pembelajaran untuk metode numerik dengan menggunakan kuesioner Menurut indikator yang telah ditentukan. Kemudian kuesioner dianalisis untuk melihat persentase dan kriteria validasi bahan Learning. Hasil dari penelitian ini adalah metode numerik yang dirancang diktat digunakan metakognitif pendekatan dibantu pemrograman Matlab. This research aims to develop learning materials for numerical methods which be designed by Metacognitive approach assisted matlab programming . The development model of learning materials using Research and Development (R & D) methods who be developed by Borg and Gall and be combined with teaching development model Dick and Carey. The population for the product trials are UMSU students majoring in mathematics education. The instrument which be used is questionnaire . This products trials have three steps including personal gruops, small gruops and the field. Before products trials , the researcher does the expert validation trial for the content and design of learning materials for numerical methods using questionnaires according to the indicators that have been determined. Then the questionnaire be analysed to see the percentage and the validation criteria of Learning materials. The results of this research is a numerical method diktat be designed used metacognitive approach assisted matlab programming

Kajian Aspek Psikologi Tokoh Utama Dalam Novel Layla-majnun Karya Sholeh Gisymar

This article describes: (1) Layla-Majnun novel structure Sholeh Gisyamar work, (2) the main character in the novel psychological Layla-Majnun works Sholeh Gisyamar of aspects of id, ego, superego. This data was collected by way of reading the novel Layla-Majnun Gisymar Sholeh work, marking the language related to the research problem. The findings of the research, a novel structure-Majnun Layla Gisymar Sholeh work consisting of plot, setting, characterization, theme and the message, style, and point of view. While the discussion of the psychological aspects of the figure consists of the id, ego, and superego. Based on the results of this study concluded that, aspects of the main character\u27s personality is more likely to attach great importance to the principle of the id ego gratification. Aspects of the ego is not balanced with the character superego aspect, then in the event of self-awareness on the figure, the ego back into play so that the resulting chaos and abnormal action. So the role of the superego in Layla-Majnun novel works Sholeh Gisymar only slightly

Analisis Yuridis Atas Prinsip Pendaftaran Desain Industri di Indonesia (Studi Putusan Pengadilan Niaga Jakarta Pusat Nomor 49/desain Industri/2004/pn/niaga.jkt.pst, Sengketa Kemasan/wadah Lulur Mandi Purba Sari)

System of industrial design registration in Indonesia adopts a constitutive, who got / obtained the certificate of industrial design from the Ministry of Law and Human Rights are the holder of Design Indutri, although the provisions of Article 2 of Law No. 31 of 2000 on Industrial Designs entails the principle of novelty (novelty). The principle of novelty in the Law on Industrial Designs set with a first application filed and at the time of registration was filed, no other party can prove that such registration is not new or existing disclosure/ publication, whether written or unwritten. Consideration of the legal panel of judges in the Central Jakarta Commercial Court decision number 49/Industrial Design/2004/PN/Niaga.Jkt.Pst is already appropriate, given Shower Scrub registration bangkoang Sari has been qualified novelty (novelty), the Plaintiff is the first registrant who apply Packaging Industrial Design registration Sari bangkoang Shower Scrub. Legal protection of the owner of industrial design in Indonesia in principle include the protection of registered designs

Model Advokasi Lsm Jkps Cahaya Terhadap Buruh Migran Asal Kabupaten Ponorogo

Tingginya jumlah Tenaga Kerja Indonesia (TKI) pada akhirnya berdampak kepada tingginya permasalahan yang timbul karena arus buruh migran ini. Penanganan kasus yang dilakukan oleh pemerintah terkadang terbentur dengan birokrasi hingga membuat penanganan menjadi lambat, sehingga muncullah banyak Lembaga Swadaya Masyarakat (LSM) yang bergerak dalam bidang pendampingan dan perlindungan TKI. Maka dari itu sangat menarik sekali jika melihat lebih jauh tentang pola pendampingan yang dilakukan oleh LSM ini. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode deskriptif kualitatif dengan menggunakan data dilapangan sebagai sumber primer dan referensi/literatur sebagai sumber sekunder. Kesimpulan yang dihasilkan dalam penelitian ini adalah pola advokasi yang dilakukan oleh LSM JKPS CAHAYA yang berupa “pendampingan berjenjang” dengan pendekatan personal terbukti lebih efektif jika dibandingkan dengan pola advokasi yang dilakukan oleh pemerintah dengan model birokrasi institusinya

The Flouting of Maxims in Sarah Sechan Talk Show Episode “Fitri Tropica” on Net TV

Keywords: Cooperative Principle, Flouting of Maxims, Sarah Sechan Talk ShowThis study examines the flouting of maxims that happens in Sarah Sechan talk show in the episode of Fitri Tropica on Net TV. This study is conducted to answer the problems of the study namely what maxims that are flouted and to what extent the maxims are flouted by the host and the guest in Sarah Sechan talk show episode of Fitri Tropica on Net TV in terms of the classification of the flouted maxims, the implication of flouted of maxims and the purpose of the flouting of maxims.This study uses qualitative approach since the data is performed in the form ofword rather than numbers. The data is the utterances that contain flouted maxims and the data source is the transcription of the talk show which is the episode with the guest Fitri Tropica. The researcher collects the data by reading the transcription very carefully and then listing the utterances that contain flouted maxims. Thus, the researcher identifies the flouted maxims and analyzes them and finally draws a conclusion.The researcher found that all maxims are flouted in the show. There are 46utterances that contain flouting of maxims in the show. The most frequently flouted maxim is maxim of relation which is 15 utterances. The second most frequently flouted maxim is maxim of quality which is 12 utterances and third is maxim of quantity which is 8 utterances. The least frequently flouted maxim is maxim of manner which is 4 utterances. The researcher also found there are 7 utterances which contain overlap maxims. The flouting frequently happens because the speaker wants to avoid being explicit in answering the question related to personal life. Besides, the flouting is frequently used to create a joke in the sake of entertainment in the show.For the next researcher, it is recommended that they conduct the study offlouting of maxims using the other theory. The researcher also suggests the next researchers conduct a research on the flouting of maxims in other object for example; radio shows, comics, books, magazines or videos on the internet to broaden the understanding of flouting of maxims phenomenon

Peranan Kredit USAha Rakyat (Kur) Bagi Pengembangan UMKM di Kota Medan (Studi Kasus Bank Bri)

The objective of this research is to know The role of the People's Business Credit (KUR) for development of UMKM in Medan (Case Study of Bank BRI). The role is measured from income earned UMKM enterpreneurs after getting help from People's Business Credit (KUR) of Bank BRI and what is the most dominant factor that encourage UMKM enterpreneurs took the People's Business Credit (KUR) at Bank BRI. The results showed that a significant KUR capital for revenue growth of UMKM in Medan. This can be seen by the results of the analysis of the estimation model, it can be seen that: t *> t-table (4111> 1.669013). Thus Ha is accepted, it means capital KUR significant or significant impact on earnings UMKM entrepreneurs at 95% confidence level. And the most dominant factor that encourage the UMKM entrepreneurs to take or use the People's Business Credit (KUR) in BRI loan interest rates lower by 37.31% followed by 29.85% recommended by a friend, easy administration of 17.91%, a longer repayment period by 7.46% and good service at 7.46%

Kritik Islam terhadap Sistem Ekonomi Kontemporer

Masalah ekonomi adalah masalah yang tidah bisa dipisahkan dari kehidupan manusia. Manusia sebagai makhluk sosial senantiasa tidak pernah puas dengan apa yang telah dimilikinya, sedangkan disisi lain alat yang dapat memuaskan kebutuhan manusia tersebut tersedia dalam jumlah yang terbatas. Karena adanya keterbatasan ketersediaan sumber daya menyebabkan timbulnya dominasi atau penguasaan dari negara satu, yang dalam hal ini negara yang lebih kuat kepada negara yang lebih lemah.Sistem ekonomi adalah suatu sistem yang mengatur serta menjalin hubungan ekonomi antar manusia dengan seperangkat kelembagaan dalam suatu tatanan kehidupan. Suatu sistem ekonomi tidaklah berdiri sendiri. Ia berkaitan dengan falsafah, pandangan dan pola hidup maryarakat tempatnya berpijak. Sebuah sistem ekonomi sesungguhnya merupakan salah satu unsur saja dalam suprasistem kehidupan masyarakat. Ia merupakan bagian dari kesatuan ideologi kehidupan masyarakat di suatu negara. Oleh karenanya, bukanlah hal yang mengherankan apabila dalam perjalanan atau penerapan suatu sistem ekonomi tertentu di sebuah negara terjadi benturan, konflik atau bahkan tentangan. Pelaksanaan suatu sistem ekonomi tertentu di sebuah negara akan berjalan mulus jika lingkungan kelembagaan masyarakat mendukung.Terdapat dua sistem ekonomi yang menguasai dunia yaitu sistem ekonomi kapitalis dan sistem ekonomi sosialis. Sistem ekonomi kapitalis mengakui pemilikan individual atas sumber daya-sumber daya ekonomi atau faktor-faktor produksi. Setidak-tidaknya, terdapat keleluasaan yang sangat longgar bagi orang perorangan dalam atau untuk memiliki sumber daya. Kompetisi antar individu dalam memenuhi kebutuhan hidup, persaingan antar badan USAha dalam mengejar keuntungan sangat dihargai. Prinsip keadilan yang dianut oleh sistem ekonomi kapitalis ialah setiap orang menerima imbalan berdasarkan prestasi kerjanya. Sistem ekonomi sosialis adalah sebaliknya. Sumber daya ekonomi atau faktor-faktor produksi diklaim sebagai milik negara. Sistem ini lebih menekankan pada kebersamaan masyarakat dalam menjalankan dan memajukan perekonomian. Imbalan yang diterimakan pada orang perorangan didasarkan pada kebutuhannya, bukan berdasarkan jasa yang dicurahkan. Prinsip keadilan yang dianut oleh sistem ekonomi sosialis ialah setiap orang menerima imbalan yang sama.Sistem ekonomi Islam sebagai salah satu sistem ekonomi yang ada, berlainan dengan sistem ekonomi kapitalis yang sangat memuja kebutuhan individu dan berbeda pula dengan sistem ekonomi sosialis komunis yang tidak mengakui hak individu. Islam merupakan jalan tengah yang mengajarkan manusia untuk saling mengasihi, menghargai dan menghormati, akan tetapi tidak melupakan kepentingan pribadi untuk hidup dihargai dan dihormati

Public Open Space as Urban Architecture: Design and Public Life

Public open space (POS) does not become an adequate priority in urban planning and design in developing countries, including Indonesia. The cities are almost ‘full of buildings' and ‘less of POS.' Meanwhile, many studies show that the POS has a significant effect on citizens' quality of life. By this situation, the research means to explore the quality of public open space in relation to its utilization. The study observed POS in several small towns in North Sumatra Province, where new urbanized area had been rising by autonomy regulation. A visual survey was carried out to record, map and identify the quality of the public open spaces. Besides, the visitors were interviewed to get their perception of the quality of POS. The investigation indicates that almost of public life did not always equal with the design of the POS. Almost POS have no pedestrian linkage to make it connect with the other urban space. Thus, the majority of POS was alienated with the other part of cities.There was no integration with public transport, too. The facilities were less of maintenance. However, the community kept coming to the place and doing many activities. The respondents perceived the POS as quite good, but not good enough. Still, they mostly believed that the POS have a real impact on their quality of life

Exotic Epiphytes on Tree Ferns in Cibodas Botanical Gardens: the Importance of Light Preferences and Host Characteristics

The study of exotic epiphytes on tree ferns is relatively scarce. Biological invasion of exotic epiphytes may imply negative consequences to native epiphytes and tree ferns, which are important components in tropical mountainous rainforest ecosystems. This study surveyed exotic epiphytes on tree ferns in Cibodas Botanical Gardens (CBG) and adjacent forests next to CBG. The objectives of this study are: a) to conduct inventory study of exotic epiphyte species on tree ferns, b) to examine how different these exotic epiphytes from each other based on their micro-climate preferences, c) to conduct invasive risk assessment of those exotic epiphytes, and d) to model the effect of environmental factors and host (tree ferns) characteristics to the occurrence of exotic epiphytes on tree ferns. We conducted multi-dimensional analysis to examine how different these exotic epiphytes based on their micro-climate parameters. We used Weed Risk Assessment (WRA) framework to estimate the invasion risks of surveyed exotic epiphytes. We performed Bayesian logistic regression to test the correlation between environmental and host characteristics and the occurrence probability of exotics epiphytes on tree ferns. We found 13 exotic epiphyte species on two native tree ferns species (Cyathea junghuhniana and Cyathea contaminans). Multidimensional analysis showed that Axonopus compressus is very different from other exotic epiphytes due to its environmental preferences. Ageratina riparia and Clidemia hirta were exotic epiphytes with the highest invasion risks. Therefore, we suggested that A. riparia and C. hirta are more likely to become invasive and may contribute significant impacts to native ecosystems. Lastly, the presence of Austroeupatorium inulaefolium as exotic epiphytes in tree ferns negatively correlated with the host height. Further study is needed to incorporate biological traits of the exotic epiphytes and more specific environmental parameters such as light chromatic quality in to the exotic epiphyte occurrence model. This study provides evidence for the existences of exotic epiphytes on tree ferns. The result of this study may also indicate that host characteristics and micro-climate factors could play important roles to inhibit the occurrence of exotic epiphytes on tree ferns